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2014 Lok Sabha Elections thread |Exit poll results


ganeshran

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^abey DM,why you get angry...i just asked.. As for as i know Modi is not the only person contesting elections... ,
I didn't get angry at all. I just answered your question. Yes, Modi is NOT the only one but he is ONE of the person contesting LS elections. Therefore, I think it is relevant and I don't see an issue if you think it isn't.
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Poll tracker: BJP wave in Bihar, J'khand; TMC, BJD lead in WB, Odisha

New Delhi: Bharatiya Janata Party's (BJP) prime ministerial candidate Narendra Modi is the most preferred choice of the voters for the post of PM in Bihar, West Bengal, Jharkhand and Odisha. Lokniti-IBN national election tracker predicts that BJP is the leading party in Bihar and Jharkhand. In West Bengal and Odisha, the ruling regional parties - the Trinamool Congress (TMC) and Biju Janata Dal (BJD) - are expected to maintain their lead. The BJP is not gaining much in these two states, though Narendra Modi is ahead of others in the PM race. ALSO SEE Bihar poll tracker: BJP may win 16-24 seats, JDU 7-13, RJD 6-10 According to the poll, the BJP will emerge as the largest party in Bihar if Lok Sabha elections are held in January 2014. In the neighbouring states of West Bengal and Odisha, the TMC and the BJD are expected to maintain their lead. In Bihar, with 40 Lok Sabha seats, the main opposition BJP is expected to win 16-24 seats. The ruling Janata Dal (United) is expected to win just 7-13 seats while Lalu Prasad's Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) is likely to improve its tally by winning 6-10 seats. The Congress is projected to win 0-4 seats. ALSO SEE WB election tracker: Mamata's TMC likely to get 20-28 seats, Left 7-13 The BJP is expected to garner 40 per cent of the votes in Jharkhand which has 14 Lok Sabha seats. The Congress, which is a part of the state government in alliance with the Jharkhand Mukti Morcha (JMM) is likely to get just 20 per cent votes. Shibu Soren's JMM and Babulal Marandi's Jharkhand Vikas Morcha (JVM) are likely to get 8 and 7 per cents of votes respectively. In Odisha with 21 Lok Sabha seats, Naveen Patnaik-led BJD is expected to maintain its lead by winning 10-16 seats. The main opposition Congress is expected to win 3-9 seats and the BJP is projected to win 0-4 seats. ALSO SEE Election Tracker: BJP ahead in Jharkhand, Congress strong in Assam Mamata Banerjee's TMC is likely to improve its strength by winning 20-28 seats in West Bengal which sends 42 Lok Sabha MPs to Parliament. The CPM-led Left Front is staring at a bleak future. It is projected to win just 7-13 seats while the Congress is expected to win 5-9 seats and the BJP may get 0-2 seats. In some good news for the Congress, the party is likely to do very well in Assam if Lok Sabha elections are held in January 2014. The party will, in fact, increase its vote share from 35 per cent in 2009 elections to 47 per cent now as per the Lokniti-IBN National Tracker poll. ALSO SEE Odisha poll tracker: BJD likely to win 10-16 seats, Congress 3-9 Since the sample size for two other states surveyed - Assam and Jharkhand - is very small, there are no seat projections for the two states. All seat projections are provided by Chennai Mathematical Institute's Director Professor Rajeeva Karandikar. Projected seats (January 2014) Bihar (40) BJP: 16-24 JD(U): 7-13 RJD: 6-10 Congress: 0-4 Odisha (21) BJD: 10-16 Congress: 3-9 BJP: 0-4 West Bengal (42) TMC: 20-28 Left Front: 7-13 Congress: 5-9 BJP: 0-2 Vote share In Bihar, the Modi wave is clearly helping the BJP and the party is likely to get 39 per cent of the votes if elections are held in January 2014. In 2009, the BJP got just 14 per cent of the votes. The ruling JD(U) is likely to get just 20 per cent votes whereas in 2009, it polled 24 per cent of the votes. The RJD is likely to get 15 per cent, the Congress 11 per cent, Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) 2 per cent, the AAP 3 per cent and others are likely to get 10 per cent of the votes. Jharkhand is seeing a Narendra Modi wave with the BJP expected to garner 40 per cent of the votes in the state if Lok Sabha elections are held in January 2014. The Congress, which in alliance with the JMM, runs the state government, is likely to get just 20 per cent votes in the mineral-rich state. In Odisha, the BJD is likely to 34 per cent votes. In 2009, it polled 37 per cent votes. The Congress is likely to get 31 per cent votes which were 33 per cent in 2009. The BJP is projected to get 25 per cent votes, a big jump from 17 per cent in 2009. The AAP is expected to get a mere 1 per cent votes and the others are expected to get 10 per cent votes. In West Bengal, Mamata Banerjee continues to hold the sway. The TMC is projected to get 33 per cent votes whereas in 2009 it was 31. The Left Front is expected to garner 25 per cent votes whereas in 2009, it got a huge 43 per cent votes. The Congress is expected to gain 5 per cent more votes this time. In 2009, the Congress got 14 per cent votes. The BJP's vote is expected to touch 14 per cent from a mere 6 per cent in 2009. The AAP is likely to garner a mere 2 per cent votes and the others are likely to get 7 per cent votes. In Assam, Congress will in fact increase its vote share from 35 per cent in 2009 elections to 47 per cent now as per the Lokniti-IBN National Tracker poll. The BJP is also expected to increase its share from 16 per cent in 2009 to 19 now while Asom Gana Parishad's (AGP) share sees a big drop from 15 to 9 per cent.
http://ibnlive.in.com/news/poll-tracker-bjp-wave-in-bihar-jkhand-tmc-bjd-lead-in-wb-odisha/446715-37-64.html
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BJP gets a boost in Bihar, 2 independent MPs join party

