G_B_ Posted June 6, 2019 Share Posted June 6, 2019 Please discuss matters related to Indian state or local elections in this thread. tweaker 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stuge Posted June 14, 2019 Share Posted June 14, 2019 (edited) Heard Cricket Joshilla shall be fighting elections fot ICF next year ? How true is that Edited June 14, 2019 by Stuge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
G_B_ Posted June 14, 2019 Author Share Posted June 14, 2019 8 hours ago, Stuge said: Heard Cricket Joshilla shall be fighting elections fot ICF next year ? How true is that some say he has started vote bank politics already behind the scene. Promising reservation in mods quota for linguistic minorities. Stuge and Mariyam 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coffee_rules Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 MP operation Kamal? https://twitter.com/vikasbhaabp/status/1236970902329458689?s=21 https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/madhya-pradesh-kamal-government-in-crisis/liveblog/74554685.cms#_ga=2.65791787.460904016.1583764083-847386727.1577085798 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coffee_rules Posted June 9, 2021 Share Posted June 9, 2021 This should consolidate some Brahmin and UC votes for BJP in UP next year. They need to stich some SC coalition to safeguard UP. Yogi has a good image in UP. Still anything can happen in UP with the caste equations @G_B_ @mishra Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tibarn Posted June 9, 2021 Share Posted June 9, 2021 If Akhilesh wins UP next year, he will become a legit PM candidate in 2024, and for every election after 2026. UP elections will essentially be SFs for PMship after 2026. coffee_rules 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vilander Posted June 10, 2021 Share Posted June 10, 2021 5 hours ago, Tibarn said: UP elections will essentially be SFs for PMship after 2026. Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
G_B_ Posted June 10, 2021 Author Share Posted June 10, 2021 On 6/9/2021 at 2:22 PM, coffee_rules said: This should consolidate some Brahmin and UC votes for BJP in UP next year. They need to stich some SC coalition to safeguard UP. Yogi has a good image in UP. Still anything can happen in UP with the caste equations @G_B_ @mishra Jitin in himself is not much of a leader. Barely commands 2 to 3% of the vote in western up. But the symbolism is high. There are rumours of bjp reaching out to the rld. The grapevine goes that they will give rld an offer. If the jayant accepts then good. If not they will take all secondary leaders of the rld with them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tibarn Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 (edited) On 6/9/2021 at 10:16 PM, Vilander said: Why? JMO/my pessimistic projection, but it's based on a few factors: 1) Delimitation should happen in 2026, so the number of LS seats for each state would be reallocated. In this case, UP should have 91 LS seats. That is basically 1/3 of what is needed to be PM. It should happen every ~5 yrs after that, so, for each subsequent election, UP should gain 1-2 LS seats until its population stabilizes. 2) I see UP becoming bipolar once Mayawati retires; Mayawati thus far hasn't introduced a successor for her party, unlike SP with a leader who is in the age group to be involved in politics for another 3 decades as the party face. INC is already a minor party there, at least for now. If it becomes a bipolar state of SP vs BJP, then the mandates on the LS level will be pretty one-sided, whoever wins: 81: 10, 71: 20 type results. 3) The playing field for the 2 national parties is shrinking. INC can win in the same places that BJP can win and not many places else: The North and West (KA, MH, GJ, RJ, MP, CG, JH, UK, HR, DL, HP...). That makes it hard for both of them to have sizeable LS seats, so if BJP performs well, then INC would have significantly fewer seats, and vice versa. 4) INC is fine providing support to another party just to keep the BJP out, ie how they have accepted junior partner status to a regional party in most states where regional parties exist (if BJP is weak, they would do the same for a party they have a good equation with, but that is a lesser number of parties). That all basically adds up to PM coming from whoever the strongest national party in those W and N states vs a khichdi coalition with either the largest regional party as PM or a rotating chair of who is PM from regional parties. In either scenario of a khichdi coalition, the UP regional party, which I think will be SP, would have the most seats and therefore sway. It's a pessimistic scenario, but it's what I can see happening. It's not a fact that it will, but just a projection. Edited June 11, 2021 by Tibarn Mariyam 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coffee_rules Posted June 14, 2021 Share Posted June 14, 2021 Be prepared to more such outrage expressed from UP, Catch the culprits and take action. Aise lakhon incidents hoti reh ati hain, par narrative ek taraf se build karo. Some AAP director like Anurag Kashyap will include such a scene in their next web series Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coffee_rules Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 Truly, BJP B-team: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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