zen Posted May 2, 2021 Posted May 2, 2021 (edited) For simplicity, if teams aim for a min of 8 wins to get into playoffs, below is what the teams need to do: % of remaining games needed to win DC 33% CSK 43% RCB 43% MI 57% RR 71% PK 83% KKR 86% SRH 100% Technically, all teams are still in with a chance (to get to 8 wins). The top 3 need to win less than 50% of their remaining games, therefore would need to play very poorly to miss out. MI can afford to lose 3 games and RR 2 games. KKR & PK can afford to lose 1 more game. SRH cannot afford to lose any game so one loss away from being knocked out. Would teams be able to qualify with 7 wins + NRR? Will there be any surprises or the top 4 would sail to the playoffs? Edited May 2, 2021 by zen
I6MTW Posted May 2, 2021 Posted May 2, 2021 23 minutes ago, zen said: For simplicity, if teams aim for a min of 8 wins to get into playoffs, below is what the teams need to do: % of remaining games needed to win DC 33% CSK 43% RCB 43% MI 57% RR 71% PK 83% KKR 86% SRH 100% Technically, all teams are still in with a chance (to get to 8 wins). The top 3 need to win less than 50% of their remaining games, therefore would need to play very poorly to miss out. MI can afford to lose 3 games and RR 2 games. KKR & PK can afford to lose 1 more game. SRH cannot afford to lose any game so one loss away from being knocked out. Would teams be able to qualify with 7 wins + NRR? Will there be any surprises or the top 4 would sail to the playoffs? It all depends on scenarios and overall performances of all the teams. I think in 2019 SRH were able to qualify with only 6 wins(12 points).
Majestic Posted May 2, 2021 Posted May 2, 2021 With KL missing some games for Punjab, it is hard for PBKS. Don't see KKR, RR and SRH qualifying.
zen Posted May 2, 2021 Author Posted May 2, 2021 (edited) 14 minutes ago, I6MTW said: It all depends on scenarios and overall performances of all the teams. I think in 2019 SRH were able to qualify with only 6 wins(12 points). This year, to qualify with "6 wins" appears difficult at the moment as DC is on 6, CSK & RCB on 5, and MI on 4 w/ most of them having 7 games still to play (so 1 of the current top 4 teams would need to play very poorly from now on to be limited to 6 or less wins) TEAM M W L PT NRR DC 8 6 2 12 0.547 CSK 7 5 2 10 1.263 RCB 7 5 2 10 -0.171 MI 7 4 3 8 0.062 RR 7 3 4 6 -0.190 PBKS 8 3 5 6 -0.368 KKR 7 2 5 4 -0.494 SRH 7 1 6 2 -0.623 Edited May 2, 2021 by zen
bowl_out Posted May 2, 2021 Posted May 2, 2021 Never seen a more polarized IPL.. Clear difference between the top 4 teams and the bottom 4 teams.. CSK, DC, MI will surely qualify. PKBS, KKR and SRH don't seem to have a realistic chance. Only swing that could happen is between RCB and RR.. Clearly, RCB are ahead now.. But they are capable of a choke and slump as seen in the past.. If RR can continue their current form and get a few wins and RCB go through a slump, RR might sneak into the top 4.. Other than that, the playoff qualifications are pretty much decided.. Who will finish in the top 2 could be interesting.
GeeGaw Posted May 2, 2021 Posted May 2, 2021 Eight wins may not be automatic qualification. Nine wins for sure will qualify.
QuarantineTormentino Posted May 3, 2021 Posted May 3, 2021 As of now, I think only CSK, MI and DC are certain to grab play off spots, the 4th will be a toss up between RCB, RR and Punjab
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