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2014 Lok Sabha Elections thread |Exit poll results

ganeshran

By ganeshran
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bulbul Newbie

bulbul

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There is a high pitch battle in my constituency Bangalore south between Ananth Kumar and Nandan Nilekani. AK using failure of Aadhar to attack Nilekani and playing Modi card whereas Nandan is attacking Anath kumar as "absentee MP" for 15 years who has not done any developmental work for Bangalore. https://www.facebook.com/pages/Nandan-Nilekani/192857407568758 Interesting times. :popcorn:
Every time i heard this..colleagues in office curse AK day before electiond and then vote hin next day for BJP :winky:
urbestfriend Rising Star

urbestfriend

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from what I've read about this constituency, Ananat Kumar has a very tough fight on his hands and Nilekani is leading currently. Initially Anant Kumar thought that Nilekani would be an easy opponent because he had no political experience but Nilekani has started a brilliant social media outreach campaign to reach out to a lot of people and to create a buzz in Bangalore and apparantly that has worked well. Interesting time ahead :popcorn:
Nandan is clearly giving a tough fight, Although he is easier to beat than Krishna Byregowda, his last time opponent due to caste dynamics. If Nandan has contested from AAP, he could have easily beaten AK as there is an anger towards AK but this constituency never voted a congress candidate from 80s and generally anti-congress, this time even more. Many people want to vote for Nandan, but they will never vote to congress.
Sachin=GOD Newbie

Sachin=GOD

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In my knowledge; never was illegal. All you can do is count the amount towards the candidate's election fund purse. In Delhi LA elections, 17 candidates (10 out of them BJP) were found to established cases of "paid news" but the penalty by the CEO Delhi was to add the expenditure into the election expenses account. http://www.ceodelhi.gov.in/WriteReadData/PaidNews.pdf
It seems that if a candidate declares in his poll expenses that he paid some amount for Paid News then its ok but if he/she fails to declare it and after the elections it comes out that he/she did pay for paid news then there can be a fine or even disqualification. The Press Council of India had formed a Sub-Committee on this issue and its report is worth reading - its asked that Paid News be made a Punishable Offence and also asked for strengthening sections 1, 2, 3 of the Representation of the People Act, 1951 . Do have a look when you have time - http://www.newswatch.in/paid-news Also, this report from the Standing Committee on Information Technology raises some good points - http://164.100.47.134/lsscommittee/Information%20Technology/15_Information_Technology_47.pdf
ganeshran Collaborator

ganeshran

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The definition of paid news is what it is important. Is it packaged as a commercial (e.g. like teleshopping) or shown to the viewers as actual news which should not be allowed.

Sachin=GOD Newbie

Sachin=GOD

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The definition of paid news is what it is important. Is it packaged as a commercial (e.g. like teleshopping) or shown to the viewers as actual news which should not be allowed.
that is an Advertorial and it can be on a Newspaper (in the form of a "news report" thats actually planted by a candidate who has paid money for it) or on a TV Channel (in the form of a News Segment showing something about the candidate - maybe an interview or the candidate campaigning in an area etc). As for the commercial (like teleshopping) - I guess you are talking about something like what Sahara India has in all papers from time to time (like when Subroto Roy was questioned or sent to jail they had full page Ads in all major newspapers putting forth their distorted view of the situation)?
ganeshran Collaborator

ganeshran

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that is an Advertorial and it can be on a Newspaper (in the form of a "news report" thats actually planted by a candidate who has paid money for it) or on a TV Channel (in the form of a News Segment showing something about the candidate - maybe an interview or the candidate campaigning in an area etc). As for the commercial (like teleshopping) - I guess you are talking about something like what Sahara India has in all papers from time to time (like when Subroto Roy was questioned or sent to jail they had full page Ads in all major newspapers putting forth their distorted view of the situation)?
Yes, media have their own bias all the time and even if it is not allowed - a lot of backroom deals happen to distort news coverage to favor certain parties. However, surely there is a moral line to be crossed if the EC openly allows candidates to pay for positive coverage in newspapers packaged as news.
vvvslaxman Grand Master

vvvslaxman

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a small sample size I guess. Dont expect BJP to make any impact in the South. It will be through a coalition if at all. Has AAP made any impact in the South.
No. Don't think AAP will make any impact except may be splitting votes. That will be very insignificant.
ravishingravi Grand Master

ravishingravi

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Yes, media have their own bias all the time and even if it is not allowed - a lot of backroom deals happen to distort news coverage to favor certain parties. However, surely there is a moral line to be crossed if the EC openly allows candidates to pay for positive coverage in newspapers packaged as news.
EC cannot work on the basis of "moral" lines. We in India are not comfortable with facts. Unfortunately that is what it takes.
vayuu1 Veteran

vayuu1

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Poll :- how many people planning to leave India ? I have dropped my plans ever since I came to know we will be modern Europe in some time.
Ravi bhai just curious to know ,do random guy and Raghav_12 live in india . sent from dil se
Sachin=GOD Newbie