New Delhi: The Bharatiya Janata Party’s (BJP) campaign in Bihar got a boost on Monday after two members of Parliament (MPs) from the state—both independents—joined the main opposition party in Delhi. The BJP named them as Putul Singh, who represents Banka constituency, and Om Prakash Yadav, the MP from Siwan. Singh is the wife of prominent Bihar politician Digvijay Singh—a former Union minister and founder of the Samata Party along with Bihar chief minister Nitish Kumar and the socialist leader George Fernandes. “The influence of BJP is rising fast as people are tired of the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance. BJP has made Narendra Modi its prime ministerial candidate who has conviction, vision and is courageous in decision-making,” party president Rajnath Singh said while announcing the development.
http://www.livemint.com/Politics/hRZCQs0mDy04sImqh9aVVO/BJP-gets-a-boost-in-Bihar-2-independent-MPs-join-party.html
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seems like Aditya Thakrey - son of Uddhav Thakrey.
he is aditya Thakarey watch out for him. Has grandfather's charisma and is as ruthless as his father. One of the future for sure. Has monopolised Mumbai varsities and associated unions under Sena rule. Was also instrumental in the sena winning the BMC elections For 2014 Shiv sena will use him in Mumbai metropolitan region, ensuring he concentrates on the marathi strongholds like Dadar Parel Thane Dombilavli-Kalyan. Beyond that considering his father's heart issues he will take on the day or day workings of the part within 10 years or so.
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What about UP? that is where the elections will be decided.
surveys as per one of the financial houses/rating agencies claimed that BJP was on course of win 50 seats in UP, provided that Congress and BSP dont form a coalition. Claims that BJP set to gain Jats and non yadav OBCS and SCs. The report also says that Modi's caste is making inroads into BSP territory. How accurate the report is remains to be seen. Will try to hunt down the report.
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got it this is the one UP, Bihar to boost BJP’s chances in 2014 Lok Sabha elections: IIFL

MUMBAI: Brokerage house IIFL has said that the BJP's prospects for the 2014 Lok Sabha elections have got better in recent weeks with the best-case scenario indicating that the party may get about 210 seats from about 190 earlier. The success will be largely driven by the performance in the electorally crucial state of Uttar Pradesh. IIFL forecasts the party winning about 50 seats up from 26 earlier. In Bihar, BJP is expected to win 16 seats from 12 earlier.
http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2014-01-11/news/46090326_1_lok-sabha-iifl-elections Dont know how accurate a brokerage house is, but in general most opinion polls and surveys have the BJP at the 180+ mark in recent months. UP BJP has ranged from 25-50 for the BJP. This particular survey though does tally with the CNN IBN one for the state of Bihar.
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In terms of alliances BJP have sown up an alliance in Haryana The key issue remains alliances in Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh. In Andhra Pradesh TDP appears to be the front runner but TRS might be the one While in TN its the lesser parties barring the AIADMK and DMK

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BJP can write of TN for winning seats . They will be lucky to get deposits in any constituency regardless of their alliance. But both DMK and ADMK will be more than happy to form post poll alliance with BJP . So TN shouldn't be a big factor for Bjp . They will benifit either way post poll from TN. The likes Bihar UP Karnataka are what which will probably decide their fate as their loses in the state will be direct gain to congress ( UP - Mulayam / Cong , Bihar - Nitish / Lalu / Cong , Kar - Cong directly)

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