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IPL 2020 Playoff Qualification Possibilities thread


poi

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42 minutes ago, coffee_rules said:

SRH win is good for KXIP as well, else KXIP will have to win all of their remaining 4 

SRH win is good for KXIP as that increases their qualification a bit, but KXIP does not necessarily have to all 4. They could still lose to SRH and win 3 and still be in a good shape to qualify (assuming good NRR obviously)

 

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For tomorrow -- if CSK beats MI: there is still a possibility that they can be top2. And if they lose tomorrow, they can still be in the playoffs, believe it or not.

 

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If CSK gets defeated by MI: there are 808 scenarios where CSK can still qualify if they have higher NRR.

 

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This thread reeks of desperation. CSK and RR (the original spot fixing kedis) are more or less gone. Make your peace with it.

 

The 4th place is a 3 way battle between KXIP, SRH and KKR.  IMO, At this point KKR & SRH are too weak a side to make it to the playoffs as they will be cannon fodder for the top 3 teams.

 

 

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10 minutes ago, coffee_rules said:
  • @poi I know you had earlier explained best/worst case scenarios. Is it based on NRR being good/bad?

The "best case" scenarios are where NRR does not matter for each team, so if there are 3 teams tied at the top with 16 points, all 3 will be given "rank1". Conversely, in the "worst case" scenarios, if 3 teams are tied in the bottom with 8 points, all 3 will be given "rank8". In reality, obviously, the NRR will have an impact. For example, KKR and KXIP are both 12 points, but KXIP has much better NRR than KKR, so KXIP should be ranked higher than KKR. Not sure if I've answered your question, but for now with the NRR-based scenario, it is safe to look at that. The best/worst case tables are "what if NRR was better/worse". There are still few matches left for each team, so huge wins/losses could impact the NRR.

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19 minutes ago, poi said:

The "best case" scenarios are where NRR does not matter for each team, so if there are 3 teams tied at the top with 16 points, all 3 will be given "rank1". Conversely, in the "worst case" scenarios, if 3 teams are tied in the bottom with 8 points, all 3 will be given "rank8". In reality, obviously, the NRR will have an impact. For example, KKR and KXIP are both 12 points, but KXIP has much better NRR than KKR, so KXIP should be ranked higher than KKR. Not sure if I've answered your question, but for now with the NRR-based scenario, it is safe to look at that. The best/worst case tables are "what if NRR was better/worse". There are still few matches left for each team, so huge wins/losses could impact the NRR.


Thanks, makes sense. With their current NRR it gets better with wins, trying to factor NRR is tough as you will not know how big or small wins are. Considering this is the end, big wins will be rare like MI vs CSK recent one of 10 wkts, other matches will be lot closer as they play safe. In today’s match KXIP improved from -0.1 to -0.05 with a 19th over chase of 150. Expect most matches like that.

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If KXIP wins tomorrow, given their NRR, they're almost 90% into the playoffs. And at this point, MI is in top2 given their NRR.

 

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If RR beats KXIP, their chances match with the rest of the (lower end of) playoff hopefuls:

 

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If MI and SRH win over the weekend: assuming the NRRs do not change much, the top2 spot will be a tossup between DC and RCB based on their head to head match.

 

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If MI and RCB win: they should be top2.

 

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If DC and SRH win: MI will still be in top2

 

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If DC and RCB win:

 

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This year's IPL qualification and top2 will likely involve NRR. MI is surely top2, even if they lose, but DC and RCB will have to either win all or at least try to beat another team's NRR. They're both very close.

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