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Rise of Yogi


ravishingravi

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6 hours ago, ravishingravi said:

 

 

He will be PM at some point. Destiny's child will do final rituals to make it civilizational state. 


Doubt it. BJP needs to fix the growth and job situation currently not that great. Modi probably will win one more election after that it might be hard for BJP unless they deliver high growth and jobs. It also depends on opposition too where congress and AAP will be in next few years.

Edited by gattaca
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11 minutes ago, gattaca said:


Doubt it. BJP needs to fix the growth and job situation currently not that great. Modi probably will win one more election after that it might be hard for BJP unless they deliver high growth and jobs. It also depends on opposition too where congress and AAP will be in next few years.


BJP cannot fix the job situation. It’s a function of multiple factors which are structural. It will take years and even then it won’t be fixed. It’s all about management. 
 

On growth, it going in right direction.  There are no alternatives in sight. 

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2 hours ago, Under_Score said:

Waah...kya soch hai :facepalm:....any mature adult can do what he/she wants in their personal life, if it is a criminal offence then has to face justice......She has posted a video based on fact exposing the Bulldozer justice, what is the relevance here? 

Mature adult jo bachcho ke naam pe sasti publicity khati hai,mature adult pakde jaane pe dhut ho kar dhamkate hai,kya expose, personal life ko personal rakhe hotel main to r@ndi rona na machaye 

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On 7/30/2023 at 2:59 PM, ravishingravi said:

This is unbelievable. 20% growth rate. $1Trillion GDP in 5 years is not pipe dream anymore. 

 

https://www.thestatesman.com/india/no-shortage-of-money-up-now-revenue-surplus-state-cm-1503204010.html

Will it be 1 trillion by 2027 or is it going to be "next 5 year" after every year?

 

Currently at 300 billion.

 

Growth rate should be 27% to achieve it in 5 years and 35% for 4 years.

 

Are you saying consistent growth between 25-35% is not pipe dream anymore?

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On 8/18/2024 at 12:27 AM, Trichromatic said:

Will it be 1 trillion by 2027 or is it going to be "next 5 year" after every year?

 

Currently at 300 billion.

 

Growth rate should be 27% to achieve it in 5 years and 35% for 4 years.

 

Are you saying consistent growth between 25-35% is not pipe dream anymore?

 

Indeed ambitious and tad over optimistic perhaps. But its a fair bet was based on govt spending targets. Govt spending is not a function of market dynamics or even local state enterprise. If local state govt can do effective project management and center allots the budget and plans. Question is if that is real growth. Well that has always been question mark on metric of GDP which has been asked of China over last 20 years.

 

Centre will invest roughly 1.5-2 trillion dollars + Private $0.5-$1 Trillion ( PPP model ) over the next 5 years. Roughly 20-25% of this spending will happen in UP ( about $250bn pa ). Plus culmination of manufacturing plants will start adding GVA. Services are already moving to Noida due to saturation in other urban centers and Delhi.

 

https://www.hindustantimes.com/cities/lucknow-news/uttar-pradesh-s-trillion-dollar-economy-goal-from-modi-s-vision-to-yogi-s-execution-101708367166081.html

 

So, all things considered, CAGR of 20% due to low base effect, is not unthinkable. 800Bn - 1 Trillion is doable subject to govt spending targets being met and FDI / manufacturing crystallizing. 

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1 hour ago, Trichromatic said:

 

image.png

 

Not even matching national growth rate now.

 

Yes true and if you see the fine print, the slowdown in govt capital spend is one of the main factors. Which is well and truly on Yogi govt.

 

But I would rather have state with some outward ambition that doesn't fully materialize than be bimaru state with highest aspiration being caste census.

 

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/lucknow/cm-yogi-adityanath-ups-growth-needs-to-more-than-double-for-usd-1-trillion-economy-by-2027/articleshow/110890503.cms

Edited by ravishingravi
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