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Posted
Looks like 210-230. For NDA. They ll have to get 50 or more from UP to have strong govt. Amma will come through. Few independents and tally could be at 280. Hope congress never comes back. If it does, then u hope its different leadership.
I think NDA will be between 195-215 because I don't expect the non BJP members of NDA to win more than 25 (maximum) among them. As for Amma, this time I'm not so sure of that. She will only come if BJP does very well and she does unexpectedly bad.
Posted
Good that a misstep by the Karnataka unit has been corrected immediately.
haha..Whom are you fooling , sir? I am a resident of Karnataka and I know that Mutalik has been trying to rejoin the party since last 2 months and it was in news in all regional channels. Apparently high command was approached and they agreed him to rejoin as he is a hardcore Modi bhakt and his inclusion would help getting some votes in Belgaum region.
A month ago, Muthalik reportedly approached the BJP’s state unit chief in Karnataka and expressed his desire to come back to the party fold. Joshi, after consulting the BJP high command in Delhi, agreed to Muthalik’s request, but warned him that he would not be allowed to propagate his hardcore version of Hinduism.
http://www.rediff.com/news/report/ls-election-will-he-turn-out-to-be-the-bjps-biggest-blunder/20140323.htm After serious backlash in national media and social media, high command decided to feign ignorance and put the blame on state...Are we people fools? It is a good decision indeed because he is nothing but a leader of goonda unit who has several instances of beating women against pub culture, doing goondagardi on valentines day, raising communal tensions in communally sensitive areas like Chikmagaluru and many more..Didn't they know all these while allowing him to join the party?
Posted
Pramod Muthalik thrown out of the BJP within three hours of joining. He is facing charges of assaulting women. Somnath Bharti violates the privacy of women in the middle of the nigh - and is also facing charges for that. He remained a minister in the AAP govt, and has no action has been taken against him by Kejriwal.
As usual comparing apples and arranges like a typical chaddi to push your agenda! Bravo.
Posted
I think NDA will be between 195-215 because I don't expect the non BJP members of NDA to win more than 25 (maximum) among them. As for Amma, this time I'm not so sure of that. She will only come if BJP does very well and she does unexpectedly bad.
Amma will do very well in TN. And she is natural ally for BJP. Won't be easy, but she ll come through.
Posted
The good thing about AAP is, I hope there some success with them as they will mainly split the Congess votes :giggle:. Somewhere like Karnataka AAP can prove very useful for BJP.
Totally agree with that. Except for Delhi and some other urban pockets, AAP is unlikely to dent BJP votes much. They will mostly grab Congress votes and votes that went to other non-NDA parties. This will result in a split of the Congress votes, which ultimately will end up benefitting BJP. Most opinion polls are projecting a 10 percentage point increase in vote-share for BJP. So, it doesn't look like BJP vote-share is going to get affected by AAP.
Posted
Totally agree with that. Except for Delhi and some other urban pockets, AAP is unlikely to dent BJP votes much. They will mostly grab Congress votes and votes that went to other non-NDA parties. This will result in a split of the Congress votes, which ultimately will end up benefitting BJP. Most opinion polls are projecting a 10 percentage point increase in vote-share for BJP. So, it doesn't look like BJP vote-share is going to get affected by AAP.
Even in Delhi it was amply clear that AAP sucked away more of Congress votes i.e. urban poor.
Posted

Aap's modi attack can affect bjp performance Or bjp momentum in TN, kerala, WB, Andhra, NE, orissa etc...these states have 190 odd seats and bjp may end up with near zero seats one more time

