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Posted
Are you deliberately being naive? You don't think a minister couldn't use his office to influence the probe?
How ? Delhi govt. has no say even over 1 constable in Delhi.
The anarchist CM's symbolic protest achieved ghanta... He escaped somehow... The violent protest was also a sham with gullible public takers for a ride and causing so much problem for 1000s of commuting public...
Oh come of it. The problem was caused thanks to Shinde closing down metro stations needlessly other than that what problem to 1000's lol ? The protest was held in area which is mostly VIP anyway. And AAP exposed Congress/BJP for their double standards on giving full statehood to Delhi. They promise in Manifesto time and again and then make silly and lame excuses.
Posted
It was more probably a case of cooking the numbers for Pramod Mahajan in an already flawed poll.
could be. In todays india though there are so many news channels that you can probably take an average
Posted

ABP News-Nielsen Opinion Poll: BJP gains ground in UP, party to win 35 seats; BSP 15, SP 14, Congress+RLD 12, AAP 2, Others 2

New Delhi: The ruling Samajwadi Party in Uttar Pradesh is heading for trouble with the Bharatiya Janata Party making a strong comeback. If Lok Sabha elections are held at this point of time, the Samajwadi Party, Bahujan Samaj Party and the Congress will face sever setback from the BJP. According to ABP News-Nielsen survey which took place between December 28, 2013-January 12, 2014, BJP is predicted to win 35 seats (out of 80) while it won only 10 seats in 2009. The BJP is the biggest gainer with 15 per cent more votes and is expected to get 32 per cent votes. The party is definitely gaining from Modi for a better harvest. Samajwadi Party which had won 23 seats earlier is likely to win only 14 this time. Mulayam Singh’s party’s is witnessing a dip in vote share (16 per cent) by around 7.5 per cent votes. BSP’s seat count has been reduced to 15 when compared to 20 in the previous poll. The party is likely to lose 4 per cent of its votes & is expected to win 23 per cent of vote share. Congress (8) and its ally Rashtriya Lok Dal (4) are projected to win only 12 seats as compared to 26 in the 2009 poll. The Congress-RJD is losing 8 per cent votes. It is likely to get 13 per cent votes. Aam Aadmi Party which is a new entrant in the Lok Sabha polls could win 2 seats. Others parties have a similar count. AAP is expected to garner 6 per cent of vote share. Let’s take a look at the zone-wise forecast (Figure 1) Congress-Rashtriya Lok Dal: Bundelkhand 0, Central 2, Eastern 4, Western 6 TOTAL: 12 Bharatiya Janata Party: Bundelkhand 2, Central 5, Eastern 17, Western 11 TOTAL: 35 Bahujan Samaj Party: Bundelkhand 1, Central 3, Eastern 7, Western 4 TOTAL: 15 Samajwadi Party: Bundelkhand 1, Central 2, Eastern 6, Western 5 TOTAL: 14 Aam Aadmi Party: Western 2 TOTAL: 2 Others: Eastern 1, Western 1 TOTAL: 2 ABP News-Nielsen Opinion Poll: Lok Sabha forecast from UP's Bundelkhand (4): Congress+ 0, BJP 2, BSP - 1, SP -1, AAP 0, Others 0 ABP News-Nielsen Opinion Poll: Lok Sabha polls forecast from UP’s Central Zone (12 seats): Congress+ 2, BJP 5, BSP 3, SP 2, AAP 0, Others 0 ABP News-Nielsen Opinion Poll: Lok Sabha polls forecast from UP’s Eastern Zone (35 seats): Congress+ 4, BJP 17, BSP 7, SP 6, AAP 0, Others 1 ABP News-Nielsen Opinion Poll: Lok Sabha polls forecast from UP’s Western Zone (29 seats): Congress+ 6, BJP 11, BSP 4, SP 5, AAP 2, Others 1
http://www.abplive.in/india/2014/01/23/article253131.ece/ABP-News-Nielsen-Opinion-Poll-BJP-gains-ground-in-UP-party-to-win-35-seats-BSP-15-SP-14-CongressRLD-12-AAP-2-Others-2#.UuIfrNJFDDc
Posted

