Jvoxx Posted June 20, 2019 Share Posted June 20, 2019 1 hour ago, PBN said: WC half way done and the top four are more or less sealed Its not the fault of top 4 teams that the other 6 teams cannot win anything and are nearly out of the tournament. Link to comment
zen Posted June 20, 2019 Author Share Posted June 20, 2019 (edited) World Cup TEAM M W L T P NRR AUS 6 5 1 0 10 0.849 NZ 5 4 0 0 9 1.591 ENG 5 4 1 0 8 1.862 INDIA 4 3 0 0 7 1.029 BDESH 6 2 3 0 5 -0.407 SL 5 1 2 0 4 -1.778 WI 5 1 3 0 3 0.272 SA 6 1 4 0 3 -0.193 PAK 5 1 3 0 3 -1.933 AFG 5 0 5 0 0 -2.089 Aus moves into double figures so can feel relatively safe Of those not in the top 4, BD, SL, WI, and Pak have the opportunity to get to 11-12 points Edited June 20, 2019 by zen Link to comment
Stuge Posted June 20, 2019 Share Posted June 20, 2019 On 6/18/2019 at 12:59 AM, zen said: It depends. Say Ind beats AFG, so it gets to 9 points. But then goes on to lose vs. WI, Eng, and BD. Now depending upon how things go with other teams, the SL game could become a must win to offer that "excitement" Link to comment
poi Posted June 20, 2019 Share Posted June 20, 2019 My simulation after the AUS win vs BAN: Link to comment
Stuge Posted June 20, 2019 Share Posted June 20, 2019 (edited) 11 hours ago, Jvoxx said: Its not the fault of top 4 teams that the other 6 teams cannot win anything and are nearly out of the tournament. Rain too has played big role in this crap .They should have used the same format used in 2011 ./2015 QF kept fun alive ... currently it looks like a borefest in the making till semifinals Edited June 20, 2019 by Stuge Link to comment
poi Posted June 20, 2019 Share Posted June 20, 2019 Borefest for the non-top4 teams, maybe, but remaining games’ outcomes will determine the order of the semifinals. Still, there is a tiny possibility that a series of upsets might give hopes to those bottom 6 teams. Link to comment
zen Posted June 21, 2019 Author Share Posted June 21, 2019 SL keeps its hope alive World Cup TEAM M W L T P NRR AUS 6 5 1 0 10 0.849 NZ 5 4 0 0 9 1.591 ENG 6 4 2 0 8 1.457 INDIA 4 3 0 0 7 1.029 SL 6 2 2 0 6 -1.119 BDESH 6 2 3 0 5 -0.407 WI 5 1 3 0 3 0.272 SA 6 1 4 0 3 -0.193 PAK 5 1 3 0 3 -1.933 AFG 5 0 5 0 0 -2.089 Interesting points table as the top 6 are separated by 1 point from its immediate next team Link to comment
cowboysfan Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 england needs to lose all 3 games for them to drop out of the top 4. Link to comment
poi Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 My simulated ranking after the SL win. --- Assuming IND win tomorrow against AFG, India will further strengthen its hold of Rank1. Matches against ENG and RSA might be difficult. But IND has very high chance to make it to the top4. If they win against AFG, the semifinal spot is virtually guaranteed (barring series of incredible upsets in the second half of the WC matches). Link to comment
zen Posted June 21, 2019 Author Share Posted June 21, 2019 (edited) 4 minutes ago, poi said: My simulated ranking after the SL win. --- Assuming IND win tomorrow against AFG, India will further strengthen its hold of Rank1. Matches against ENG and RSA might be difficult. But IND has very high chance to make it to the top4. If they win against AFG, the semifinal spot is virtually guaranteed (barring series of incredible upsets in the second half of the WC matches). Ind’s next matches are against AFG, WI, Eng, BD, and SL. It may need to win 2 out of 5 Edited June 21, 2019 by zen Link to comment
poi Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 5 minutes ago, zen said: Ind’s next matches are against AFG, WI, Eng, BD, and SL. It may need to win 2 out of 5 True, forgot about the rest. Beating AFG and one of the others could be it. I will run the India-specific simulation later. Out of all teams, IND definitely has the easiest path to the semis. ENG's chances just got tougher, but they are still very much in control because the worst-case scenario for them still have around 50% chance, while their NRR is good enough to give them over 75% chance to make the semis. They will likely not be ranked 1st. It is basically a 3-way chance between IND/NZ/AUS. But crazier things could happen. I feel like the WC is finally happening. Link to comment
SK_IH Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 I think out of all non fancied teams, SL has the best chance if Eng slip up against the top 3. Those 2 washed out matches for Lanka are a positive atm. However I think it ll still be the usual suspects in top 4 Link to comment
