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Team for 3rd Test


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Posted

What they( Indian Team management) likely to play - just replaced Prasidh with Bumrah and rest will be same. 

 

What I'm likely to play ( as this is going to greenish pitch) 

 

Bumrah in place of Prasidh 

Sai to replace Nair 

Thakur ( not a fan of him ) to replace useless NKR

 

Jaiswal

KL

Sai

Gill

Pant 

Jadeja 

Washi ( Both jadeja washi just for their batting)

Thakur 

Bumrah 

Siraj

Akashdeep 

 

Likely to play Kuldeep but batting will be thin 

Posted
5 hours ago, SecondSlip said:

1. Yashasvi Jaiswal 
2. KL Rahul 
3. Sai Sudharan 
4. Shubman Gill (C)
5. Rishabh Pant (WK
6. Dhruv Jurel 
7. Ravindra Jadeja 
8. Washington Sundar 
9. Akashdeep 
10. Arshdeep Singh 
11. Jasprit Bumrah 

Need four fast bowling option in case pitch will be Greenish.  I don't want a situations where a spinner will bowl after opening spell of Bumrah and another pacer. 

 

 

Posted (edited)
15 minutes ago, test fan said:

What they( Indian Team management) likely to play - just replaced Prasidh with Bumrah and rest will be same. 

 

What I'm likely to play ( as this is going to greenish pitch) 

 

Bumrah in place of Prasidh 

Sai to replace Nair 

Thakur ( not a fan of him ) to replace useless NKR

 

Jaiswal

KL

Sai

Gill

Pant 

Jadeja 

Washi ( Both jadeja washi just for their batting)

Thakur 

Bumrah 

Siraj

Akashdeep 

 

Likely to play Kuldeep but batting will be thin 

Yea Reddy needs more exposure. He is going through bad form as well. THakur is terrible. I despise him. But he has a better chance of picking a wicket or two compared to Reddy as they don't feel confident using him. Other option is to go with Kuldeep instead of Reddy. But that prove to be one of the dumbest team selection if they roll out a seamer paradise lasting 2 days as we saw in WTC final.  But Arshdeep is an interesting variation.

Edited by vvvslaxman
Posted
3 hours ago, test fan said:

Need four fast bowling option in case pitch will be Greenish.

If it's "greenish" then it'll just flatten out completely given the heatwave there right now, the only way this test doesn't last long enough i.e. 4-5 days is if one team gets blown away completely in the first innings! Now that can happen to us as well as Eng, but I'm guessing Eng will not try to risk it vs our attack. So my assumption is spicy pitch on day 1 & then flattens out pretty quickly with possibly big turn on day 4-5 if there's enough sun baking it in. Also we never use 5 bowlers properly let alone 6 so after 4 it's just a(ny) useless number.

Posted

The weather in London is going to be warm and sunny on all 5 days with temperatures consistently above 30 degrees from day 2. That is very warm for England. It makes sense to plan for a typical Lord's pitch these days which means some assistance for the seamers at the start but becoming good for batting as the game goes on. There should be assistance for spin too. Keeping England in the field for long periods will further wear them out in this weather.

There is no reason to chop and change a winning combination unnecessarily by attempting to be too clever. They did it after Perth in Australia as well where they made wholesale changes despite winning the match and it blew up in their faces.

If there are no injury issues,Bumrah for Prasidh and that's it. Kuldeep can be tried instead of NKR if they think they really need 3 spinners but I wouldn't mess with a winning combo too much.

Posted

Here's AI to the rescue re conditions :

 

Given the warm and sunny weather forecast for all days of the Lord's Test this week (temperatures around 30°C with mostly sunny skies on Friday and Saturday, and around 26°C tomorrow), combined with Lord's historical pitch characteristics and recent Test match behavior, here's a prediction for the pitch conditions and play:

Pitch Conditions:

  • Initial Hardness and Pace: The warm and sunny weather will help to bake the surface, making it harder. This should translate into good pace and consistent bounce, especially on days 1 and 2.

  • Early Seam Movement (Diminished): While Lord's is known for offering seam movement, particularly in the first couple of days due to its "green" nature and the famous slope, the consistent warm and sunny weather will likely dry out any initial moisture more quickly. This means the prodigious early swing and seam that Lord's can sometimes offer under overcast conditions might be less pronounced. However, the slope (an 8-foot drop from northwest to southeast) will always be a factor, assisting bowlers with natural deviation. Bowlers who can exploit the slope effectively will still find joy.

  • Gradual Wear and Tear, Bringing Spin into Play: Prolonged sun will cause the pitch to dry out further and potentially crack. This will lead to more wear and tear as the match progresses, especially from Day 3 onwards. Consequently, spinners are likely to become more effective in the latter stages of the match (Days 4 and 5), finding more turn and bounce from the deteriorating surface.

  • Good Batting Conditions: With less initial moisture and good hardness, the pitch should be good for batting for significant periods. The ball will come onto the bat nicely, allowing batsmen to play through the line. The average first innings score at Lord's since 2022 is 239, but this rises to 314 in the second innings, suggesting batting gets easier as the game progresses.

Pitch Behaviour:

  • Pace Dominance, with Spin Emerging: Historically, pacers dominate at Lord's. Since 2022, pacers have taken 172 wickets compared to just 23 for spinners, averaging 26.33 for pacers vs 39.78 for spinners. This trend is likely to continue, especially in the first half of the match. However, the warm, dry conditions will also accelerate the pitch's deterioration, meaning spinners could play a more significant role than usual in the latter innings, particularly if a rough develops.

  • Importance of the Toss: Given the forecast for drying conditions, winning the toss and batting first could be the preferred option. While recent records (since 2022) suggest teams bowling first have found more joy, this might be influenced by greener, moister conditions. With consistent sun, putting runs on the board and allowing the pitch to wear will be advantageous.

  • Batting Strategies: Batsmen will need to be watchful against the new ball and the consistent line and length offered by seamers exploiting the slope. However, once settled, good batting conditions should allow for substantial scores. As the pitch wears, playing spin effectively will become crucial.

  • Reverse Swing Potential: Warm and dry conditions, combined with the ball getting older and scuffed, could bring reverse swing into play later in the innings, adding another dimension for fast bowlers.

In summary, expect a largely balanced pitch with an initial advantage for seamers, gradually becoming more favorable for batsmen, and then offering increasing assistance to spinners as the match wears on under the warm and sunny skies. The Lord's slope will remain a constant factor for bowlers.

Posted

If the pitch has grass 

 

Rahul 

Jaiswal 

Eashwaran 

Gill

Pant

Jurel

Jadeja

Akashdeep 

Bumrah 

Siraj

Prasidh 

 

Instead of allrounders,Reddy or Shardul, we should go for specialist bowlers. 

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