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****Maharashtra Assembly Elections 2014 Thread***


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can reservations be more than 49% ?
According to one Supreme Court order, reservations cannot exceed 50%. But, Maharashtra has for long already had 52% reservations. TN has 69% reservations. Even if this were to be challenged legally, expect a long and dour court trial.
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can reservations be more than 49% ?
According to Supreme Court judgment it cannot. But this is done through a huge fraud on the Constitution - the Ninth Schedule enacted by Chacha Nehru, where in any law in the Ninth Schedule is immune from judicial scrutiny.
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Even something in 9th schedule can be challenged in SC if it violates the basic structure of the constitution.This will be struck down by the courts.Reservation cannot exceed 50% and there cannot be religion based reservations.The SC struck down similar attempt by the Çongress in AP.

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AFAIK only the parliament can make laws under ninth schedule.
The law (reservations) is already there. The govt is notifying some particular community to be under its ambit. Sure, laws under the Ninth Schedule can be challenged if they violate the basic structure of the Constitution. But that is a very high benchmark, and is the 50% threshold part of the "basic structure" ? The muslim reservations will probably be struck down though.
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The law (reservations) is already there. The govt is notifying some particular community to be under its ambit. Sure, laws under the Ninth Schedule can be challenged if they violate the basic structure of the Constitution. But that is a very high benchmark, and is the 50% threshold part of the "basic structure" ? The muslim reservations will probably be struck down though.
The Sc has decreed that any reservation above 50% is an encroachment on the right to equality of other citizens.That violates the basic structure of the constitution. SC struck down the 5% reservation by AP govt for muslims. And TN's reservation is in SC.The SC has directed that until it disposes the case extra seats will be created for the general catagory to off set the extra 19%. Also this 21% for marathas will hold little water as not all Marathas are under SC/ST/OBC catagory and hence this is againist the rules of reservation.The state govt. will have to justify why Marathas need reservation. This shows that Congress has learnt nothing and still believe in these pathetic vote bank politics.Sickular party indeed.
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#Mumbai मैं उस पार्टी में नहीं रहना चाहता जो आने वाले विधानसभा चुनाव हारेगी- नारायण राणे. @prithvrj @INCIndia This is opportunism taken to a whole new level...

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ABP News-Nielsen Opinion Poll: BJP superior with allies in Maharashtra, boots Congress-NCP out

New Delhi: BJP is spearheading the Modi & anti-incumbency wave in the states that go to polls later this year. The results we showed you on Friday from Haryana clearly indicate that the Modi magic will have significant impact in the Assembly polls as well. BJP-led combine won 42 of Maharashtra’s 48 Lok Sabha seats and polled an enviable 49.09 per cent of the votes (with the Sena and the Swabhimani Paksha). gfx%2013.jpg The BJP has now ratcheted up its demand for a greater seat share against ally Shiv Sena. For the Assembly polls, the BJP has conveyed that the old seat-sharing formula — 117 for the BJP and 171 for the Sena — will no longer be acceptable. Shiv Sena, on the other hand, is projecting confidence and is trying to show the BJP that it is still the bigger force in the state. One factor that would affect BJP is Gopinath Munde’s death which might take away from the BJP the leading edge it acquired over ally Shiv Sena in the Assembly polls. Munde made the BJP matter in parts of rural Maharashtra. The Congress is facing a leadership crisis too. It remains unclear whether the Congress & NCP have finalised a pact on the number of seats each party will contest. The Congress won two seats in the recently-held general elections in Maharashtra, while the NCP got four. Actual seats in the 2009 assembly elections BJP had got 46 seats, Shiv Sena had 45. NCP won 62 while Congress bagged 82 seats Modi magic continues in Haryana as well: ABP News-Nielsen Opinion Poll Now let’s look below the projection of ABP News-Nielsen Opinion Poll Prediction of seats with alliance of BJP, Shiv Sena, RPI & SWP At an overall level there seems to a BJP wave in the upcoming Maharashtra assembly election, but it may not be able to form the government on its own. BJP would need some alliance partners. If we look at the results with the combination of BJP, Shiv Sena, RPI & SWP in Maharashtra, the BJP is likely to win 122 seats in the 288-member assembly. Its strongest ally Shiv Sena is seen winning 82 seats. RPI & SWP likely to win 3 seats each. Their alliance in total is projected to win 210 seats while Congress-NCP alliance gets 55 seats. MNS bag 10 while Others get 13. gfx%208.jpggfx%209.jpggfx.jpg When it comes to suitability of CM candidate, about 1/5th of all respondents (21%) surveyed have preferred the present CM Prithviraj Chavan followed by Uddhav Thackeray (18%) and Devendra Fadanvis (16%). However, this could be due to the fact that the preference for CM candidate among the BJP voters is split between several BJP candidates. BJP needs to decide on their CM candidate soon and get others to rally around him, similar to what was done for Dr. Harshvardhan in Delhi. Other highlights of the ABP News-Nielsen Opinion Poll About 21% of people who said they voted for Congress in 2009 elections say this time they would vote for BJP. ‘Inflation’ was cited as the main reason for people to shift from Congress to BJP. gfx%204.jpg For majority (43%) of respondents who intend to vote for BJP, major reason for doing so that they like the party - BJP. About a quarter of respondents intending to vote for BJP mentioned 'Narendra Modi' as the major reason. At an overall level majority (43%) of respondents said that in the event of BJP-SHS forming the government, BJP should lead the government, followed by little less than one-third of respondents who held no view on this. About a quarter of respondents said that in such a scenario SHS should lead the goverment Respondents feel that their economic condition has remained the same over last 5 years. About two-fifth of respondents have rated the performance of the Chief Minister as 'Average' and about similar number of respondents have rated his performance as 'Good' or 'Very Good'. One-fifth of respondents have rated his performance as 'Bad' or 'Very bad'. gfx%202.jpg There is a mix of opinion with 36% rating State government's performance as 'Average' and 28% and 30% rating it as 'Good' or 'Very Good' and 'Bad' or 'Very Bad' respectively. Overall, an average rating. There is division of opinion with one-third of respondents agreeing and another one-third dis-agreeing that Narayan Rane's resignation would damage the chances of Cong-NCP alliance coming back to power. One-third of respondents held no view on this About one-third of respondents feel that Raj Thackeray's decision to contest in the upcoming assembly elections will have only a minor impact on the vote tally of MNS. One-fifth of respondents feel that it will not have any impact. More than half (58%) of all the respondents surveyed feel that Uddhav Thackeray would be able to lead Shiv Sena successfully in the upcoming elections. A higher proportion, about two-fifth (42%) of respondents said they think that the then Irrigation Minister Ajit Pawar was involved in the financial irregularity People have rated Devendra Fadnavis higher in comparison to other candidates when it comes to elections planning and strategy. People have not been swayed by Amit Shah's handling of UP in the Lok Sabha elections. (ABP News-Nielsen Survey took place between 22nd July, 2014 - 6th August, 2014. The sampling size achieved was 21,711)
http://www.abplive.in/incoming/2014/08/09/article377837.ece/ABP-News-Nielsen-Opinion-Poll-BJP-superior-with-allies-in-Maharashtra-boots-Congress-NCP-out#.U-kXNqJX-uY
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I feel this survey is a bit biased in favour of the BJP. The option of BJP contesting alone is as good as ruled out since the NCP-Congress will combine and as a bare min should get around 40% of the vote. So it will be BJP-Sena. Now the question in front of them is do the sena-bjp go it alone and dump the smaller players? But the overall trend is clear. Does not look good for the ncp and congress. Chavan is no mass leader despite what the survey says. Secondly if the BJP do get the majority Eknath Khadse and Vinod Twade will be ahead of Fhadnavis. If anything Munde's daugher might be a better bet. This is what i mean when i say its better maybe if the BJP dont ask for the CM chair. Unlike Munde who was the undisputed kingpin. The smaller sartaps dont have the gravitas to stand upto the Thakareys