Posted
haha..Whom are you fooling , sir? I am a resident of Karnataka and I know that Mutalik has been trying to rejoin the party since last 2 months and it was in news in all regional channels. Apparently high command was approached and they agreed him to rejoin as he is a hardcore Modi bhakt and his inclusion would help getting some votes in Belgaum region. http://www.rediff.com/news/report/ls-election-will-he-turn-out-to-be-the-bjps-biggest-blunder/20140323.htm After serious backlash in national media and social media, high command decided to feign ignorance and put the blame on state...Are we people fools? It is a good decision indeed because he is nothing but a leader of goonda unit who has several instances of beating women against pub culture, doing goondagardi on valentines day, raising communal tensions in communally sensitive areas like Chikmagaluru and many more..Didn't they know all these while allowing him to join the party?
:phehehe:
Posted
Aap's modi attack can affect bjp performance Or bjp momentum in TN, kerala, WB, Andhra, NE, orissa etc...these states have 190 odd seats and bjp may end up with near zero seats one more time
and AAP ends up with above 100 seats :two_thumbs_up:
Posted
Aap's modi attack can affect bjp performance Or bjp momentum in TN, kerala, WB, Andhra, NE, orissa etc...these states have 190 odd seats and bjp may end up with near zero seats one more time
They have hardly any presence in any of those states. They will be happy to get whatever seats they can in those states. Do you really think AAP is relevant in those states (except maybe some urban pockets)?
Posted
Even in Delhi it was amply clear that AAP sucked away more of Congress votes i.e. urban poor.
Well, some middle class families did support them, but they were disappointed and now middle class votes are moving back to BJP.
Posted
South superstar Nagarjuna to meet Narendra Modi today Southern star Nagarjuna is set to meet Narendra Modi in Ahmedabad today amid speculation that he might join the BJP. He is the second film star from the south to meet the BJP's prime ministerial candidate after Pawan Kalyan, the brother of actor and union minister K Chiranjeevi. The meetings signal the BJP's intent to win as many friends and allies as possible ahead of the national election which is just about two weeks away. Both Nagarjuna and Pawan Kalyan are from Andhra Pradesh. Sources say Nagarjuna, 54, wants the BJP to field his wife Amala, a former actor, as a candidate. The Telugu actor had reportedly met BJP leader Venkaiah Naidu earlier. His compatriot Pawan Kalyan, a popular Telugu actor who floated the Jana Sena earlier this month, met Mr Modi in Ahmedabad on Friday and said he supported him for the prime minister's post. The youngest brother of Chiranjeevi described Mr Modi as the right man for the top job and declared his support "on behalf of Telugu-speaking people of both Telangana and Andhra Pradesh." Chiranjeevi on Saturday expressed surprise at his brother's meeting with Mr Modi. The Congress leader told reporters that Pawan should not have met the Gujarat Chief Minister, who has been accused by many of not doing enough to stop the 2002 riots in his state. "I believe my brother is secular but his meeting with a key leader of communal BJP surprised me," he said. "I doubt whether my brother knows of the allegations Modi is facing over his role in the post-Godhra massacre," said the actor-turned-politician. Chiranjeevi has already stated that he would treat his brother like any other political rival.
Posted

Must say Modi has become serial U-turn-ist. While Kejriwal's alleged U-turn were on the junctions which allowed u-turns, Modi's one have been very sharp and on the junctions which don't allow U-turns or not even right turns. Time to put Modi's face on all U-turns across the country.

