Test 4: Mumbai: Lets cut to the chase. How much is India chasing in the 4th innings ?

[narenpande1]

Target to win: 170

 

Result: India win by 3 wickets.

[sandeep]

I'm still holding out hope our batsmen can grind the Pommies into a massive lead - and we end up chasing a dozen or so, or not at all.  

 

 

But realistically, anything over 150 is going to get 'interesting'.   And we could very easily end up chasing 250 or so.  

[Vijy]

8 minutes ago, sandeep said:

I'm still holding out hope our batsmen can grind the Pommies into a massive lead - and we end up chasing a dozen or so, or not at all.  

 

 

But realistically, anything over 150 is going to get 'interesting'.   And we could very easily end up chasing 250 or so.  

India to chase 313, and get out for 100... in case someone didn't notice, the statement is meant to be ironical (refers to Mumbai '06).

[narenpande1]

My estimates are conservative and pragmatic...

 

we are still 254 runs behind. On this type of wicket one can easily lose 2-3 quick wickets. 

 

With all that, I am assuming we will equal Englands score, +/- 30 and be near all our by end of day today or early 4th day.

 

England with its stubborn batting will be able to grind out about 2.5 sessions which is about 75 overs.

 

If we are roughly 30 ahead after 1st innings England, can score another 200 or so in the 3rd innings, leaving us 170 to chase, mostly on the 5th day.

 

i think these are fair estimates...

 

if we bat through the day tomorrow and take a first innings lead of 100 or so. We have this in the bag.

 

but I think England spinners will be more effective than yesterday.

 

will be close, but we will prevail 

 

 

[narenpande1]

Just now, narenpande1 said:

My estimates are conservative and pragmatic...

 

we are still 254 runs behind. On this type of wicket one can easily lose 2-3 quick wickets. 

 

With all that, I am assuming we will equal Englands score, +/- 30 and be near all out by end of day today or early 4th day.

 

England with its stubborn batting will be able to grind out about 2.5 sessions which is about 75 overs in the 3rd innings.

 

If we are roughly 30 ahead after 1st innings England, can score another 200 or so in the 3rd innings, leaving us 170 to chase, mostly on the 5th day.

 

i think these are fair estimates...

 

if we bat through the day tomorrow and take a first innings lead of 100 or so. We have this in the bag.

 

but I think England spinners will be more effective than yesterday.

 

will be close, but we will prevail 

 

 

 

[sandeep]

12 minutes ago, narenpande1 said:

My estimates are conservative and pragmatic...

we are still 254 runs behind. On this type of wicket one can easily lose 2-3 quick wickets. 

With all that, I am assuming we will equal Englands score, +/- 30 and be near all our by end of day today or early 4th day.

England with its stubborn batting will be able to grind out about 2.5 sessions which is about 75 overs.

If we are roughly 30 ahead after 1st innings England, can score another 200 or so in the 3rd innings, leaving us 170 to chase, mostly on the 5th day.

i think these are fair estimates...

if we bat through the day tomorrow and take a first innings lead of 100 or so. We have this in the bag.

but I think England spinners will be more effective than yesterday.

will be close, but we will prevail 

 

 

My gut says either we are conceding a 50 run lead or taking a 100+ lead.  Nothing in between.  

[Bystander]

It is going to be innings victory for us.. we are not going to bat in 2nd innings

[Laaloo]

We will not chase. 550 all out

England 123 all out

[adi B]

England will get bundled out under 150 in the second innings,so target should be under 200

[Vijy]

Lot of optimistic predictions.

[kira]

Hopefully Less than 100, chasing more than 100 on a fifth day Mumbai wicket won't end well for India 

Edited December 10, 2016 by kira

[Vijy]

18 minutes ago, kira said:

Hopefully Less than 100, chasing more than 100 on a fifth day Mumbai wicket won't end well for India 

Cough..Udal..cough

[coffee_rules]

Ind might not chase, were are yet to avoid follow-on. Eng might as well win this handily or even chase a 40 odd runs!

[Vijy]

1 minute ago, coffee_rules said:

Ind might not chase, were are yet to avoid follow-on. Eng might as well win this handily or even chase a 40 odd runs!

Why would England chase?

[coffee_rules]

Just now, Vijy said:

Why would England chase?

After India followon and then Eng will bat last

[Vijy]

3 minutes ago, coffee_rules said:

After India followon and then Eng will bat last

 

3 minutes ago, coffee_rules said:

After India followon and then Eng will bat last

Seems a bit unlikely - only 54 runs reqd for it.

[fineleg]

On 12/9/2016 at 7:43 PM, Vijy said:

 

Seems a bit unlikely - only 54 runs reqd for it.

Need to keep it less than 100 target. Lets see.

[Laaloo]

3 minutes ago, fineleg said:

Need to keep it less than 100 target. Lets see.

we're winning by an innings finey

keep calm 

[mancalledsting]

Chasing 61 runs in 4th innings 

win by 9 wickets 

[coffee_rules]

60-70 runs. India will lose 4 wkts in the chase.