Rajiv Posted March 20, 2008 Posted March 20, 2008 http://www.bclc.com/app/DidYouWin/WinningNumbers/Lotto649.asp 2nd Prize which is 5/6 + Bonus, usually there are like 5 winners max and they share around 80-90K on a 3.5 Million Lotto This time, 240 people have won the prize - each one getting $1100 which is less than the 3rd prize which is around $2,500
Guest HariSampath Posted March 22, 2008 Posted March 22, 2008 Wow...this is perhaps the most extraordinary Lotto result I had seen in my life. 240 guys hitting 5/6 + bonus. btw did you notice another incredible thing about the winning numbers ? 23, 40, 41, 42, 44, 45 are the 6 nums and the bonus num is 43 !! That is, 6 of the 7 nums are in a direct straight sequence 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45 !!! Add this to the fact that 240 have picked 5/6 + bonus, it is an extraordinary thing as no one will really pick 6 numbers in a straight line in a Lotto, and that too it clicks for 240 guys !! Can you imagine how close these 240 guys were to a near mathematical impossibility, and the very strange thing is even though 240 guys picked 6 straight sequence numbers out of 7, but not even one hits the 6/6 ! This is an amazing Lotto. ( Rajiv and DR )....see what I mean when I get involved with the Canadian 6/49 ?? LOl...I predicted 4 out of 6 correctly for DR ! but he didnt play it, 2 weeks back :-(
cochise Posted March 22, 2008 Posted March 22, 2008 Hari, Am I wrong to say that the following sequence a, b, c, d, e ,f (where a, b, c, d, e and f are any number of your choosing in the accepted range) has the same probability of occuring as say: 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45 ? p.s. Given that each are drawn independently.
Rajiv Posted March 22, 2008 Author Posted March 22, 2008 hari, those are quick pick numbers, I doubt it if they picked it themselves http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/20080320/lotto_winners_080320/20080320?hub=TopStories
Guest HariSampath Posted March 22, 2008 Posted March 22, 2008 Hari, Am I wrong to say that the following sequence a, b, c, d, e ,f (where a, b, c, d, e and f are any number of your choosing in the accepted range) has the same probability of occuring as say: 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45 ? p.s. Given that each are drawn independently. You are correct in that the mathematical probability of any combination remains same as long as this is considered an independent event. Buut if you consider a model where , say, you pick a 6 combo 100 times, then although each particular draw is independent and any 6 numbers have the same probability, the probablity would vary if the "100 draws" is considered as ONE event. To illustrate, we know mathematically that any 6 numbers are equally probable in one draw, and then let us say we move to the 2nd draw. Even in this 2nd draw, the mathematical probability of getting any six numbers would be the same, but the probability of getting exactly the same 6 combo we got in the 1st draw would be lesser, because now the event is defined as "draw 1 + draw 2" . So , if we get a, b, c , d, e, f in draw 1, out of 26 letters, then, if we draw second time, this draw 2 is apparently unconnected with draw 1, and we should have same probability of getting a to f again, but this is not so.
Guest HariSampath Posted March 22, 2008 Posted March 22, 2008 hari, those are quick pick numbers, I doubt it if they picked it themselves http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/20080320/lotto_winners_080320/20080320?hub=TopStories Yes, many combos would have been picked by qp and others by human element too. But even that is extraordinary, if you consider that for the same Lotto draw, 240 times ( qp or human element) the same combo of 6 in a row gets picked, and the incredible coincidence is that combo gets picked by the Lotto draw which is another random event. The combined probability of these events happening together must be extremely small.
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