Chaos Posted October 28, 2024 Posted October 28, 2024 31 minutes ago, coffee_rules said: As if there were not enough shock-jocks in the Trump team, they got a comic to say offensive jokes on Puerto Ricans in a NYC rally. Is this a October surprise? Libs are excited@BacktoCricaddict https://www.politico.com/newsletters/west-wing-playbook/2024/10/28/for-puerto-ricans-this-is-our-october-surprise-00185872 PA has a lot of Latino voters that can swing the state it is trash floating in the ocean
kepler37b Posted October 29, 2024 Posted October 29, 2024 On 10/28/2024 at 1:29 AM, BacktoCricaddict said: Two points: (1) YT is anecdotal. Does it represent a significant number? We don't really know. (2) Even if those numbers re significant, in which states is it happening? Unless they are in one of the swing states, it doesn't matter. In other words, if there are disgruntled Latinos/Arabs/African-Americans in NC or Michigan or Pennsylvania, it'll make a difference. In NJ or CA or Alabama or Wyoming? Won't matter at all. That is the beauty (ugliness?) of the electoral college. Yes. We do not really know. But trump has risen well in minorities. Especially minority men. Black and Latino men. I suspect the invasion from the southern border is pushing many liberals to republicans. I personally abhor Kamala. She is a DEI candidate. Feminism is consuming the american society.
kepler37b Posted October 29, 2024 Posted October 29, 2024 8 hours ago, BacktoCricaddict said: Brilliant!! In the unlikely event that DJT loses, he can always use this unsubstantiated excuse or the one about a deep something. Sounds like Pommie/Ozzie cricket teams. "We are the favorites!! We are the favorites!!" So, when they lose, they lose, they can invoke one or more of "Food was bad. Delli Belly" "Pitch was substandard." "Mankading is illegal." Kamala will be a kela for america.
vvvslaxman Posted October 29, 2024 Posted October 29, 2024 (edited) 18 hours ago, ravishingravi said: Why is trump corner so confident ? Polls get it wrong year after year. It's repeat of 2016 on the opposite side. in an ideal world Trump should get his clock cleaned. But given that this is Kamala harris reverse might happen. Much like 2016 it will all come down to few counties that will determine the election. WHat has Kamal done to move the needle? pretty much nothing. reason why Dems might not win against one of the worst candidate 1) INflation - not their fault though as they gave out stimulus check in three phases. Total of 5 trillions fo COVID recovery. But for common man they saw dramatic increase in day to day prices 2) Wars - Again not their issue. But they were helping Israel which didn't go well with many of their own supporters. Same Ukraine war 3) Immigration problem despite record breaking 500 plus executive actions on immigration. 4) Biden's mental state. Kamala's unpopularity. Given Trump's mental state Republicans have no real say about Biden lol 5) Last but not the least Woman winning presidency is near impossible thing in USA. Even the good candidate. Sure they have done things like insuring more americans than ever before, job growth etc. But many other things have drowned whatever they have done. I will be surprised if Kamala pulls this off. If democrats organize a primary i am sure Kamal won't win meaning she is not even the most popular within democrat party. She came through backdoor Edited October 29, 2024 by vvvslaxman ravishingravi 1
vvvslaxman Posted October 29, 2024 Posted October 29, 2024 13 hours ago, coffee_rules said: As if there were not enough shock-jocks in the Trump team, they got a comic to say offensive jokes on Puerto Ricans in a NYC rally. Is this a October surprise? Libs are excited@BacktoCricaddict https://www.politico.com/newsletters/west-wing-playbook/2024/10/28/for-puerto-ricans-this-is-our-october-surprise-00185872 PA has a lot of Latino voters that can swing the state If voter turn out is high It is hard to beat Democrats. BUt i doubt voter turn out will be good this time hence they will lose narrowly here. In 2016 Bernie sanders reduced the enthusiasm of voters. Look at Bernie vs Hillary in the primary in key states Michigan - Bernie Minneosta - Bernie Wisconsin - Bernie Even delegates were almost equal for bernie. people lost enthusiasm once Bernie was out given the scare he gave just with small donors.
coffee_rules Posted October 29, 2024 Posted October 29, 2024 7 minutes ago, vvvslaxman said: If voter turn out is high It is hard to beat Democrats. BUt i doubt voter turn out will be good this time hence they will lose narrowly here. In 2016 Bernie sanders reduced the enthusiasm of voters. Look at Bernie vs Hillary in the primary in key states Michigan - Bernie Minneosta - Bernie Wisconsin - Bernie Even delegates were almost equal for bernie. people lost enthusiasm once Bernie was out given the scare he gave just with small donors. And thank god he didn’t win the primaries, would have killed the economy , being more Nanny state than now, screwed India all over Kashmir , would have opposed A370 abrogation and would have sold the country to China. Senile old man.
