G_B_ Posted November 11, 2014 Posted November 11, 2014 Easy win for BJP in Delhi, predicts poll NEW DELHI: BJP will get a comfortable majority in Delhi, with Aam Aadmi Party reduced to a distant second and Congress completely routed, an opinion poll conducted by ABP News-Nielsen has predicted. BJP, riding high on the Modi wave, is predicted to bag 46 seats in the 70-member Delhi assembly, followed by AAP with 18 seats while Congress could be reduced to only five seats if the elections were to be held in the national capital now, the poll said. In the 2013 assembly polls, BJP had won 32 seats, followed by AAP with 28 seats. The survey predicted further decimation of the Congress which ruled the city for 15 years under Sheila Dikshit. The party is likely to get three seats less than what it had bagged in the last elections. According to the opinion poll, BJP could end up with 38% vote share, followed by AAP with 26% and Congress with 22%. AAP leader and former chief minister Arvind Kejriwal, though, remains the most preferred candidate for the CM's post, but with a thinner margin. Around 39% of respondents plumped for Kejriwal, who was closely followed by BJP leader Harsh Vardhan with 38% of votes. Around 7% people still favoured Dikshit as CM, followed by BJP leader Jagdish Mukhi (5%) and party's city president Satish Upadhyay (4%). Around 61% of people who participated in the survey were satisfied with the work done by Kejriwal in his 49-day tenure which could be the reason why the AAP chief is still considered among the favourites for the Delhi CM's post. However, Prime Minister Narendra Modi beat Kejriwal hands down as he remained the most popular leader in the Capital, with 63% support. Kejriwal was the second-most popular leader with 25% while Rahul Gandhi trailed with 12%. Modi's popularity seems to be shaping BJP's strategy which is likely to contest the assembly polls in his name instead of projecting a CM candidate. More than half (56%) the people surveyed said that with Modi as PM, "achhe din" were here. The opinion poll was conducted by ABP News-Nielson with 6,528 respondents in 35 assembly constituencies between November 5 and November 7. http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/delhi/Easy-win-for-BJP-in-Delhi-predicts-poll/articleshow/45105150.cms
G_B_ Posted November 11, 2014 Posted November 11, 2014 assuming 10% margin or error the BJP still forms government in delhi. plus i am sure close to time 2-3 Namo rallies will easily maintain this level. surprised with the congress 22% though. They have retained a lot of the vote. I thought they would be getting 15% or something
Sachin=GOD Posted November 11, 2014 Posted November 11, 2014 BJP should get a majority here but the problem is CM candidate.
G_B_ Posted November 11, 2014 Posted November 11, 2014 should be Harshvardhan IMO but seldom has the supposed front runner been selected by the BJP under Modi-Shah
Number Posted November 11, 2014 Posted November 11, 2014 Did anyone see Shivraj tweeting against Modi. He deleted it quickly.
Sachin=GOD Posted November 11, 2014 Posted November 11, 2014 Did anyone see Shivraj tweeting against Modi. He deleted it quickly. Seems his account was hacked.
G_B_ Posted November 11, 2014 Posted November 11, 2014 Opinion poll predicts BJP may not get majority in Jharkhand, J&K The C Voter poll for Delhi forecasted 37-seats for BJP, 26 for Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), six for Congress and one for 'others'. The halfway mark in the 70-member Delhi assembly is 35. It predicted BJP to get 44 per cent vote share, AAP 26 per cent, Congress 11 per cent and others six per cent. The India TV - C Voter poll predicted 29 to 35 seats for the BJP in Jharkhand's 81-member assembly, at least six to 12-seats short of the halfway mark of 41-seats. BJP, however, would emerge as the single largest party followed by Jharkhand Mukti Morcha (JMM) with 17 to 23 seats, Jharkhand Vikas Morcha (JVM) with 6 to 12 seats, Congress with 7 to 13 seats and 'others' with 7 to 13 seats. It forecasted a vote share of 32 per cent for BJP, 19 per cent for JMM, 12 per cent for JVM, 13 per cent for Congress and 24 per cent for 'others'. he poll has predicted 27 to 33 seats for Mehbooba Mufti-led People's Democratic Party (PDP), 23 to 29 seats for BJP, 10 to 16 seats for Omar Abdullah-led National Conference, 6 to 12 seats for Congress and 6 to 12 seats for 'others'. Delhi and JK along expected lines for me. JK especially it was hard as BJP would find it impossible to make inroads in the valley. I had them pegged between 25-30. Delhi i expect the BJP to get over the line. To what extent i dont know. But i feel they should get majority. Jharkhand is a bit surprising. The vote share for the BJP has come down since the lok sabha elections. Clearly local issues and local parties still pack a punch. Seems someone (the poster) was right on jharkhand.
