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Long read on Russian strategy and reasoning for the invasion of Ukraine


sandeep

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Long read, but I found it really interesting.  Some parallels to how Communist Party of China is also approaching international conflict, specifically against India.  The days of open warfare with national armies are increasingly in history books - small raids, salami slicing, using the threat of greater conflict as a means of coercion - all of this fits in with this theory of 'great power raiding'.  

 

 

 

https://warontherocks.com/2018/06/raiding-and-international-brigandry-russias-strategy-for-great-power-competition/

 

RAIDING AND INTERNATIONAL BRIGANDRY: RUSSIA’S STRATEGY FOR GREAT POWER COMPETITION

 

 

 

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2 hours ago, sandeep said:

 

Long read, but I found it really interesting.  Some parallels to how Communist Party of China is also approaching international conflict, specifically against India.  The days of open warfare with national armies are increasingly in history books - small raids, salami slicing, using the threat of greater conflict as a means of coercion - all of this fits in with this theory of 'great power raiding'.  

 

 

 

https://warontherocks.com/2018/06/raiding-and-international-brigandry-russias-strategy-for-great-power-competition/

 

RAIDING AND INTERNATIONAL BRIGANDRY: RUSSIA’S STRATEGY FOR GREAT POWER COMPETITION

 

 

 


 

At the end of Western sanctions - Russia will be reduced to an international pariah state  like Iran or North Korea —— far and away from being a “great” power. 
 

They are being hammered left right and center and feeling immense economic pain. 
It is likely that they are in deep deep trouble unless Putin is overthrown via a coup d’etat. 

 

China is untested. Wars don’t get decided on the basis of bean counting military hardware or equipment. 
 

They have not seen military bloodshed or engaged in hot war for over 40 wars.

 

Neutral media - Russian, American  - contend that Chinese got their backsides handed to them brutally in Galwan - losing atleast 2x no. of soldiers than Indian army. 

 

India has enough ordinance firepower to pulverize China just like they do to us. 
 

Even China knows anything stupid it does on the India border will have severe consequences for it.

 

The reality is that the West ( North America + Europe )  + its Asia allies ( Japan South Korea ) and Oceania allies ( Australia )  — still control over 60 % of the global economy. 
 

The axis of evil led by China and other rogue states is less than 30 %. 

 

If the west decides to punish economically - China too will fall like a pile of **** - just like Russia is. 
 


 

 

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