Texan Posted June 4, 2015 Posted June 4, 2015 According to Google's director of engineering, who has apparently got many predictions right in the past. Ray Kurzweil: Humans will be hybrids by 2030 In the future, humans are going to be artificially intelligent. That's the prediction of Ray Kurzweil, director of engineering at Google (GOOGL, Tech30), who spoke Wednesday at the Exponential Finance conference in New York. Kurzweil predicts that humans will become hybrids in the 2030s. That means our brains will be able to connect directly to the cloud, where there will be thousands of computers, and those computers will augment our existing intelligence. He said the brain will connect via nanobots -- tiny robots made from DNA strands. "Our thinking then will be a hybrid of biological and non-biological thinking," he said. The bigger and more complex the cloud, the more advanced our thinking. By the time we get to the late 2030s or the early 2040s, Kurzweil believes our thinking will be predominately non-biological. We'll also be able to fully back up our brains. "We're going to gradually merge and enhance ourselves," he said. "In my view, that's the nature of being human -- we transcend our limitations." Kurzweil, who is known as one the world's leading inventors, has predicted what the future will look like before. In the '90s, he made 147 predictions for 2009. In 2010, he reviewed his predictions, 86% of which were correct. He gave himself a "B" grade. His correct predictions included that people would primarily use portable computers in 2009, that cables would disappear and that computer displays would be built into eyeglasses. He did admit on stage Wednesday that he thought we'd have self-driving cars by 2009. "Now that's not completely wrong," he said. "If I had said 2015, I think it would've been correct, but they're still not in mainstream use. So even the [predictions] that were wrong were directionally correct." For those concerned with artificial intelligence taking over the world, Kurzweil said we have a moral imperative to keep developing the technology while controlling for potential dangers. "As I wrote starting 20 years ago, technology is a double-edged sword," he said. "Fire kept us warm and cooked our food but also burnt down our houses. Every technology has had its promise and peril." http://money.cnn.com/2015/06/03/technology/ray-kurzweil-predictions/ Well, the ability to back up my brain will be useful to recall historical incidents during an argument with the wife. :winky:
moniker Posted June 4, 2015 Posted June 4, 2015 And then we'll gradually lose the ability to think biologically and go back to being monkeys but with a chip in the brain.
Donal Cozzie Posted June 4, 2015 Posted June 4, 2015 Think of the benefits to cricket though. A now 90% cyborg Sachin can play forever, Binny can have a bazooka installed in his arm to fire in 5000kph yorkers, Watson can have DRS installed in his eye to save Australia countless reviews, and Ahmed Shahzad can have rollerblades installed to his feet to get his SR above 25
swatpulla Posted June 5, 2015 Posted June 5, 2015 Augmented intelligence will make life hard for non-creative people. I would love to see that day. Btw, it shouldn't be called intelligence, it's only an add-on to our brain.
coffee_rules Posted June 5, 2015 Posted June 5, 2015 I have been cynical of future innovations ever since it was predicted that there would be flying cars by 2015!
Crookbond Posted June 5, 2015 Posted June 5, 2015 I have been cynical of future innovations ever since it was predicted that there would be flying cars by 2015! TBH, that's the failure of Artificial Intelligence including Natural Language Processing. I doubt there has been any other research community which has over promised so much and under delivered so little.
akshayxyz Posted June 6, 2015 Posted June 6, 2015 Though I like the concept of Technological Singularity. I like Yann LeCun's take on Kurzveil http://spectrum.ieee.org/automaton/robotics/artificial-intelligence/facebook-ai-director-yann-lecun-on-deep-learning Spectrum: You’ve already expressed your disagreement with many of the ideas associated with the Singularity movement. I’m interested in your thoughts about its sociology. How do you account for its popularity in Silicon Valley? LeCun: It’s difficult to say. I’m kind of puzzled by that phenomenon. As Neil Gershenfeld has noted, the first part of a sigmoid looks a lot like an exponential. It’s another way of saying that what currently looks like exponential progress is very likely to hit some limit—physical, economical, societal—then go through an inflection point, and then saturate. I’m an optimist, but I’m also a realist. “There are people that you’d expect to hype the Singularity, like Ray Kurzweil. He’s a futurist. . . . But he has not contributed anything to the science of AI, as far as I can tell.” There are people that you’d expect to hype the Singularity, like Ray Kurzweil. He’s a futurist. He likes to have this positivist view of the future. He sells a lot of books this way. But he has not contributed anything to the science of AI, as far as I can tell. He’s sold products based on technology, some of which were somewhat innovative, but nothing conceptually new. And certainly he has never written papers that taught the world anything on how to make progress in AI. Spectrum: What do you think he is going to accomplish in his job at Google? LeCun: Not much has come out so far.
Recommended Posts