Mariyam Posted May 15 Posted May 15 2 hours ago, Gollum said: Go ahead boss. I won't be on ICF that time, will take sanyaas from all this forum stuff very soon. You can't not be on ICF. ICF without you is like; Athens without the Acropolis Agra without the Taj mahal The Indian Team of the 90s without Sachin Pratik77, Gollum, ravishingravi and 1 other 1 3
Lord Posted May 15 Posted May 15 3 hours ago, Gollum said: Go ahead boss. I won't be on ICF that time, will take sanyaas from all this forum stuff very soon. Heard that before Mariyam, Gollum, ravishingravi and 1 other 4
G_B_ Posted May 15 Author Posted May 15 4 hours ago, singhvivek141 said: UP is always a conundrum, its such a massive and diverse state that its extremely tough to predict which way the voters will move. As you said, Yogi is extremely popular and loved by people of Up, but most of his ministers dont enjoy that luxury. There were several reports post the Lok Sabha election where Yogi was ignored by BJP in distribution of seats and that lead to them falling short of the majority. But I dont think the pattern will be repeated in state election, BJP knows very well that the charisma of Yogi is extremely important for them to win in UP and gain majority in Rajya Sabha. For Yogi too, since he is being seen as a next in line after Modi, this election holds massive value. If he is able to knock out 3rd term...there is little doubt that the may end up as a face of BJP in 2029 LS election. Though in order to happen, he will have to cross two hurdles 1. Alignment from RSS: Yogi not being from RSS but from Gorakhnath math may take more effort in convincing the RSS karyakartas. Though whoever I have spoken to, they belive Yogi is perhaps more Hindu than anyone else from RSS. 2. Amit Shah factor: I dont want it to turn into another Advani-Modi episode...Advani wanted to become PM...but he doesnt had that acceptance. Same goes for Shah. They need good fresh faces for tickets and manage rebellion. singhvivek141 1
Mariyam Posted May 15 Posted May 15 1 hour ago, Lord said: Heard that before ICF addiction reminds me of those lines from Hotel California: You can check out any time you like But you can never leave Lord, randomGuy, ravishingravi and 1 other 1 3
G_B_ Posted May 16 Author Posted May 16 51 minutes ago, ravishingravi said: BJP zeroing in on Punjab. Expect a flip here. Sikhs wont vote bjp. 15% to 20% max vote
Lone Wolf Posted May 16 Posted May 16 (edited) 1 hour ago, ravishingravi said: BJP zeroing in on Punjab. Expect a flip here. Tough fight between Congress and AAP this time around. Congress can swing it in their favour if they project Channi as CM face. BJP is going solo as of now and trying to expand their urban footprint. They will stay in lower double digits in vote percentage. SAD (Badal faction) is done for , SAD (WPD) may be kingmakers thanks to easy victories in Taran taran and Majha. Hung assembly chances are also there in case Congress f**ks up and AAP gets silent BJP support Edited May 16 by Lone Wolf ravishingravi 1
G_B_ Posted May 16 Author Posted May 16 Cong wont project anybody. Post election will be Warring or Bajwa Or Randhawa. Not likely to go against jatt sikh politics
G_B_ Posted May 16 Author Posted May 16 A long way to go but i project cong to sweep punjab. 80 seats+ Vote share wise Congress 35 to 40% Nda (sidhu party likely to ally+ smaller outfits) 15% to 20% Akali dal badal 10 to 15% Aap 25 to 30% Soft sikh seperatists 10 to 15% Others remaining.
