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Assembly elections(Tamil Nadu,Kerala,Bengal,Assam)-2016

Sujithmb13

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Sujithmb13

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Posted (edited)

I hope this is the only thread on it.

Tamil Nadu:This is the first time we are seeing a strong 3rd front or 4th front.Is Jaya again being too complacent and has she taken ppl for granted?She didn't forge an alliance which may be suicidal.A year back it looked like Jaya would sweep TN but the flood in chennai has turned d tides and gives hopes to Dmk(who were in doldrums).Dmk failed in wooing Vijaykanth which may still be the deciding factor in this election.NTK's and Pmk's campagining were very impressive which has caught d attention of youngsters.In Tamil Nadu the wind has always blown one side ,may be this time we might finally see a closely contested election.

Kerala:Can udf finally break the trend of alternative goverment every 5 years.There is no way UDF can comeback with their track record and governance since there is a strong anti-incumbency factor(BAR scam,solar scam and Saritha Scandal).But what they are hoping on is Bjp's growth denting the return of LDF.Cross voting and Betrayal are a common factor in Kerala elections.I'd say BJP's vote share would be the deciding factor this year.Usually upper caste hindus(Nairs,menons and Brahmins) vote for udf to keep away(even if some are bjp supporters).Can bjp finally poll substantially and can the popularity be finally transpired into vote shares?It remains to be seen if that's d case it would be a win for LDF .But there are reports that lower caste Hindus(Ezhavas,Thiyas) are moving towards BJP which may help UDF(Vellapilli Nadeshan and BDJS are assigned to do this job) .

Bengal:Will the marriage of convenience(Congress and Left) work or The Mamata rampage in elections would continue.I don't have much idea about the Bengal elections?

Assam:It seems anti incumbency factor against d current Congress government would do it for BJP.Let's not rule congress out in a state which has been their bastion.
 

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ravishingravi Grand Master

ravishingravi

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14 minutes ago, randomGuy said:

Assam goes to bjp after 3 full terms for the sitting CM. Hardly an achievement for BJP. But good anyways.

 

Couldn't achieve much in Bangal, Kerala, TN. Will it ever?

Not just a good achievement. This is the first time BJP is projected to be single largest party in the state. 

 

It is also polled to open its account in Kerala which is great achievement. It is not about seats. It is about voting % and what that takes away from other parties. 

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diga Mentor

diga

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and our attention seeking moron is back with her tweet

Quote

ET NOWVerified account‏@ETNOWlive

SAGARIKA GHOSE : Ongoing state polls will be a test of PM Modi's leadership

probably two more states lost by congress... no calls for removal of fake-gandhis

 

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ravishingravi Grand Master

ravishingravi

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14 minutes ago, randomGuy said:

Assam goes to bjp after 3 full terms for the sitting CM. Hardly an achievement for BJP. But good anyways.

 

Couldn't achieve much in Bangal, Kerala, TN. Will it ever?

Not just a good achievement. This is the first time BJP is projected to be single largest party in the state. 

 

It is also polled to open its account in Kerala which is great achievement. It is not about seats. It is about voting % and what that takes away from other parties. 

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Texan Mentor

Texan

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If BJP only ends up winning Assam and doesn't even get to double digits in any of the other states, I would say that it is a big disappointment on their side. For a national party that has won more than 50% LS seats, they should be looking into making some major inroads in all the states where they are fringe players. Otherwise, there is little chance of a 2014 repeat in 2019. 

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Texan Mentor

Texan

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By the way, I have never really understood what Bengal has gained by voting for Left all these years and now voting for even more extreme left in TMC. There has been zero economic progress and only hooliganism from these parties. Bengalis are migrating to all other parts of the country to find jobs and illegal Bangladeshis coming over. Have Bengalis still not learnt anything?

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ravishingravi Grand Master

ravishingravi

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By the way, I have never really understood what Bengal has gained by voting for Left all these years and now voting for even more extreme left in TMC. There has been zero economic progress and only hooliganism from these parties. Bengalis are migrating to all other parts of the country to find jobs and illegal Bangladeshis coming over. Have Bengalis still not learnt anything?

It's a cultural thing. Holds true for both WB and Kerala which had agrarian economies and driven leftist intellectuals who defined the framework for these states. They are used to the handout culture now. The youth are moving to other states.

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Mariyam Grand Master

Mariyam

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5 hours ago, ravishingravi said:

It's a cultural thing. Holds true for both WB and Kerala which had agrarian economies and driven leftist intellectuals who defined the framework for these states. They are used to the handout culture now. The youth are moving to other states.

I'm not sure I understand your logic here. Most of India had predominantly agrarian economies. And starting from roughly the time of Bhagat Singh's execution till around the mid 70s, most leaders and members of the intelligentsia were very left leaning. Why did just WB and Kerala imbibe left parties into their 'culture'?

 

Surprisingly the more industrialized states (at the time of Independence) ie Madras and Bombay Presidency didn't have strong presence of leftist parties, despite having organized labour unions.

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ravishingravi Grand Master

ravishingravi

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On 16 May 2016 at 8:23 PM, randomGuy said:

Assam goes to bjp after 3 full terms for the sitting CM. Hardly an achievement for BJP. But good anyways.

 

Couldn't achieve much in Bangal, Kerala, TN. Will it ever?

Not just a good achievement. This is the first time BJP is projected to be single largest party in the state. 

 

It is also polled to open its account in Kerala which is great achievement. It is not about seats. It is about voting % and what that takes away from other parties. 

9 hours ago, Mariyam said:

I'm not sure I understand your logic here. Most of India had predominantly agrarian economies. And starting from roughly the time of Bhagat Singh's execution till around the mid 70s, most leaders and members of the intelligentsia were very left leaning. Why did just WB and Kerala imbibe left parties into their 'culture'?

 

Surprisingly the more industrialized states (at the time of Independence) ie Madras and Bombay Presidency didn't have strong presence of leftist parties, despite having organized labour unions.

West Bengal is easier to explain. The intelligentsia had an affinity to China and Marxist socialist model of economy. This was of course accentuated when CPI m came to power when these ideologies got institutionalised. I also think it is the model of education which didn't alter much between the pre and post independence. Largely the Anglo Saxon leftist mindset which even today exists in our best universities. I think it would be fair to say that Kerala being the most literate state also was inclined towards this model. There is an inherently high degree of importance for intelligentsia in these two state who have defined the policy framework.

 

Let me clarify on agrarian economy part. It isn't so much that they were agrarian economy in beginning which made the difference. But the nature of economy did not undergo the transformation which we have seen in more developed states. With Agriculture largely dependent on vagaries of nature, it is but natural that people would prefer a bigger govt with more subsidies and more protection. 

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Texan Mentor

Texan

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1 hour ago, diga said:

Any careers on the line in these elections? Can think of Gogoi's , Captain's party

In a fair World, it should be the two Gandhis what with all the disasters over the last 2 years. But everyone knows that no Kangressi will have the guts to question them. 

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