http://www.firstpost.com/election-diary/modis-u-turns-treatment-of-jaswant-bjp-is-looking-shaky-1447393.html Modi’s u-turns, treatment of Jaswant: The BJP is looking shaky Two quick u-turns usually bring you back to more or less just about where you began. But on Sunday, the Bharatiya Janata Party's deft flip-flops, first on the matter of party membership to Pramod Muthalik of the 2009 Mangalore pub attack fame and then on the Har Har Modi call, appeared to have left the party suddenly miles off course. Veteran BJP leader LK Advani and party's PM candidate Narendra Modi. Veteran BJP leader LK Advani and party's PM candidate Narendra Modi. Neither rethink came spontaneously. On Muthalik, there was outrage and derision on Twitter, alongside reports that senior party leaders had raised eyebrows too. At least one senior leader, Goa chief minister Manohar Parriker, openly scorned the decision to admit Muthalik, who he said would not be allowed to join any campaigning in Goa. On Har Har Modi, the decision came after several days of hand-wringing by Hindu leaders and immediately after Shankaracharya of the Dwarka peeth Swaroopanand Saraswati used some strong language. He actually telephoned RSS chief Mohan Bhagwat. If the RSS does not endorse man-worship then it had very well put a stop to the use of the slogan, the Shankaracharya is reported to have said. The Shankaracharya had a warning too: "People say no one can stop Modi. But if such activities continue, God will stop him." Nobody knows if the BJP believes the Shankaracharya's word will sway voters in Varanasi. But there was enough disquiet among believers of the Hindu rashtra for Modi to take to Twitter on Sunday evening and request his followers not to use the slogan. Soon after, the BJP declared that Har Har Modi, Ghar Ghar Modi had never been an official party slogan. The Shankaracharya and Twitterati could hardly have more dissonant voices, but they had the same effect on the BJP on Sunday evening. And gave us three reasons why the BJP should consider some course corrections: One, suddenly, the prime minister in waiting, widely reported to be controlling the entire gamut of campaign activities for the BJP, appeared unsure, undecided and a good deal less in control than a few hours previously. Just what led to the hasty flip-flops? Nobody doubts for even a minute that the Gujarat chief minister was not in the know about Muthalik's induction. The Sri Ram Sene man, a long-time associate of the Sangh parivar in different capacities, had in fact threatened to contest the Lok Sabha elections from Dharwad against state BJP president Pralhad Joshi. His induction, like those of even relative small fry such as the daughter of an NCP minister in Maharashtra, would have been duly passed through and vetted by Team Modi. As for the Har Har Modi slogan, you cannot really argue with the Shankaracharya's logic, even if you don't have an opinion on worship of humans: "Why was Modi not opposing it from the very first moment?" The slogan has been used widely at rallies and on social media. In that sense, both u-turns can be seen as Modi's, not the party's. Two, the taut relationships at the very top of the BJP now appear to be fraying at an alarming pace. And that is doubtless leading to mis-steps and stumbles on the final leg of the Modi juggernaut. LK Advani has already chided the party for becoming a one-man organisation. Then, barely hours after the tension over party patriarch's candidature began, the Jaswant Singh episode had party seniors in a huddle. Sushma Swaraj, having first very vocally reiterated her opposition to the induction of B Sriramulu into the BJP -- she first said it set a bad precedent, tweeted her thoughts, then upon the induction she was at pains to repeat herself, and finally wrote a missive to party president Rajnath Singh stating her views -- also spoke out about the treatment meted out to Jaswant Singh, former defence minister, external affairs minister and finance minister in the NDA regime. The decision on Jaswant was said to have been taken first by Rajasthan chief minister Vasundhara Raje and then backed by the central election committee of the party, based reportedly on winnability. Vasundhara and Jaswant Singh were never known to be close, but the outcome of the Barmer seat heartburn is that the murmurs are now not only about tickets and candidature. Swaraj has grabbed every chance she gets to establish her identity as somebody who will speak out whatever the consequences, even if it means taking on Modi and the thers. According to reports, she has felt snubbed and slighted in the new "Modi-fied" party, and apparently believes that the party has become a ruthless machine with no regard for seniors who built the organisation. Much has been said about the internal rivalries within the BJP, and specifically about the rising voices unhappy at Modi's unchallenged leadership, but Sunday's U-turns make one thing plain: The BJP seniors' public spats are now dangerous for the NDA -- their cohesion or lack thereof could make or mar Mission 272. And three, finally, the BJP stood exposed on Sunday as being increasingly like the political parties it mocks. Unsavoury politicians with dodgy records in public life become the toast of all parties during election season -- perceived winnability has little to do with what Twitter believes is acceptable. On Sunday, even as senior party strategist Arun Jaitley wrote on his blog that senior leaders should prove their discipline and loyalty at times like these, and that he should simply learn to take no for an answer, even as Jaswant himself said he was not furniture to be "adjusted" around after the elections, when Muthalik was being welcomed into the party by Karnataka unit of the BJP, the party with a difference became another Congress party with its Kalmadis and its Ashok Chavans, its turncoats and its opportunists. It's really besides the point if Jaswant deserved that ticket and whether his winnability quotient beats that of the Congress rebel Vasundhara picked for Barmer instead. The message that went out in the way the Jaswant Singh incident was handled was one of how the party tackles an unhappy parent or grand-uncle. A senior party worker who is believed to stand for integrity and honest plainspeak, who went on Hardtalk during Kargil to demolish Pakistan, was publicly humiliated. Not the best tidings for the BJP, and for Modi, with just days to go for polling.
Posted
Must say Modi has become serial U-turn-ist. While Kejriwal's alleged U-turn were on the junctions which allowed u-turns, Modi's one have been very sharp and on the junctions which don't allow U-turns or not even right turns. Time to put Modi's face on all U-turns across the country.
So, list down the u-turns that Modi took again? Because nowhere in the article could I find anything of the sort, other than the writer's own delusions he has thought up. eg - The writer has conjured in his own dream world that Modi personally inducted Muthalik into the party. And when the national team actually became aware of this, and opposed it, he has conveniently cooked up a story in his own brain that this is a u turn. Wonderful wonderful world of delusions! I can understand people clutching at strawman for something to put up against Modi. But the saddest thing here is this even isn't strawman. And serious lol @ "Kejriwal taking u turns where he is allowed to" remark. Seriously? Is this the standard of journalism - and the writer is supposed to be a senior editor. Looks like another one of those routine weekly anti Modi articles to prep up the viewership.;
Posted

Modi opposing induction of Muthalik - Appreciable for the decisive stance against blind misguided vigilantism in the name of social propriety. BJP's shunning of Jaswant Singh - Well, so what exactly has Jaswant done for the party in the last few years? Can someone answer that? Why should he be still persisted with (already old - 77 yrs) for something he has done 1.5 decades back? Jaswant and his ilk who suddenly reappears on the scene to reclaim past glory despite having been sleeping all this while along needs to be treated like this. It should actually have happened to Murlli Manohar Joshi as well. One of the most egoistic individuals I've ever met in my life.

Posted

U-turn ? What statement of action has Modi made a U-turn on ? Unlike Kejriwal who swore on his own children that he will not support/give support to Congress only to break that promise. Kejriwal repeatedly said that sitting MLAs will not be given tickets, only to again break that promise.

Posted
Modi opposing induction of Muthalik - Appreciable for the decisive stance against blind misguided vigilantism in the name of social propriety. BJP's shunning of Jaswant Singh - Well, so what exactly has Jaswant done for the party in the last few years? Can someone answer that? Why should he be still persisted with (already old - 77 yrs) for something he has done 1.5 decades back? Jaswant and his ilk who suddenly reappears on the scene to reclaim past glory despite having been sleeping all this while along needs to be treated like this. It should actually have happened to Murlli Manohar Joshi as well. One of the most egoistic individuals I've ever met in my life.
Jaswant lead the rebellion in Rajasthan that lead to Vasundra Raje and then BJP government's total spanking by Congress. Not giving Jaswant ticket was the apt decision to punish dissent. Besides it is time for accountability, and these seniors like Jaswant and Advani should be held accountable for 2009 humiliation.
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