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Trichromatic

COVID-19 situation in India

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The additional problem in India - especially cities like Delhi - is that it is putting pressure on other medical services.  Things like dialysis, heart surgery, orthopedic surgery are being put off by hospitals because non-availability of beds.

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WHO: spread from people without symptoms is rare

 

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The World Health Organization says it still believes the spread of the coronavirus from people without symptoms is “rare,” despite warnings from numerous experts worldwide that such transmission is more frequent and likely explains why the pandemic has been so hard to contain.

https://www.firstpost.com/health/coronavirus-outbreak-updates-covid-19-vaccine-india-today-lockdown-5-maharashtra-delhi-telangana-death-cases-latest-news-2-8458301.html

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Mint Covid Tracker: Ahmedabad second city with 1,000-plus deaths, Mumbai toll goes past 1,600

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The number of reported coronavirus cases in India rose 8.4 percent over the last two days to 256,611, latest data from the ministry of health and family welfare (MoHFW) showed. This is slightly slower than the pace in the previous 48-hour period, when the number of cases went up 9.1 percent.

The death toll has reached 7,135, after increasing 7.4 percent over the last two days. The number had risen 9.3 percent in the preceding 48 hours.

The death count in India has nearly doubled in the last seventeen days. The number of infections is now twice what it was sixteen days ago, and given the rate of growth in this period, could hit the 300,000-mark by Friday.

https://www.livemint.com/news/india/mint-covid-tracker-ahmedabad-second-city-with-1-000-plus-deaths-mumbai-toll-goes-past-1-600-11591592946927.html

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1 hour ago, Trichromatic said:

With this rate, we will be 6-7 lacs by July 31.

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1 minute ago, kosingh said:


Not if we can sufficiently reduce testing

Regards,

Kejriwal and Mamta. 

Telangana - 22k tests, 589 test per million

Bihar - 84k tests, 693 tpm

UP - 3 lakhs, 1352 tpm

Jharkhand - 74k tests, 1962 tpm

MP - 1.8 lakhs tests, 2190 tpm

WB - 2.3 lakhs tests, 2354 tpm

CG - 74k tests, 2374 tpm

 

Delhi is among top 3 in testing rate, WB is nowhere worst. Don't fall for BJP propaganda. 

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7 minutes ago, Trichromatic said:

Telangana - 22k tests, 589 test per million

Bihar - 84k tests, 693 tpm

UP - 3 lakhs, 1352 tpm

Jharkhand - 74k tests, 1962 tpm

MP - 1.8 lakhs tests, 2190 tpm

WB - 2.3 lakhs tests, 2354 tpm

CG - 74k tests, 2374 tpm

 

Delhi is among top 3 in testing rate, WB is nowhere worst. Don't fall for BJP propaganda. 

Delhi is barely testing. Now Delhi is testing 4000-5000 tests a day, which isn't good enough. In fact, the capacity has reduced somewhat since last month. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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3 minutes ago, kosingh said:

Delhi is barely testing. Now Delhi is testing 4000-5000 tests a day, which isn't good enough. In fact, the capacity has reduced somewhat since last month. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Earlier it was testing 5-7k and still it is testing 5-6k. How is that considered barely testing?

 

Capacity has reduced? All other states are testing at similar rate at best.

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1 hour ago, kosingh said:

Delhi is barely testing. Now Delhi is testing 4000-5000 tests a day, which isn't good enough. In fact, the capacity has reduced somewhat since last month. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Test per million isn't a right stat, imo. Test per million is right if testing is mandatory and you are testing everyone. Here testing is depending on symptoms and suspect contact tracing and quarantine process. If a state has done successful quarantine, they don't need aggressive testing. One example is Karnataka, with under 6000 cases, they have done 4 lac testing. Despite testing, they have not been able to find positive. So either their testing methodology is wrong or they were wasting testing kits by needless testing. We need high TPR for successful process. Low TPR means failure of testing methodology.

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2 hours ago, Trichromatic said:

Telangana - 22k tests, 589 test per million

Bihar - 84k tests, 693 tpm

UP - 3 lakhs, 1352 tpm

Jharkhand - 74k tests, 1962 tpm

MP - 1.8 lakhs tests, 2190 tpm

WB - 2.3 lakhs tests, 2354 tpm

CG - 74k tests, 2374 tpm

 

Delhi is among top 3 in testing rate, WB is nowhere worst. Don't fall for BJP propaganda. 

We should look for TPR instead of TPM. High TPR means, more successful testing process. You need to identify positive cases more successfully than test negatives and brag high TPM.

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8 hours ago, rkt.india said:

Test per million isn't a right stat, imo. Test per million is right if testing is mandatory and you are testing everyone. Here testing is depending on symptoms and suspect contact tracing and quarantine process. If a state has done successful quarantine, they don't need aggressive testing. One example is Karnataka, with under 6000 cases, they have done 4 lac testing. Despite testing, they have not been able to find positive. So either their testing methodology is wrong or they were wasting testing kits by needless testing. We need high TPR for successful process. Low TPR means failure of testing methodology.

100% agree. 

 

Look at it another way- how many people who need tests in Delhi are able to get one? A small proportion, unfortunately. 

 

I am sitting here in the US. But my dad is a doctor at one of the covid hospitals in Delhi. His speciality is completely unrelated to virus infections or emergency medicine. But hospitals are so under staffed that every doctor is being requested to help out. For the most part, they have given up on testing. Most patients are unable to get a test even with a note from the doctor/hospital. They are diagnosing and treating based on symptoms. These cases don't count toward official numbers.  

 

It is a nightmare for hospitals, doctors and patients. And Kejriwal is making things worse. Instead of going after hospitals, he needs to go after the many pathology labs that refuse to do covid testing. They refuse even to examine collected samples.  He also needs to go after those supplying test kits. Remember all the nautanki a few weeks ago about India developing its own testing kits? Feluda? Results available super quickly? Whatever happened!

 

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