zen Posted June 21, 2019 Author Share Posted June 21, 2019 (edited) 17 minutes ago, poi said: True, forgot about the rest. Beating AFG and one of the others could be it. I will run the India-specific simulation later. Out of all teams, IND definitely has the easiest path to the semis. ENG's chances just got tougher, but they are still very much in control because the worst-case scenario for them still have around 50% chance, while their NRR is good enough to give them over 75% chance to make the semis. They will likely not be ranked 1st. It is basically a 3-way chance between IND/NZ/AUS. But crazier things could happen. I feel like the WC is finally happening. If teams target 11-12 points to finish in top 3 NZ needs 1 out of 4 (25%) Aus needs 1 out of 3 (33%) Ind needs 2 out of 5 (40%) Eng needs 2 out of 3 (66%) 10-11 points can get you in if other teams falter. BD, Pak, SL, and WI can get to 11-12 if they win all their matches, but is a difficult task. If they drop a game 9-10 points is possible. SA can get to 9 too if it wins all its remaining games (w/o accounting for NRR) For 10-11 points Aus 0 of 3 NZ 1 of 4 Eng 1 of 3 Ind 2 of 5 Edited June 21, 2019 by zen Link to comment
zen Posted June 22, 2019 Author Share Posted June 22, 2019 NZ can celebrate "unofficially" World Cup TEAM M W L T P NRR NZ 6 5 0 0 11 1.306 AUS 6 5 1 0 10 0.849 INDIA 5 4 0 0 9 0.809 ENG 6 4 2 0 8 1.457 SL 6 2 2 0 6 -1.119 BDESH 6 2 3 0 5 -0.407 WI 6 1 4 0 3 0.19 SA 6 1 4 0 3 -0.193 PAK 5 1 3 0 3 -1.933 AFG 6 0 6 0 0 -1.712 Link to comment
zen Posted June 25, 2019 Author Share Posted June 25, 2019 Aus is in World Cup TEAM M W L T P NRR AUS 7 6 1 0 12 0.906 NZ 6 5 0 0 11 1.306 INDIA 5 4 0 0 9 0.809 ENG 7 4 3 0 8 1.051 BDESH 7 3 3 0 7 -0.133 SL 6 2 2 0 6 -1.119 PAK 6 2 3 0 5 -1.265 WI 6 1 4 0 3 0.19 SA 7 1 5 0 3 -0.324 AFG 7 0 7 0 0 -1.634 Link to comment
Cricketics Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 5 minutes ago, zen said: Aus is in World Cup TEAM M W L T P NRR AUS 7 6 1 0 12 0.906 NZ 6 5 0 0 11 1.306 INDIA 5 4 0 0 9 0.809 ENG 7 4 3 0 8 1.051 BDESH 7 3 3 0 7 -0.133 SL 6 2 2 0 6 -1.119 PAK 6 2 3 0 5 -1.265 WI 6 1 4 0 3 0.19 SA 7 1 5 0 3 -0.324 AFG 7 0 7 0 0 -1.634 England is in some deep shyt Link to comment
zen Posted June 25, 2019 Author Share Posted June 25, 2019 Just now, Cricketics said: England is in some deep shyt If it wins the next two, it is in! If SL, Pak, and BD stay on 9, it is in with just 1 win Link to comment
cowboysfan Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 England are *ed,they cant afford to lose a single game now.India will end their misery on sunday. Link to comment
Cricketics Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 5 minutes ago, zen said: If it wins the next two, it is in! If SL, Pak, and BD stay on 9, it is in with just 1 win Yeah, it will be funny how most asian teams barring India will be hoping they have a chance and then all of a sudden India loses to England and that will be big big KLPD for all the asian teams(sl, Pak, Bangla) as it will not change the top 4. :) and put them out of contention. Link to comment
coffee_rules Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 1 minute ago, cowboysfan said: England are *ed,they cant afford to lose a single game now.India will end their misery on sunday. Yes, they are practically out.. NZ 6 5 0 0 11 1.306 AUS 6 5 1 0 10 0.849 INDIA 5 4 0 0 9 0.809 ENG 6 4 2 0 8 1.457 BDESH 7 3 3 0 7 -0.133 SL 6 2 2 0 6 -1.119 PAK 6 2 3 0 5 -1.265 WI 6 1 4 0 3 0.19 SA 7 1 5 0 3 -0.324 AFG 7 0 7 0 0 -1.634 Games Left NZ (11) - 3 games left - Pak, Aus and Eng - Alreasy in, but to be safe, they should win one more. PRACTICALLY IN. Aus (12) - 2 games left - SA and NZ - In Even if they lose both, they are in. But they wlll beat SA for sure and run close NZ. India (9) - 4 games left - WI, Eng, BD, SL - Have to win 1 out of 4 and be better in NRR . They will win at least against WI and SL, even if they lose against Eng, BD. PRACTICALLY IN. Eng (8) - 2 games left - India and NZ - Have to beat both to get to 12 - Lose one gets them to 10, no use. Tough to beat both , have never won against India/NZ in WC since 1992/1983 respectively. PRACTICALLY OUT! BD (7) - 2 games left - India and Pak - All wins to get to 11 - Hard to get past both India and Pak - Practically out SL (6) - 3 games left - SA, WI and India - All wins needed to get to 11 - Hard to get past SA and India. Possibly only WI - practically out Pak (5) - 3 games - NZ, Afg, BD - All wins needed to get to 11, more likely to win Afg/BD, while they have to beat NZ. Not impossible.. LIKELY TO BE IN AUS, NZ, IND. PAK it is. Cricketics 1 Link to comment
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