Real McCoy Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 Teams need around 6 wins out of 9 games to qualify. There maybe a scenario where 3 teams end up with 6 wins in that case the one with the lowest NRR among them will be knocked out. So in our case, we need 7 wins to make sure we qualify considering Dhoni taking it to the last over All teams in the tournament can spring forth an upset. We need to be careful about that and also beat good teams too. The thought is making me Stan AF 1 Link to comment
zen Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 In general: 7 wins = In 5-6 wins = NRR dependent 4 or less wins = Out Link to comment
Norman Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 I think winning 5 or even 4 (If multiple games gets rained off) may be enough to qualify. Main reason is that the teams are relatively even matched in this world cup. You may see scenarios like A beats B , B beats C and C beats A , making points distribution even. We saw SRH qualify for top 4 with just 6 wins out of 14. So, there will surely be a scenario where 4 wins out of 9 will take you into SF. If I'm not wrong, Pak qualified like that in 1992. Link to comment
zen Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 (edited) 1 hour ago, Norman said: I think winning 5 or even 4 (If multiple games gets rained off) may be enough to qualify. Main reason is that the teams are relatively even matched in this world cup. You may see scenarios like A beats B , B beats C and C beats A , making points distribution even. We saw SRH qualify for top 4 with just 6 wins out of 14. So, there will surely be a scenario where 4 wins out of 9 will take you into SF. If I'm not wrong, Pak qualified like that in 1992. In 1992, teams played 8 games. A rained off game gives points to both teams so that equals to 0.5 win. Pak won 50% of its games 4 out of 8 (same as Aus) but the rained off game, which it could have lost iirc, gave it more points (4.5 wins out of 8) With less wins, the NRR or no results points gain importance. A beats B, B beats C, and C beats A, could happen among top teams and minnow teams. In games involving a top and a minnow, the top team would expect to get points on 9 out of 10 occasions If most top teams beat AFG, BD and SL for e.g. They have to aim to win 6-7 games in total. Even with 6 games, NRR could come into play (not accounting for NR) so 7 wins should be the target to avoid having to rely on “luck” Edited May 16, 2019 by zen Link to comment
maniac Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 On paper top 6 teams should beat Afghan,SL,Bangladesh and WI then a shootout between the top sides. And even the 4 sides I mentioned are not going to be pushovers. Can’t see WI and even Bangladesh or SL losing every game to the top sides. Link to comment
Vilander Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 very evenly matched WC this time. Eng,Aus,SA,NZ,WI fight to win BD,SL,AFG. no one will be push over. Link to comment
VT87 Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 I think rain will play a major role in wc. Link to comment
Gollum Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 6 should be enough methinks. I see us getting 7 wins, losing to Aus and NZ in the group stage. But then there is the rain factor, can easily screw teams over. Link to comment
Gollum Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 (edited) Eng 7 (top with NRR)...losses against WI and Ind Ind 7...losses against Aus, NZ Aus 6...losses against Eng, NZ, WI NZ 6...losses against Eng, Pak, RSA These 4 will contest semis. Eng defeat NZ Aus defeat Ind Final: Aus defeat Eng A few more predictions @Norman Regards Edited May 16, 2019 by Gollum Norman 1 Link to comment
Norman Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 12 minutes ago, Gollum said: Eng 7 (top with NRR)...losses against WI and Ind Ind 7...losses against Aus, NZ Aus 6...losses against Eng, NZ, WI NZ 6...losses against Eng, Pak, RSA These 4 will contest semis. Eng defeat NZ Aus defeat Ind Final: Aus defeat Eng A few more predictions @Norman Regards Who the heck is he ? Link to comment
Gollum Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 10 minutes ago, Norman said: Who the heck is he ? Nostradamus DHONI_FANN 1 Link to comment
Franco Vazquez Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 Teams can qualify with even 4 wins because half of the tournament is gonna end up being whitewashed. That's why I think Bangladesh is going to qualify for SF. They will defeat Afghanistan, WI, SL, NZ and Pakistan. Washout against Australia and lose other 3 games. Link to comment
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