Trump Presidential Watch (2025-2028)

[IndianRenegade]

30 minutes ago, diga said:

You can make as much fun as you want... In the end, Trump is doing whats good for his country (short term pain to long term manufacturing /jobs)

 

 

As for India , if every country is taxed, we still gain viz a viz others based on tariff rates. 

 

PS: Indian markets are almost ignoring this and money talks at the end

That is not how any of it works, China didn’t become manufacturing powerhouse just because they tariffed everyone out. You need to have an industrial policy & heavily subsidize manufacturing until it becomes viable. 

 

This government is totally against spending money to achieve that, & is even trying to roll back one of the good things Biden did with the CHIPS act. 
 

Even if you are theoretically correct, & somehow these policies will turn the tide in manufacturing sector. Short term pain means drubbing in 2026 midterms, & a dysfunctional second half.

 

 

Edited April 3, 2025 by IndianRenegade

[IndianRenegade]

6 minutes ago, diga said:

Sure... wait it out 

 

Nobody is justifying his actions, its just that the reaction from Indian markets say otherwise.  You can continue your online abuse, but you probably missed making some money. I bought some niftybees today and now encashing it ... Duh

Indian & Chinese markets aren’t reacting much because even at this rate, it is still profitable for American importers to import than to move supply chains.

 

The market that is crashing is the American market.

[diga]

 

8 minutes ago, IndianRenegade said:

Indian & Chinese markets aren’t reacting much because even at this rate, it is still profitable for American importers to import than to move supply chains.

 

The market that is crashing is the American market.

Yes... short term pain for sure. Isnt it the global politics at play? Will it help US in the long run ? not sure

[IndianRenegade]

10 minutes ago, diga said:

 

Yes... short term pain for sure. Isnt it the global politics at play? Will it help US in the long run ? not sure

To help US the policy should be consistent, Biden kept much of the tariffs Trump imposed on china in his first term. Because it wasn’t broad based & was specific to certain sectors.

 

Any policy position needs support of population at large, Indian farm bill fell through because of discontent even though it might have helped India in the long run. Tariffs that increase consumer costs will not be supported by most ppl who feel the impact of it on their wallets.

 

 

 

[mishra]

US is not looking to manufacture in US. All it is looking is to manufacture some automobiles in US.

 

But it is definitely looking to moove manufacturing out of China. Actual tarrif on China now stands at 54%. Not 36% as some may think.

[diga]

23 minutes ago, IndianRenegade said:

To help US the policy should be consistent, Biden kept much of the tariffs Trump imposed on china in his first term. Because it wasn’t broad based & was specific to certain sectors.

 

Any policy position needs support of population at large, Indian farm bill fell through because of discontent even though it might have helped India in the long run. Tariffs that increase consumer costs will not be supported by most ppl who feel the impact of it on their wallets.

Bidens policies did not yield much results for US... obviously they will relook at it.  

[diga]

13 minutes ago, Vicks57 said:

 

If Biden's Policies are termed 'ineffective', Trump's Policies will be considered 'utter failures' in future.

 

Democratic-backed judge wins Wisconsin race in setback for Elon Musk. Musk poured a lot of money into this.

 

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cp8km3zg3kyo

 

Midterms are going to be brutal for Republicans. 

Thats democracy... 

 

Powers of US & dollar value has waned in the last few years... and current US thinktanks know that it needs a course correction. 

 

 

[IndianRenegade]

35 minutes ago, diga said:

Bidens policies did not yield much results for US... obviously they will relook at it.  

??? CHIPS act literally brought semiconductor manufacturing to US without causing US markets to crash or trade wars. 
 

Biden did fail generally, but chips act wasn’t one of them.

[Autonomous]

Trump is an idiot. 

[diga]

32 minutes ago, IndianRenegade said:

??? CHIPS act literally brought semiconductor manufacturing to US without causing US markets to crash or trade wars. 
 

Biden did fail generally, but chips act wasn’t one of them.

CHIPS act did not help much... Intel is struggling (may be because of other factors).  TSMC will invest 100B$ or so in the next 5+ years but thats more to do with China posturing towards Taiwan than US policies.