Malcolm Merlyn Posted November 12, 2014 Posted November 12, 2014 Opinion poll predicts BJP may not get majority in Jharkhand, J&K Delhi and JK along expected lines for me. JK especially it was hard as BJP would find it impossible to make inroads in the valley. I had them pegged between 25-30. Delhi i expect the BJP to get over the line. To what extent i dont know. But i feel they should get majority. Jharkhand is a bit surprising. The vote share for the BJP has come down since the lok sabha elections. Clearly local issues and local parties still pack a punch. Seems someone (the poster) was right on jharkhand. Let Modi saheb hold a few rallies.There will be some swing in favour of BJP.
vayuu1 Posted November 12, 2014 Posted November 12, 2014 What do you guys think about bjp membership drive, already 7 millions members, in a week or so and they are aiming for 100 million members, what is going to be the impact of this on Indian politics.
G_B_ Posted November 12, 2014 Posted November 12, 2014 Let Modi saheb hold a few rallies.There will be some swing in favour of BJP. agree in jharkhand especially i feel a 2-3% swing will push the BJP across the line. We also have to keep in mind that that BJP have allied with the AJSU. I am not 100% sure that the opinion poll took that into account.
G_B_ Posted November 12, 2014 Posted November 12, 2014 What do you guys think about bjp membership drive' date=' already 7 millions members, in a week or so and they are aiming for 100 million members, what is going to be the impact of this on Indian politics.[/quote'] it depends how many of those actually become full time members and stick with the bjp through thick and thin. Its a fantastic iniciative but its fair to say out of 100 million 20 million will stay with the BJP
adi B Posted November 12, 2014 Posted November 12, 2014 it depends how many of those actually become full time members and stick with the bjp through thick and thin. Its a fantastic iniciative but its fair to say out of 100 million 20 million will stay with the BJP my sis has already enrolled,i too will in few days.we are massive bjp supporters from the late 80s
G_B_ Posted November 12, 2014 Posted November 12, 2014 my sis has already enrolled' date='i too will in few days.we are massive bjp supporters from the late 80s[/quote'] :two_thumbs_up:
someone Posted November 12, 2014 Posted November 12, 2014 Jharkhand is on expected lines. LS results do not transform into state results. Look at the 2009 elections as well. There are several local issues there and thus regional parties will have their say in state elections.
Khalpat Posted November 12, 2014 Posted November 12, 2014 Shivsena an ex-ally , NCP ex corrupt, Lone ex seperatist, MIM ex communal. BJP should watch its steps before it becomes ex national party.
G_B_ Posted November 12, 2014 Posted November 12, 2014 ^ where does MIM come into it? I agree to an extent on Sajjid lone. He has said some terrible things about India.
Khalpat Posted November 13, 2014 Posted November 13, 2014 ^ where does MIM come into it? I agree to an extent on Sajjid lone. He has said some terrible things about India. I read somewhere that MIM gave its vote in support of BJP government in Maharastra
FischerTal Posted November 13, 2014 Posted November 13, 2014 Shivsena an ex-ally ' date=' NCP ex corrupt, Lone ex seperatist, MIM ex communal. BJP should watch its steps before it becomes ex national party.[/quote'] making shiv sena ex ally is a good thing not bad
gattaca Posted November 13, 2014 Posted November 13, 2014 NEW DELHI: Anil Swarup is just the kind of man Prime Minister Narendra Modi is relying on to fix India — a high-flying civil servant with a taste for complex policy and swift decisions. Modi has drawn trusted bureaucrats into a tight embrace. Interviews with two dozen sources, including close aides, reveal that key decisions are now thrashed out between his office and civil servants, often at the expense of ministerial authority. Swarup sees a golden era for those willing to rise to the challenge. In his case that means ending coal shortages that keep much of India in the dark, a top priority for Modi. READ ALSO: Cabinet rejig: Narendra Modi inducts go-getters and vote-getters In a series of meetings with civil servants, often without the ministers they nominally report to, Modi has urged bold decisions and promised all the help they need. "He has given a virtual carte blanche. Go and do it," Swarup told Reuters. However, he did not say the responsibility handed to him had come at the expense of ministers. Such moves, along with disciplinary innovations such as finger scanners to track attendance, have helped break a logjam in decision-making that undermined the last government, spawned corruption scandals and soured the investment climate. READ ALSO: New mantris in PM Narendra Modi durbar Modi's style also lessens dissent from potential rivals, helping him capture power to a degree not