ravishingravi Posted October 29, 2024 Author Posted October 29, 2024 31 minutes ago, coffee_rules said: And thank god he didn’t win the primaries, would have killed the economy , being more Nanny state than now, screwed India all over Kashmir , would have opposed A370 abrogation and would have sold the country to China. Senile old man. Whatever one thinks of it, the primary was fixed and was essentially anti democratic.
vvvslaxman Posted October 29, 2024 Posted October 29, 2024 46 minutes ago, ravishingravi said: Whatever one thinks of it, the primary was fixed and was essentially anti democratic. It is against their own interest. They will want a winning candidate rather than someone they like better. Atleast Hillary won 54%. Kamala Harris in 2020 primary did terribly. Look at how many candidates were ahead of Kamala. coffee_rules 1
G_B_ Posted October 29, 2024 Posted October 29, 2024 Trump touching 70% in some betting markets... Polls in mid western states showing trump lead 1 to 2%. ravishingravi 1
coffee_rules Posted October 29, 2024 Posted October 29, 2024 1 hour ago, ravishingravi said: Whatever one thinks of it, the primary was fixed and was essentially anti democratic. Super delegates with special interests money want a winnable candidate. Primaries have always been fixed for winnable candidates. Bernie was unelectable as he extremeky far left. Primaries worked to get Obama ahead of Hilary in 2008. Mitt ahed of Ron Paul/Rick Santorium in 2012.
velu Posted October 29, 2024 Posted October 29, 2024 @vvvslaxman if you visit Bangalore , beer is on me if you vote for Trump coffee_rules and ravishingravi 2
coffee_rules Posted October 29, 2024 Posted October 29, 2024 31 minutes ago, vvvslaxman said: It is against their own interest. They will want a winning candidate rather than someone they like better. Atleast Hillary won 54%. Kamala Harris in 2020 primary did terribly. Look at how many candidates were ahead of Kamala. I think Kamala without any public approval is the fall guy in this race, as nonbody else wants to lose and hurt their future chances. They will all come back 4 years from now. ravishingravi 1
vvvslaxman Posted October 29, 2024 Posted October 29, 2024 2 minutes ago, velu said: @vvvslaxman if you visit Bangalore , beer is on me if you vote for Trump I don't drink beer lol i may not vote for Kamala either. But down ballot race i will vote for democrats.
coffee_rules Posted October 29, 2024 Posted October 29, 2024 15 minutes ago, G_B_ said: Trump touching 70% in some betting markets... Polls in mid western states showing trump lead 1 to 2%. Getting char sau par vibes!!! mishra 1
vvvslaxman Posted October 29, 2024 Posted October 29, 2024 2 minutes ago, coffee_rules said: I think Kamala without any public approval is the fall guy in this race, as nonbody else wants to lose and hurt their future chances. They will all come back 4 years from now. i am not sure she was forced into it. They thought "black woman" is a good diversity quota and garner black votes, minority votes.
vvvslaxman Posted October 29, 2024 Posted October 29, 2024 18 minutes ago, G_B_ said: Trump touching 70% in some betting markets... Polls in mid western states showing trump lead 1 to 2%. WHen it comes to Trump polling is going to be skeweed. His largest support base non college voters who often don't get polled. So you have to give margin for that. if you want to beat trump you should be way ahead in the lead.
vvvslaxman Posted October 29, 2024 Posted October 29, 2024 DJT stock was 12$ at somep oint. It went from 57 to 12. Now yesterday it touched 54 again. Anyone who invested in that is going to be rich. If he wins it will go further up.
vvvslaxman Posted October 29, 2024 Posted October 29, 2024 Trump's closing argument is one of the most vulgar in modern politics. But fact is he will not be affected anyway. That in itself is a tragedy.
G_B_ Posted October 29, 2024 Posted October 29, 2024 2 hours ago, vvvslaxman said: WHen it comes to Trump polling is going to be skeweed. His largest support base non college voters who often don't get polled. So you have to give margin for that. if you want to beat trump you should be way ahead in the lead. If what you say is true them dems are looking at wash out. Not just trump, republicans have just now polled leads for first time in house and senate. I base this on real clear politics poll of polls
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