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Posted
21 minutes ago, speedheat said:

 

Bit rich that third grade comedians have become master analysts for anti-modi gang. And the analysis is absolutely atrocious.

 

 

 

 

Posted
1 hour ago, kepler37b said:

Bit rich that third grade comedians have become master analysts for anti-modi gang. And the analysis is absolutely atrocious.

 

 

 

 

 

What you find atrocious is actually a truth.

 

Posted
5 hours ago, G_B_ said:

And yes ...

 

Looks like maharashtra will get a third wave soon and the cycle will repeat.

 

Its the weakest link in india and no guesses who is governing it

Where are you getting this from?

Posted

This is a very scary interview. If the virus was manipulated to take a different evolution course, other than mutating into milder varieties, we are royally screwed. 

Posted (edited)
On 6/23/2021 at 9:56 AM, kepler37b said:

This is a lab made virus. No one knows in what direction the virus was stretched.

 

 

There is no credible evidence that it is engineered, although there is some evidence that it may have leaked from a lab culture. 

 

Now, even if it was a lab-made virus, variant and VOC occurrence in SARS CoV2 is perfectly well-explained by natural molecular evolutionary mechanisms.  

Edited by BacktoCricaddict
Posted
20 minutes ago, BacktoCricaddict said:

There is no credible evidence that it is engineered, although there is some evidence that it may have leaked from a lab culture. 

 

Now, even if it was a lab-made virus, variant and VOC occurrence in SARS CoV2 is perfectly well-explained by natural molecular evolutionary mechanisms.  

How do you define "natural" evolution? Is there evidence to prove that this "natural" evolution cannot be hastened in a lab?

Posted (edited)
25 minutes ago, kepler37b said:

How do you define "natural" evolution? Is there evidence to prove that this "natural" evolution cannot be hastened in a lab?

Mutation rates and recombination rates in SARS CoV2 are consistent with what is known for all coronaviruses.  So far, I am also not aware of any engineering that can be done to hasten its evolution.  As a scientist, I cannot rule out the possibility - no one can prove a negative like: "it cannot be hastened."  But the burden of proof is on someone who claims it can be hastened to show that it is so. 

 

My mantra:  More replication --> More mutations --> More variants --> More VOCs.  It's just a numbers game.  Control early spread and everything else slows down too.  

                                                                                                                                                                             

Edited by BacktoCricaddict
Posted
19 minutes ago, BacktoCricaddict said:

Mutation rates and recombination rates in SARS CoV2 are consistent with what is known for all coronaviruses.  So far, I am also not aware of any engineering that can be done to hasten its evolution.  As a scientist, I cannot rule out the possibility - no one can prove a negative like: "it cannot be hastened."  But the burden of proof is on someone who claims it can be hastened to show that it is so. 

 

My mantra:  More replication --> More mutations --> More variants --> More VOCs.  It's just a numbers game.  Control early spread and everything else slows down too.  

                                                                                                                                                                             

Ok. Is there a chance of virus becoming more transmissible and more dangerous at the same time?

Posted
3 minutes ago, BacktoCricaddict said:

Yes.  The Delta mutant already seems to be so.  

But I heard that usual evolution for a virus results in a milder but more transmissible strain. This seems to go against the usual.

Posted (edited)
14 minutes ago, kepler37b said:

But I heard that usual evolution for a virus results in a milder but more transmissible strain. This seems to go against the usual.

In the long-term, yes.  There are a number of concepts at play here.  First, evolution is not linear and does not follow a singular  path.  Mutations result in all sorts of variations.  Second, of those variations, the one that spreads the most will be the long-term winner.  That is because a more deadly ones keeps killing and running out of hosts to spread to. 

 

We are still early in the game here.  The delta variant is only 8 months old (first discovered in MH in Nov).  After it has run its course, the more transmissible but milder variants will take over and become our jeevansaathi in the long term (like the cold viruses).  But our current goal is to stop the delta too before it causes too much damage.  

Edited by BacktoCricaddict
Posted (edited)
3 hours ago, BacktoCricaddict said:

There is no credible evidence that it is engineered, although there is some evidence that it may have leaked from a lab culture. 

 

Now, even if it was a lab-made virus, variant and VOC occurrence in SARS CoV2 is perfectly well-explained by natural molecular evolutionary mechanisms.  

China deleted the first samples that are uploaded. It only means they really want to hide it. Lab leak can be ruled out now. Circumstantial evidence is tough to ignore now. It is made in a Chinese lab.

Edited by gattaca
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