Lone Wolf Posted May 16 Posted May 16 17 minutes ago, G_B_ said: Cong wont project anybody. Post election will be Warring or Bajwa. Or Randhawa. Not likely to go against jatt sikh politics I know everyone vying up for that CM spot in Congress, if they don't drag each other down they can realistically take down AAP. Regardless it is between Congress and AAP. Anyone who touches 30%+ of the voteshare will win. AAP/ Congress - 60% voteshare base. Same voter profile SAD Badal- 20% Moderate panthic votes WPD- 10%- Moderate to extreme and young panthic vote BJP/BSP/ Others - 10% BJP will get some urban votes, and BSP will get some SC votes in the Doaba region.
randomGuy Posted May 16 Posted May 16 3 hours ago, ravishingravi said: BJP zeroing in on Punjab. Expect a flip here. Expecting a few surprises here as well after Bengal. Good thing is that bjp voters are concentrated in urban Punjab, it need not focus on rural for now. 2024 election 18.5% vote share meant leads in 30-35 assembly seats out of 119. Multi pronged contest will also benefit BJP. ravishingravi 1
G_B_ Posted May 16 Author Posted May 16 3 hours ago, Lone Wolf said: I know everyone vying up for that CM spot in Congress, if they don't drag each other down they can realistically take down AAP. Regardless it is between Congress and AAP. Anyone who touches 30%+ of the voteshare will win. AAP/ Congress - 60% voteshare base. Same voter profile SAD Badal- 20% Moderate panthic votes WPD- 10%- Moderate to extreme and young panthic vote BJP/BSP/ Others - 10% BJP will get some urban votes, and BSP will get some SC votes in the Doaba region. I dont think badals have 20% Rumour is aap might tie up with sad if they feel they might lose.
ravishingravi Posted May 16 Posted May 16 If Yogi wins UP handsomely, i hope his transition to centre follows.
rangeelaraja Posted May 17 Posted May 17 On 5/15/2026 at 2:25 AM, Gollum said: @IndianRenegade anna nahi? Woh kiye toh BJP 400 paar. His he a confirmed BJP hardliner ? If so, then yes. Gollum 1
Gollum Posted May 17 Posted May 17 (edited) 3 minutes ago, rangeelaraja said: His he a confirmed BJP hardliner ? If so, then yes. IIRC he is a BJP/Modi supporter, but I lose track of these things. @IndianRenegade bhai se hi pooch lete hai. And if yes, lock kiya jaye. Lot of work for him, and sky-high expectations , 2027 WC, 2028 Olympics cricket, 2028 T20 WC, 2029 CT, 2029 GE 400 paar.......... Edited May 17 by Gollum rangeelaraja 1
Lone Wolf Posted May 17 Posted May 17 21 minutes ago, randomGuy said: Ye alag hi churan le ke baitha hai... Itna confidence nayab Saini ko bhi nai hai
rangeelaraja Posted May 17 Posted May 17 3 minutes ago, Lone Wolf said: Ye alag hi churan le ke baitha hai... Itna confidence nayab Saini ko bhi nai hai BJP election planning and execution is on a different level. The Raghav Chadha move wasn't opportunistic. That was planned. They have 2027 mapped out already and he'll be front and center campaigning against AAP. And honestly, Navjot Sidhu showing up on a BJP stage by then would surprise nobody. Punjab being a border state matters more than people give it credit for. Mann is an absolute joke. A state sitting on the Pakistan border needs someone serious in that chair. The good news for BJP is AAP hasn't had the time to cement themselves the way TMC did in Bengal. TMC had decades. AAP has had one term. The ground is still loose. With the kind of money and organization BJP can bring in, Punjab is very much a winnable fight.
rangeelaraja Posted May 17 Posted May 17 2 hours ago, Gollum said: IIRC he is a BJP/Modi supporter, but I lose track of these things. @IndianRenegade bhai se hi pooch lete hai. And if yes, lock kiya jaye. Lot of work for him, and sky-high expectations , 2027 WC, 2028 Olympics cricket, 2028 T20 WC, 2029 CT, 2029 GE 400 paar.......... Lets not dilute his power. Lets keep him for key matches and ensure India wins the 2027 WC final. 400 paar nahi chahiye, bas single majority se govt ban jaye, utna kaafi hai. Gollum 1
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