seen since Indira Gandhi ruled India with an iron fist 30 years ago. Critics call it authoritarian and say he is weakening India's collegiate cabinet system. Some in government caution that in a country as complex as India, over-centralization can lead to new bottlenecks. The government denies there is interference in the ministries, saying Modi's role is to facilitate policy. President Pranab Mukherjee, Vice President Hamid Ansari and Prime Minister Narendra Modi with the newly sworn-in ministers at their oath-taking ceremony at Rashtrapati Bhavan in New Delhi. (TOI photo by Sanjeev Rastogi) "There is one misconception — the PMO (Prime Minister's Office) does not issue direction to the ministries," environment minister Prakash Javadekar said. READ ALSO: List of PM Narendra Modi's ministers 'MIDNIGHT MASSACRES' The shakeup started as soon as Modi took office six months ago, when he declared "all important policy issues" part of his portfolio. He quickly took control of bureaucratic appointments, cutting ministers out of the loop. Since September, there have been three major reshuffles in the civil service, all closely overseen by Modi and his core team. Top officials have woken to find themselves thrust into the limelight, or shunted into administrative backwaters. A cabinet expansion on Sunday and a new finance ministry team advised by leading economist Arvind Subramanian should boost the capacity and intellectual heft of the government. Yet not everyone is happy with the new order. Those on the wrong side of reshuffles dub them "midnight massacres" that have slowed policies. Survivors murmur they are scared to take decisions that might anger Modi. A programme to sell stakes in state-owned companies worth $9.5 billion has barely started, in part because Modi purged the top team of bureaucrats at the finance ministry before bringing in Subramanian. Tales of cabinet members' clipped wings abound. Home minister Rajnath Singh has been weakened, ministry officials say, since rumours swirled that his son was influence peddling. Modi publicly denied those rumours and backed Singh, but has kept him on the back foot since. When heavy shelling broke out between home ministry border troops and Pakistani Rangers in October, Singh was hardly consulted. "The PMO is directly communicating with officers. Rajnath is a mere decorative figure in the ministry," said one senior home ministry official. Singh ranks second in the government, but has been silent at cabinet meetings, another official said. GUJARAT MODEL Modi's preference to work with the bureaucracy and junior ministers was honed during 12 years as chief minister of Gujarat. Now he wants to replicate that model, sources said. "He is aware that it cannot be done immediately but you have to drive the policy," said Saurabh Patel, Gujarat's oil minister who worked closely with Modi. As in Gujarat, Modi controls communication, limits media access and brands major policies as his own. His control of the BJP is also extensive, with the old guard sidelined and his closest aide installed as party president. Many Indians voted for firm leadership, after the scandal-tainted administration of the Nehru-Gandhi dynasty. "He feels that we have been so weakened that he has to be in control," said Manjeet Kripalani, founder of the Gateway House think-tank. But concerns remain that centralization and pressure to move quickly have led to ill-advised decisions, including one likely to cross Swarup's desk. Under pressure to reduce India's reliance on imports, coal minister Piyush Goyal ordered the opening of the Amrapali mine in Jharkhand, the first major pit to open in five years. There was only one problem: the mine is 85 km (53 miles) from the nearest railway, at the end of a rutted track, making it expensive to transport the coal. As a result, there are few customers, officials told Reuters. "The pressure is to just produce without having facilities to evacuate coal," said an official at Coal India, who asked not to be named because of the sensitivity of the issue. http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/With-new-team-in-place-Modi-tightens-grip-on-power/articleshow/45136457.cms Our PM seems to want lot of control. I dont how the Cabinet will like it though. What will be cabinet role in decision making now ?
Precambrian Posted November 13, 2014 Posted November 13, 2014 http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/With-new-team-in-place-Modi-tightens-grip-on-power/articleshow/45136457.cms Our PM seems to want lot of control. I dont how the Cabinet will like it though. What will be cabinet role in decision making now ? Doesn't matter. As long as its for nation's good. The best of governance has been, will be, benevolent dictatorship. With that dictatorship having approval of people, it makes it just sweeter. In other words, its a presidential system finally at the top.
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