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Posted
Mohan Bhagwat emphasised on the need to bring about “uniformity” in the country and the role of Hindutva in achieving that purpose. “Ek bhasha, ek devta, ek sampraday banana hoga ( We need to ensure one language, one God and one religion),” he said elaborating on his larger point that “for unity we need uniformity”.
http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/other-states/india-is-a-hindu-rashtra-bhagwat/article6872230.ece The last time I heard a phrase like "one language, one religion, one God, one nation" was from Erodgen of Turkey.
Posted
What is this approximation that you are using? From the census 2001 data the overall sex ratio (per 1000 males) for Muslims is 936 vs 931 for Hindus. Are you using the same figure for the 20-40 age group? If we do so, the difference between sex ratios is around 0.5%. A rough calculation shows that if Hindus had the same sex ratio as Muslims, all other things remaining the same their population growth rate would increase by a factor of 0.5%. Thus, instead of 14.5% decadal growth (2001-11), Hindus would have 14.5% X(1.005) = 14.5725%. This is a miniscule change, and almost nothing compared to the chasm with the Muslim decadal growth rate which stands at 24%. No, misconstrued post #1491. From my viewpoint TFR is the driving factor behind population growth rate in India, so I thought you were implying that sex ratio affects it somehow.
I am using the weighted mean of the sex ratio at birth and the overall sex ratio. My back of the envelope calculation tells me it's around a 10% figure towards the overall numbers. Significant or not is subjective. For future projections, I am using the rate of decline between 1991 - 2011, weighted more towards recent data.
Posted

BTW, here is an article from Surjeet Bhalla. He has been a Modi supporter throughout and though my political views are divergent from his, he is an extremely smart individual on the economic front. He is too much of a free market person but does at least attempt to package his thoughts holistically. The notion that it is sickulars/AAPturds alleging the religious instability the country is being driven to is false. http://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/no-proof-required-dilli-ko-gussa-kyon-ayaa/

Posted
I am using the weighted mean of the sex ratio at birth and the overall sex ratio. My back of the envelope calculation tells me it's around a 10% figure towards the overall numbers. Significant or not is subjective. For future projections, I am using the rate of decline between 1991 - 2011, weighted more towards recent data.
Please give us those calculations and the source for your figures.
Posted
I am using the weighted mean of the sex ratio at birth and the overall sex ratio. My back of the envelope calculation tells me it's around a 10% figure towards the overall numbers. Significant or not is subjective. For future projections, I am using the rate of decline between 1991 - 2011, weighted more towards recent data.
Ok so I found the 2001 figures here http://www.iamrindia.gov.in/ihdr_book.pdf . So I will show my rough calculation using your approximation, I will use the average for the weighted mean. Sex ratio at birth: Hindus 901, Muslims 931. Overall sex ratio : Hindus 931, Muslims 936. Average: Hindus, 916, Muslims 933.5. Difference = 17.5. Normalized: 17.5/916, roughly 1.9%. Therefore, all other things remaining the same, if Hindus had the same sex ratio profile as Muslims, the Hindu decadal growth (2001-11) would be 14.5% X (1.019) = 14.7755%. Nowhere close to the Muslim decadal growth of 24%. IMO an insignificant change in that sense. From dispassionate pov - the argument that increase in population growth can be effected by increasing the sex ratio is as logical as saying that population control can be ensured by decreasing the sex ratio. Just like the latter won't make sense to any one interested in population control, the former won't appeal to those interested in population growth.
Posted
BTW, here is an article from Surjeet Bhalla. He has been a Modi supporter throughout and though my political views are divergent from his, he is an extremely smart individual on the economic front. He is too much of a free market person but does at least attempt to package his thoughts holistically. The notion that it is sickulars/AAPturds alleging the religious instability the country is being driven to is false. http://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/no-proof-required-dilli-ko-gussa-kyon-ayaa/
I don't really go that much by name or affiliation of people. Bhalla usually deals in figures. Unfortunately the article is devoid of any data or statistics in support of his hypothesis that the country is in more communal strife since May 2014.
Posted

A ray of hope is that among the 12 year olds who r the child bearers of future, literacy rate is high at 95%. So may not see high growth rate of Muslims. Its up to the Hindus now to sustain TFR of 2. This will be a challenge in times to come

Posted
A ray of hope is that among the 12 year olds who r the child bearers of future' date=' [b']literacy rate is high at 95%. So may not see high growth rate of Muslims. Its up to the Hindus now to sustain TFR of 2. This will be a challenge in times to come
In Kerala the literacy rate is 100% but there is still a big gap in the growth rates of Hindus and Muslims.
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