[Autonomous]

It might help our exports to US vs Bangladesh though. As tarrif on BD is like 37% compared to PK which is 29%. 

 

 

[IndianRenegade]

2 hours ago, diga said:

CHIPS act did not help much... Intel is struggling (may be because of other factors).  TSMC will invest 100B$ or so in the next 5+ years but thats more to do with China posturing towards Taiwan than US policies.

intel is failing because its tech is largely becoming irrelevant, it has nothing to do with CHIPS act.
 

TSMC has already has set up and started fabrication directly because of chips act. 
 

Your claim is backwards, lookup the term “silicon shield”. Taiwan will have western protection against china as long as it has monopoly or controls major portion of the advanced chips supply chain, without it the west could care less as to what china does with Taiwan.

 

It benefits Taiwan for TSMC to not expand in US. 

 

Edited April 3, 2025 by IndianRenegade

[mishra]

Rest of world will devalue their currency within nxt 1 -2 year to fight Trumpism. Just those in 40%-50% bracket will find it hard to devalue that much in front of their people

[LordPrabhzy]

2 hours ago, Autonomous said:

It might help our exports to US vs Bangladesh though. As tarrif on BD is like 37% compared to PK which is 29%. 

 

 

What does Pakistan export of value to the world, genuinely curious?  LET and JEM doesnt count btw

[mishra]

4 minutes ago, LordPrabhzy said:

What does Pakistan export of value to the world, genuinely curious?  LET and JEM doesnt count btw

Think its 5 billion, Mostly clothes and sports

[rkt.india]

5 hours ago, IndianRenegade said:

Indian & Chinese markets aren’t reacting much because even at this rate, it is still profitable for American importers to import than to move supply chains.

 

The market that is crashing is the American market.

These tariffs were already taken into account in the last fall. 

[diga]

1 hour ago, IndianRenegade said:

intel is failing because its tech is largely becoming irrelevant, it has nothing to do with CHIPS act.
 

TSMC has already has set up and started fabrication directly because of chips act. 
 

Your claim is backwards, lookup the term “silicon shield”. Taiwan will have western protection against china as long as it has monopoly or controls major portion of the advanced chips supply chain, without it the west could care less as to what china does with Taiwan.

 

It benefits Taiwan for TSMC to not expand in US. 

 

We are not talking about Intel design but fabs/process technology and thats not too far behind TSMC...

 

 

[coffee_rules]

6 hours ago, IndianRenegade said:

You don’t know how many Indian uncles I met during the lame duck period before inauguration gave me “Elon is a smart man, he will steer trump away from it” BS when I expressed fears of tariffs.

 

The same ppl who advocate for tax cuts will do mental gymnastics to justify this tax increase. As it’s typical with conservatives they will continue to do mental gymnastics until they are actually impacted, if it takes a recession, then it takes a recession. 

I am ignoring that idiot. If you respond to that idiot with personal jibes, I refuse to  respond. You are doing whataboutry of dem tax increase of income tax to some tax increase of imported goods . Also , start your RR after at least a year when we file tax returns in  26 and compare. It is hardly 3 months and Dems are thinking Trump has been around for 4 years. Biden has 4 years of lame duck period funding a war which we never should have gotten into. 

[mishra]

Really surprised that Vicks still posting me and doing name calling. Unlike him, the people he is namecalling have made millions and are probably among 1-5% top earners of their country. Not even India. The countries they are in. And they satrted from zero. If he makes it that far, His parents/Locality will be proud of him.To me, He is hopeless guy

 

Edited April 3, 2025 by mishra

[coffee_rules]

6 hours ago, IndianRenegade said:

To help US the policy should be consistent, Biden kept much of the tariffs Trump imposed on china in his first term. Because it wasn’t broad based & was specific to certain sectors.

 

Any policy position needs support of population at large, Indian farm bill fell through because of discontent even though it might have helped India in the long run. Tariffs that increase consumer costs will not be supported by most ppl who feel the impact of it on their wallets.

 

 

 

The comparison to farm bills is not apt. The discontent was all managed by toolkit operators both in and out of the country. Only farmers of 2 states raised the issue and Govt backed down due to elections. There is no such thing in US right now