randomGuy Posted March 13 Posted March 13 47 minutes ago, goose said: even the best get their forecasts wrong but at least two respected forecasters are calling for an 80% drop in the nasdaq from here, but don't worry we'll be back to these levels by 2040! phew So far, very good returns on your long gold, short spx call. goose 1
diga Posted March 24 Posted March 24 On 3/11/2025 at 9:59 PM, rangeelaraja said: gotcha, HQ in Massachusetts. I meet someone here quite frequently for professional fraternity events. Haha.. not an east coast company. :D BTW, market seems to be ignoring the tariffs war
IndianRenegade Posted March 24 Posted March 24 (edited) 52 minutes ago, diga said: Haha.. not an east coast company. :D BTW, market seems to be ignoring the tariffs war It is not, they are just banking on such walk backs: Edited March 24 by IndianRenegade diga and mishra 1 1
Muloghonto Posted March 24 Posted March 24 Have made over 50K in last two months and I barely know anything about stocks. I just sold all my auto assets when trumpwa said tarrifs the first time. Then market crashed on day of tarrifs. So I bought again....then as expected Trump went ' lol jk' and markets climbed. So I sold again. Then he imposed tarrifs for real and markets crashed again. So I bought again and now am holding. The net gain of this shortselling cycle: just over 50k. Noice. randomGuy and G_B_ 1 1
diga Posted March 24 Posted March 24 11 minutes ago, IndianRenegade said: It is not, they are just banking on such walk backs: You went short of mentioning u-turn Understand its mainly posturing as global economies cannot arbitrarily set the rules. For me net gain has been zero till now as I have been very conservative for last 6 months
diga Posted April 9 Posted April 9 3 hours ago, goose said: face ripping rally! @velu hope you are not shorting puts velu 1
jf1gp_1 Posted April 10 Posted April 10 Don't even feel like looking at my portfolio these days. It's just been bad since october last year. Anyways I am still pumping whatever I can cause valuations are respectable these days.
G_B_ Posted April 10 Posted April 10 See with India the rule of thumb is If forward PE is less than 20 you invest in indices ranging from the sensex to the nifty equal weighed, passive funds. Even if there is a dip, it will come back. forward PE 20-25 then make sure that you know what is driving the market. It might come back but you may need to wait a bit longer. Forward pe more than 25 , avoid unless you have specific stock knowledge. The current forward PE for india blue chip indices is around 20. As things stand regardless of Trump the USA tech valuations mean that they were only going down...Trump probably aided it along, but the type of valuations dont make any sense.
velu Posted April 10 Posted April 10 8 hours ago, diga said: @velu hope you are not shorting puts i have overnight call ratios in sensex .. will be in trouble if mkt goes up really big
mishra Posted April 10 Posted April 10 Just now, velu said: i have overnight call ratios in sensex .. will be in trouble if mkt goes up really big velu 1
randomGuy Posted April 10 Posted April 10 Since 2021 oct. (3.5 yrs) ,when nifty was 18500, I have made only 7% cagr on liquid funds/FDs, apart from ~20% gains on gold where I invested arnd a crore just for 6 months. Have outperformed nifty somewhat, but very modestly...am waiting for elusive 20% fall that seems to never come, now i am getting hopeless about it..but koi baat nahi, won't start investing before 20% fall even if it means never.
randomGuy Posted April 10 Posted April 10 48 minutes ago, velu said: i have overnight call ratios in sensex .. will be in trouble if mkt goes up really big U know better ofcourse, but aren't call ratios bullish?
velu Posted April 10 Posted April 10 2 hours ago, randomGuy said: U know better ofcourse, but aren't call ratios bullish? did credit call ratio ( bought 77k and sold 78k .. 1:5 ) , because premiums are way too high .. huge upmove might screw us , but i played safe
randomGuy Posted April 10 Posted April 10 (edited) 17 minutes ago, velu said: did credit call ratio ( bought 77k and sold 78k .. 1:5 ) , because premiums are way too high .. huge upmove might screw us , but i played safe Tcs results weren't good today and also hoping for you spx closing 3-4% or so down today. Roughly when your losses start? Guessing above 22800(??) looking at options chain for 16th April expiry. Edited April 10 by randomGuy
velu Posted April 10 Posted April 10 3 minutes ago, randomGuy said: Tcs results weren't good today and also hoping for you spx closing 3-4% or so down today. Roughly when your losses start? Guessing above 22800(??) looking at options chain for 16th April expiry. did it in sensex .. i can be in good pft if mkt opens up 2% , so many parameters to consider ( like there will be a vol drop )
Teengunalagaan Posted April 23 Posted April 23 I think time to keep an eye on markets, may be offload some equity ? Indian govt will act, and rightly so, it's a given. Markets might see some short term volatility due to uncertainty. Any SM experts, what do you think?
diga Posted May 1 Posted May 1 Paras defence .. has already run up a lot , but a potential 10x stock. Lord 1
Lord Posted May 2 Posted May 2 On 5/1/2025 at 5:45 PM, diga said: Paras defence .. has already run up a lot , but a potential 10x stock. All defense stocks have rallied since Pahalgam happened. I missed the rally
diga Posted May 16 Posted May 16 On 5/2/2025 at 10:06 PM, Lord said: All defense stocks have rallied since Pahalgam happened. I missed the rally Rallied again... almost 50% up since may 1st Lord 1
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