Sachin=GOD

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Deciphering the sound of Mayawati's silence

LUCKNOW: In the cacophony of the boisterous election campaign in Uttar Pradesh, a key player has chosen to keep virtually silent. When you travel across UP, you will rarely hear loudspeakers belting out BSP songs (unlike the SP or BJP), neither will you see its banners, posters or TV ads. Nor does anyone from BSP participate in TV debates. Although the party is contesting in 520 seats across India, it is almost invisible. Unlike her high-profile, chopper-hopping campaign in the 2012 assembly elections, she has been very selective in her public meetings this time. Does it mean BSP and its leader Mayawati have given up the fight? Far from it. You need to do some deep listening in order to decipher the sound of BSP's silence. BSP state president Ram Achal Rajbhar spells out the party's strategy this time: "Our emphasis is to reach out to people without making a big noise about it," he says. The aim is to stitch up constituency-level alliances-the BSP core vote of Dalits plus Muslims or Brahmins or some other communities. An analyst in Lucknow says, if it succeeds, this is a winning strategy. Party insiders call it BSP's three-pronged strategy. One, homogenize her Dalit vote bank-that is, iron out differences, if any, among Dalit sub-castes. Two, pitch for inclusive politics, and three, pledge political empowerment through social engineering. The party has given 40 of the 80 tickets in UP-or half of them-to Brahmins and Muslims, which is clear evidence of its attempt to broadbase its appeal. In the 2007 assembly elections, this proved to be a winning formula; it catapulted BSP to power in UP. It's similar this time. Compared to 2009, more Brahmins and Muslims have been given tickets this time, but the number of tickets given to OBCs has come down. Mayawati apparently feels that OBCs are likely to go with SP or BJP as both are led by OBC leaders, Mulayam Singh and Narendra Modi. After the Muzaffarnagar riots, BSP has zeroed in on Muslims by highlighting that there were no riots during the Maya regime. "We only need 5-10% Brahmin votes. That plus 20% Dalits votes, and some Muslims, the BSP would be on a strong footing. Muslims tend to vote for the candidate who is best placed to beat the BJP candidate, and in many places BSP is better placed to beat BJP," said a party leader. "More tickets to Muslims and Brahmins would surely help in reserved seats," he added. To win the trust of Muslims, Mayawati is repeatedly saying that BSP won't have any truck with BJP after the polls. BSP has been a bedfellow, even if uncomfortable, with BJP in the past. Increasing the trust factor is, therefore, important. Party leader and Maya aide Satish Chandra Mishra recently paid a visit to Nadwa, a venerated seminary in Lucknow, to convey to the clerics the message: BSP will have no truck with BJP. With Dalits, too, Mayawati has sought to build a united front. The BSP list of candidates includes 17 Dalits, 15 OBCs and eight Thakurs. Of the 17 Dalits, nine are Jatavs and eight are Pasis. The importance of the Pasi vote can be gauged from the fact that in the 85 reserved seats in the 2012 assembly polls, 35 were won by Jatav candidates and 25 by Pasis. Of the 25 Pasis, 21 were from SP and just two from BSP. This time BSP has given equal weightage to Jatavs and Pasis. To build upon this, she has brought into BSP the tallest Pasi leader, R K Chaudhary. Chaudhary, a protege of Kanshi Ram, had quit BSP after some differences with Mayawati. With him back, the BSP leadership is confident that this time the party would get a majority of the SC votes as Jatavs and Pasis account for 80% of Dalits. The 2012 setback has had a sobering effect on Mayawati and the BSP leadership. Work for this election started early. Soon after the last assembly elections and by the end the 2012, Mayawati had declared 'Lok Sabha prabharis', or those who would be in charge of the Parliamentary constituencies. These very people were named as the party candidates. This is why there was hardly a murmur of protest when Mayawati announced the list of 80 candidates. Organisationally, discipline is being stressed. The party is holding closed-door meetings of cadres to communicate strategy and receive feedback. Door-to-door canvassing is being done with rigour, and local-level allies are being picked with thought. Is it always correct? Of course, not. But party leaders say the effort put in this time will yield results.
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/home/lok-sabha-elections-2014/news/Deciphering-the-sound-of-Mayawatis-silence/articleshow/33673053.cms All the opinion polls are predicting a very bad performance for BSP. They will be surprised.
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