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I will also like to add, a few more surveys like this and you are going to see many defections in the month of september. Already many Rane supporters have jumped ship from Congress to the sena. BJP are defecting people by the busloads in viderbha

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This survey seems dubious. On the one hand, it projects that people are fairly satisfied with Prithviraj Chavan and on the other hand, it shows the Congress doing miserably. That is a complete contradiction. The assembly elections will be a lot closer than what this poll suggests. I don't think BJP-SS will be able to dominate them the way they did in the Lok Sabha elections.
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This survey seems dubious. On the one hand' date=' it projects that people are fairly satisfied with Prithviraj Chavan and on the other hand, it shows the Congress doing miserably. That is a complete contradiction. The assembly elections will be a lot closer than what this poll suggests. I don't think BJP-SS will be able to dominate them the way they did in the Lok Sabha elections.[/quote'] thats cause PC has been non corrupt. While the likes of Rane are seen as scum.
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TheNewsMinute ‏@thenewsminute Change in Maharashtra leadership? Prithviraj Chavan could soon be on his way out, making way for Sushil Kumar Shinde NDTV ‏@ndtv Maharashtra MLAs want Chief Minister to change; names of Sushil Shinde, Balasaheb Thorat, Vikhe Patil discussed: sources
There is no place for an honest guy anywhere. P. Chavan is misplaced there. Same happened in Uttarakhand when MLAs wanted BC Khanduri, a hard liner, to be replaced and who replaced him, Ramesh Pokhiryal Nishank, supposed to be one of the most corrupt leader in Uttarakhand.
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Thats the problem the congress face. PC is an able and efficient administrator. But he has no historic links with the maharashtra congress. The people of maharashtra know that. However they also cant tolerate some others like Rane, Pawar jr etc. Congress would be odds on to win if PC was a mass leader in his own right. As i said before there are many in the NCP who want to lose the election so that they can get rid of PC. PC was the one who turned the heat on the NCP by opening up investigations against a massive irrigation scam involving NCP ministers. The feeling among a lot of the NCP is. Lets sit out 5 years and then we have enough historic vote presence among marathas etc to come back to power after 5 years. We have filled our pockets for 15 years so we have had a good run. There will be some quiet celebrations in some quarters of the NCP if the sena-bjp do form a government. I guess best scenario for such people is sena-bjp just crossing over the line. Which means the NCP need a small swing to get back into power. In return they get rid of PC. If PC fails to win this election, i think he will return to the rajya sabha. Congress will rebuild with Ashok Chavan who though corrupt is a mass leader from marathwada.

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