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Road to SFs for all teams (WC19)


zen

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NZ 6 5 0 0 11 1.306
AUS 6 5 1 0 10 0.849
INDIA 5 4 0 0 9 0.809
ENG 6 4 2 0 8 1.457
BDESH 7 3 3 0 7 -0.133
SL 6 2 2 0 6 -1.119
PAK 6 2 3 0 5 -1.265
WI 6 1 4 0 3 0.19
SA 7 1 5 0 3 -0.324
AFG 7 0 7 0 0 -1.634

 

Games Left

NZ (11) - 3 games left - Pak, Aus and Eng - Alreasy in, but to be safe, they should win one more. PRACTICALLY IN.

Aus (12) - 2 games left - SA and NZ - In Even if they lose both, they are in. But they wlll beat SA for sure and run close NZ. 

India (9) - 4 games left - WI, Eng, BD, SL - Have to win 1 out of 4 and be better in NRR . They will win at least against WI and SL, even if they lose against Eng, BD. PRACTICALLY IN.

Eng (8) - 2 games left - India and NZ - Have to beat both to get to 12 - Lose one gets them to 10, no use. Tough to beat both , have never won against India/NZ in WC since 1992/1983 respectively. PRACTICALLY OUT!

BD (7) - 2 games left - India and Pak -  All wins to get to 11 - Hard to get past both India and Pak - Practically out

SL (6) - 3 games left - SA, WI and India - All wins needed to get to 11 - Hard to get past SA and India. Possibly only WI - practically out 

Pak (5) - 3 games - NZ, Afg, BD -  All wins needed to get to 11, more likely to win Afg/BD, while they have to beat NZ. Not impossible.. LIKELY TO BE IN

 

WI (3) - 3 games left - India, SL and Afg - Win all 3 , gets to 9 points, still not good enough - Out

SA (3) - 2 -  SL and Aus  -  all wins gets to 7 pts - Out

Afg (0) - 2 - Pak, WI - all wins gets to 4 - Out

 

MY PICK AUS, NZ, INDIA, PAK are the SFs....

 

 

Edited by coffee_rules
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5 hours ago, zen said:

If Eng does well, below is the likely scenario: 

 

Aus 16 (beats SA)

Ind 13-15 (beats BD and/or SL)

Eng 12 (beats NZ)

NZ or Pak/BD 11 (NZ is ahead on NRR atm) 

it could be that ind also ends up on 11. never underestimate our middle order's ability to botch things up.

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5 hours ago, Vijy said:

it could be that ind also ends up on 11. never underestimate our middle order's ability to botch things up.

There can be various scenarios. I talked about the most likely one. IF Ind remains on 11, its NRR could still be better as it may not lose big to BD and SL

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32 minutes ago, zen said:

There can be various scenarios. I talked about the most likely one. IF Ind remains on 11, its NRR could still be better as it may not lose big to BD and SL

Plus we play after Pak vs Bangla game, so we would know the scenario of how much to make to stay ahead of the rr, incase we need to. So India is comfortably in, and are likely to finish at no.2, at worst 3. India vs England at this time looks like the likely semi final for us, unless England really lose to NZ. 

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