So looking at three surveys for UP, for the BJP India Today-Headlines Today you have 30 seats CNN-IBN LokNitti you have 41-49 seats ABP-Neilsen you have 35 seats

Posted
1) Police officers are just sent on leave. They are not fighting any elections and even this leave is paid. 2) Police officers didn't act despite complaints from residents and proofs in form of sting for months. And in the other case it's a more symbolic step due to rape that happened in open. 3) Police officers can influence probe sitting on top of evidence. Whether he is minister or not is irrelevant to probe. Simple logic. Btw, aur bhi gam hain zamane mein siwaye ek minor incident ke.
So let me get this straight. A police inspector and constable can influence evidence but a law minister can't do the same by intimidating evidence ?
Posted
So let me get this straight. A police inspector and constable can influence evidence but a law minister can't do the same by intimidating evidence ?
Yes. * Law minister in Delhi govt. other state government have police reporting to them unlike delhi.
Posted
Yes. * Law minister in Delhi govt. other state government have police reporting to them unlike delhi.
If u really think a law minister needs police support to intimidate or influence evidence then that is very naive
Posted
Last time bjp n Congress had 18% vote share yet bjp had 10 and Congress had 21 seats. I am hoping tht AAP gets 20 percent with 20 seats.
Very tough in UP. BJP and Mulayam banking on communal polarization which they began using a long while back. BSP has it's core base plus also trying to get Muslims. The protest vote tired of all of this and looting/gunda raj will come to AAP if it is able to get sufficient cadre strength and organization in such short time. How much it will be anybody's guess but it's quite tough. Western UP was AAP's best bet but due to Muzaffarnagar now it's polarized.
Posted
If u really think a law minister needs police support to intimidate or influence evidence then that is very naive
How is it relevant then whether he is law minister or not ? Evidence in this case are the locals themselves and he is MLA from there. SHO had the concerned officials giving testimony reporting to him directly. I am not exactly sure what he is accused of anyway ? Obstruction of justice at best or the protest type charges of incitement.
Posted
Very tough in UP. BJP and Mulayam banking on communal polarization which they began using a long while back. BSP has it's core base plus also trying to get Muslims. The protest vote tired of all of this and looting/gunda raj will come to AAP if it is able to get sufficient cadre strength and organization in such short time. How much it will be anybody's guess but it's quite tough. Western UP was AAP's best bet but due to Muzaffarnagar now it's polarized.
It's early days still. Abp news is giving AAP 6 percent votes and 2 seats. Let them announce candidate names n let elections come closer. In Delhi btw, AAP reduced bsp vote share from 14 percent to just 7 percent this time. I am giving them 15 seats from Delhi + haryana too btw
Posted
It's early days still. Abp news is giving AAP 6 percent votes and 2 seats. Let them announce candidate names n let elections come closer. In Delhi btw' date=' AAP reduced bsp vote share from 14 percent to just 7 percent this time. I am giving them 15 seats from Delhi + haryana too btw[/quote'] AAP's best bets would be Delhi, Haryana, Punjab belt. Can even make drugs and Bongress supporting Drug mafia a big issue in this belt. Beyond that Areas bordering Delhi in UP. Noida/Ghaziabad etc.... And Goa, Bangalore, Mumbai, Pune and few more parts of Maharasthra. Need to concentrate on these areas properly. Then Ilyaz Azmi has area of strength in 1 seat in UP. Jamshedpur MP Ajay Kumar may also join leaving JVM.
Posted
AAP's best bets would be Delhi, Haryana, Punjab belt. Can even make drugs and Bongress supporting Drug mafia a big issue in this belt. Beyond that Areas bordering Delhi in UP. Noida/Ghaziabad etc.... And Goa, Bangalore, Mumbai, Pune and few more parts of Maharasthra. Need to concentrate on these areas properly. Then Ilyaz Azmi has area of strength in 1 seat in UP. Jamshedpur MP Ajay Kumar may also join leaving JVM.
Nice. Just to add tht in the 5 pronged fight in UP, you need lesser percentage of votes to win seats. They should concentrate in perhaps half to three-fourth of UP too depending on their resources. Plus some of their main leaders come from UP
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