G_B_ Posted October 13, 2014 Author Share Posted October 13, 2014 Rumours that Devendra Fadnavis is lined up to be CM of maharashtra. That is going to ruffle a lot of feathers. He is an RSS pick. From Nagpur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gaurav92 Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 is this some sort of gujrati living in mumbai fetish? lol :cantstop: the strength of sena power is the BMC. You want to kill the sena you kill them in the BMC. For that you need to wait to 2017. push comes to shove sena will join hands with the ncp. BJP cannot ally with the congress. Two birds one stone. Most likely MNS and the Sena will come together post polls. Gadkari does have friendly relations with Raj. But he is not on that friendly terms for him to ignore the call from matoshree. LOL I am no Gujju. but there definitely is Modi wave in town. 110-120 is the final figure for the BJP, you heard it here first. Sena will get close to 60 seats and NCP and Congis to get 35 to 40 seats each. MNS will get their customary 15-20 seats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
G_B_ Posted October 13, 2014 Author Share Posted October 13, 2014 LOL I am no Gujju. but there definitely is Modi wave in town. 110-120 is the final figure for the BJP' date=' you heard it here first. Sena will get close to 60 seats and NCP and Congis to get 35 to 40 seats each. MNS will get their customary 15-20 seats.[/quote'] I agree with you. There is a modi wave. General agree with ur figures but feel bjp+ allies will get 145 needed. But raj t allying with BJP makes no sense what so ever if they are so close to to the finishing line. Especally when there are independents to make the numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gaurav92 Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 I agree with you. There is a modi wave. General agree with ur figures but feel bjp+ allies will get 145 needed. But raj t allying with BJP makes no sense what so ever if they are so close to to the finishing line. Especally when there are independents to make the numbers. Yes may be independents will make it 145 for BJP, but if not, Raj will chip in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
G_B_ Posted October 13, 2014 Author Share Posted October 13, 2014 I am getting lots of reports of big turnouts at MIM rallies in mumbai. the youth especially. Not joking but MIM could become a player in mumbai atleast. Bad news for the congress crucially. The rise of the MIM could cripple them long term in elections at all levels in the city. Not only mumbai but Marathwada especially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
G_B_ Posted October 13, 2014 Author Share Posted October 13, 2014 As per Maharashtra Times a marathi newspaper In Mumbai Turnout 45% odd then sena will be in advantage Turnout 60% the BJP will have the advantage A lot depends on the turn out. The BJP is reliant on the middle class turning up. The lower middle class Marathi vote is consolidating for the sena at the expense of the MNS in mumbai. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Texan Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 BJP being the single largest party seems to be a common thread in all opinion polls so far. The interesting part is that opinion polls don't seem to agree on who will be second, third and fourth. It is almost a make or break election in my opinion for SS and MNS. If they fare badly, a merger or at least seat-sharing arrangements between the two must be in order. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Texan Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 As per Maharashtra Times a marathi newspaper In Mumbai Turnout 45% odd then sena will be in advantage Turnout 60% the BJP will have the advantage A lot depends on the turn out. The BJP is reliant on the middle class turning up. The lower middle class Marathi vote is consolidating for the sena at the expense of the MNS in mumbai. There seems to be some concern in BJP that Sena might use some strong-arm tactics to keep traditional BJP voters at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
G_B_ Posted October 14, 2014 Author Share Posted October 14, 2014 BJP being the single largest party seems to be a common thread in all opinion polls so far. The interesting part is that opinion polls don't seem to agree on who will be second' date=' third and fourth. It is almost a make or break election in my opinion for SS and MNS.[b'] If they fare badly, a merger or at least seat-sharing arrangements between the two must be in order. that will happen regardless IMO , crucially for the BMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
G_B_ Posted October 14, 2014 Author Share Posted October 14, 2014 There seems to be some concern in BJP that Sena might use some strong-arm tactics to keep traditional BJP voters at home. apart from Gujratis and some Brahmins, the BJP never really had any voters in the city. Usually the middle classes voted for the congress or did not vote at all. It remains to be seen that Namo aside can the BJP sustain itself in the city. We will know in the BMC polls in 2017 if they contest alone. Which is why you need to take these surveys with a pinch of salt for mumbai. The people who say will vote sena will most likely goto the polls and vote for the sena. The people who say will vote BJP may not goto the polls and vote for the BJP. The RSS is very good at getting villagers to vote. Not people in high rises. Somebody like Lodha in Malabar hill is sweating it out. His Gujarati vote bank lives in high rises. The lok sabha galvanized them to vote. His nearest challenger the Shiv sena candidate will be able to bank on x amount of votes from the sena vote bank. Lodha can beat that amount. But only if this vote bank decides to turn up. Malabar hill is the places to watch to see if the well to do have turned out. A low polling in that area and the odds for Lodha look slim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sachin=GOD Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 I think BJP and allies will get a majority. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
G_B_ Posted October 14, 2014 Author Share Posted October 14, 2014 ^ they should and mostly will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sachin=GOD Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 News reports saying that Fadnavis will be CM is BJP comes to power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
G_B_ Posted October 14, 2014 Author Share Posted October 14, 2014 BJP could get 115 to 125 seats in a house of 288 legislators. “There is also likelihood of split in some parties that would help BJP post polls,†a bookie said. Bookies believe Shiv Sena would be the number two with 50 to 60 seats. Congress and Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) are expected to win 35-45 seats each while bookies predict 12-15 for Raj Thackeray-led Maharashtra Navnirman Sena (MNS). Others, including some smaller parties and independents, would get around 15 seats. http://www.hindustantimes.com/punjab/chandigarh/bookies-bet-on-bjp-leading-in-hung-verdicts/article1-1275376.aspx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sachin=GOD Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Shishir Gupta @sisir_gupta Today's Chanakya gives 180 seats to bjp in Maharashtra. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
G_B_ Posted October 14, 2014 Author Share Posted October 14, 2014 damn thats more than what i expected.... talk about a landslide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malcolm Merlyn Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Shishir Gupta @sisir_gupta Today's Chanakya gives 180 seats to bjp in Maharashtra. damn thats more than what i expected.... talk about a landslide. I dont believe this.Let their exit polls come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
G_B_ Posted October 14, 2014 Author Share Posted October 14, 2014 and btw i thought todays chanakya were not doing a poll? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedFever Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Shishir Gupta @sisir_gupta Today's Chanakya gives 180 seats to bjp in Maharashtra. Dont know if it is true. Today's Chanakya @TodaysChanakya · Oct 13 #TCPoll No opinion poll is released by us & we are not responsible for any poll numbers circulated in our name for Haryana & Maharashtra. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
G_B_ Posted October 15, 2014 Author Share Posted October 15, 2014 reports that mim has done well in muslim areas of mumbai as per initial polling. might pick up 1-2 seats in the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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