randomGuy Posted May 19, 2020 Share Posted May 19, 2020 (edited) Mumbai - 20 million, 757 deaths Deaths Per million = 37.8 Delhi - 20 million, 166 deaths Deaths Per million = 8.3 UAE - 9.9 million, 227 deaths Deaths Per million = 23 Daily Deaths seemingly peaked at 12 and come down to 4-5 . https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/united-arab-emirates/ add Karachi, lahore, Dhaka etc. if anyone has the data. Comparing these cities due to similar people, similar demographics by age and similar climate. I think daily deaths in big cities like Mumbai Delhi would have peaked, now forming a plateau and will start to decrease. Now smaller cities towns villages will have more deaths unfortunately, after which covid19 will ebb off somewhat Edited May 19, 2020 by randomGuy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Singh bling Posted May 19, 2020 Share Posted May 19, 2020 New York 840 per million. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coffee_rules Posted May 19, 2020 Share Posted May 19, 2020 NJ 10582 out of 9 mil. 1175 deaths per million Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
randomGuy Posted May 20, 2020 Author Share Posted May 20, 2020 3 hours ago, Singh bling said: New York 840 per million. 2 hours ago, coffee_rules said: NJ 10582 out of 9 mil. 1175 deaths per million Weather and demographics by age decisively matter. For ex. India is 4.5x US population. Yet in 75+ age-group India and USA has same number of people, meaning USA has 4.5 times more older people in percentage terms....in 85+ population, USA probably has more people than India which is 4.5x its population. For better estimates I will compare Qatar (warm weather and young demographics) with NY, NJ and Massachusetts: Order is Tests per million(TPM), Cases per million(CPM), Deaths per million(DPM) -------------NY-------76500, 18600, 1473 --------------NJ-------58800, 17000, 1192 Massachusetts-69100, 12700, 862 -----------Qatar--------57800, 12400, 5 Why is DPM for Qatar 200 times lower for same TPM and CPM numbers? Answer is younger demographics and weather. Which is why you should compare Qatar, Delhi, Mumbai, Karachi Dhaka etc. comparing with NJ NY etc. gives wrong picture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Autonomous Posted May 20, 2020 Share Posted May 20, 2020 2 hours ago, randomGuy said: Weather and demographics by age decisively matter. For ex. India is 4.5x US population. Yet in 75+ age-group India and USA has same number of people, meaning USA has 4.5 times more older people in percentage terms....in 85+ population, USA probably has more people than India which is 4.5x its population. For better estimates I will compare Qatar (warm weather and young demographics) with NY, NJ and Massachusetts: Order is Tests per million(TPM), Cases per million(CPM), Deaths per million(DPM) -------------NY-------76500, 18600, 1473 --------------NJ-------58800, 17000, 1192 Massachusetts-69100, 12700, 862 -----------Qatar--------57800, 12400, 5 Why is DPM for Qatar 200 times lower for same TPM and CPM numbers? Answer is younger demographics and weather. Which is why you should compare Qatar, Delhi, Mumbai, Karachi Dhaka etc. comparing with NJ NY etc. gives wrong picture Abhi winter ne bhi aana hai Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
randomGuy Posted May 20, 2020 Author Share Posted May 20, 2020 32 minutes ago, Autonomous said: Abhi winter ne bhi aana hai Mumbai Karachi UAE Dhaka don't have winters ....Delhi Lahore have..but very far away...maybe vaccine by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clarke Posted May 20, 2020 Share Posted May 20, 2020 Monsoon is less than a month away for Mumbai and other areas. A second wave is suggested by experts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
randomGuy Posted May 20, 2020 Author Share Posted May 20, 2020 28 minutes ago, Clarke said: Monsoon is less than a month away for Mumbai and other areas. A second wave is suggested by experts. Like the first 'wave' was strong. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rkt.india Posted May 20, 2020 Share Posted May 20, 2020 3 hours ago, Clarke said: Monsoon is less than a month away for Mumbai and other areas. A second wave is suggested by experts. Monsoon is still warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clarke Posted May 20, 2020 Share Posted May 20, 2020 2 hours ago, randomGuy said: Like the first 'wave' was strong. Lol. The first wave had to deal with a massive lockdown, which isn't a long term option. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clarke Posted May 20, 2020 Share Posted May 20, 2020 16 minutes ago, rkt.india said: Monsoon is still warmer No one knows for sure how good or bad it will be, just estimations this far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
randomGuy Posted May 20, 2020 Author Share Posted May 20, 2020 1 hour ago, Clarke said: The first wave had to deal with a massive lockdown, which isn't a long term option. Modi induced....a leader has to be dynamic, change policy according to evidence, which Modi wasn't.. lockdown wasn't serving purpose beyond 20-30 days.. people also don't have buffer beyond 20-30 days... economy destroyed. People under extreme pain and distress thanks to political class. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clarke Posted May 20, 2020 Share Posted May 20, 2020 1 hour ago, randomGuy said: Modi induced....a leader has to be dynamic, change policy according to evidence, which Modi wasn't.. lockdown wasn't serving purpose beyond 20-30 days.. people also don't have buffer beyond 20-30 days... economy destroyed. People under extreme pain and distress thanks to political class. You sound like Dr Trump these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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