javier26 Posted October 20 Share Posted October 20 (edited) The Gap between India and Australia continues to get narrow. Likely that by the end of BGT Series, Australia would be at top of the table going into the Finals. Edited October 31 by javier26 Link to comment
Lord Posted October 20 Share Posted October 20 Why does that matter? Top 2 play and we are clear of the 3rd by long way for now cricketfan28 1 Link to comment
putrevus Posted October 22 Share Posted October 22 How many wins they need from here and how many more losses they can withstand and still qualify for finals. Link to comment
bowl_out Posted October 22 Share Posted October 22 On 10/20/2024 at 10:41 AM, Lord said: Why does that matter? Top 2 play and we are clear of the 3rd by long way for now I think South Africa has a bunch of easy games - against BD and then against Pak at home. I used a WTC simulator and picked the likely winners of all matches to come, and it looked like SA might jump to the top 2 soon. Lord 1 Link to comment
javier26 Posted October 26 Author Share Posted October 26 India still on top with a very small margin. Its getting more competitive as the WTC Cycle is approaching its final stage, All Top 5 Teams have good chance to qualify for the Finals. Problem for India is that they have a tough Final series in Australia where they will have to win 2-3 Tests to maintain their win %. Link to comment
bowl_out Posted October 26 Share Posted October 26 Very likely that India will miss out. It will be Aus vs South Africa in the final. SA have 1 Test against BD and then 5 home tests vs Pak and SL. They'll likely win all of them and go to the top of the table. Assuming optimistically that India lose the BGT 1-2 (assuming Draw at Sydney and Adelaide), India still finish third. If India has to finish second, they need to win the third Test against NZ and win the BGT 2-1 or 3-2 or better. If not Aus will qualify along with SA Link to comment
Norman Posted October 26 Share Posted October 26 It's going to be an Australia vs South Africa final. We are gonna get obliterated in Australia. 4-0 or 5-0... Link to comment
Frustrated Posted October 26 Share Posted October 26 4 possible scenarios for WTC Final exist: 1) Aus vs SA 2) Aus vs NZ 3) Aus vs SL 4) SA vs SL (unlikely though) Link to comment
Frustrated Posted October 26 Share Posted October 26 At this stage no sensible ind fan would want Ind to reach WTC final. Coz 36 AO type humiliation awaits. Most ind fans had simply wanted Ind to somehow win or escape with a draw in this home series vs NZ. That didn't happen. Now, except few youtubers, no Ind fan would give a crap about WTC Final. Link to comment
bowl_out Posted October 26 Share Posted October 26 WTC Points table simulator https://predictor.cricketxi.com/world-test-championship/ Link to comment
rageaddict Posted October 26 Share Posted October 26 (edited) 32 minutes ago, bowl_out said: Very likely that India will miss out. It will be Aus vs South Africa in the final. SA have 1 Test against BD and then 5 home tests vs Pak and SL. They'll likely win all of them and go to the top of the table. Assuming optimistically that India lose the BGT 1-2 (assuming Draw at Sydney and Adelaide), India still finish third. If India has to finish second, they need to win the third Test against NZ and win the BGT 2-1 or 3-2 or better. If not Aus will qualify along with SA SA have 4 Tests at home against SL and Pakistan, two each against both and not 5.. Considering if all their pace bowlers are fit they will have Nortje, Rabada, Lungi, Jansen, Coeetzee, Burger so many fast bowlers to choose from in their home conditions..more than capable of winning atleast 3 Tests out of 4, even 4 out of 4. Their biggest challenge was the series against BD in Asian conditions where they have won the first Test if they win the second test too then they will be massive favorites for the WTC Finals. Edited October 26 by rageaddict Link to comment
cricketfan28 Posted October 26 Share Posted October 26 Have faith, one more final loading. Link to comment
Chakdephatte Posted October 26 Share Posted October 26 (edited) SA plays lesser number of matches. Their win percentage can fluctuate with one win. If they win 5 of their remaining matches, their win % will be 69. If they win only 3, it will be 52 and they stand no chance. On the other, India and Australia have to fight hard in BGT. The winner will most likely knock out the loser. Big teams not be lot more consistent because of long series. Isn't it stupid? @vvvslaxman, @Lord, @rollingstoned Edited October 26 by Chakdephatte rollingstoned 1 Link to comment
vvvslaxman Posted October 26 Share Posted October 26 1 minute ago, Chakdephatte said: SA plays lesser number of matches. Their win percentage can fluctuate with one win. If they win 5 of their remaining matches, their win % will be 61. If they win only 3, it will be 52 and they stand no chance. On the other, India and Australia have to fight hard in BGT. The winner will most likely knock out the loser. Big teams not be lot more consistent because of long series. Isn't it stupid? @vvvslaxman, @Lord, @rollingstoned yes. that is why WTC concept is a stupid concept. Link to comment
rollingstoned Posted October 26 Share Posted October 26 1 hour ago, Chakdephatte said: SA plays lesser number of matches. Their win percentage can fluctuate with one win. If they win 5 of their remaining matches, their win % will be 69. If they win only 3, it will be 52 and they stand no chance. On the other, India and Australia have to fight hard in BGT. The winner will most likely knock out the loser. Big teams not be lot more consistent because of long series. Isn't it stupid? @vvvslaxman, @Lord, @rollingstoned Wtc is still a gimmick which was still a well intentioned attempt to give some context to test cricket imo. After 3 editions though they should fix things like this by ensuring all teams play the same no. Of games at least and of more or less the same difficulty and the final venue. If you gave me a test series win at home against Nzl in current series as against a potential wtc final win I would still take it. Link to comment
javier26 Posted October 31 Author Share Posted October 31 Just 8 % separating the Top 4 Teams . If SA continue their good form at home , then the final will be between SA and India/Australia depending upon the result of the BGT Series. Link to comment
Need4Speed Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 (edited) On 10/26/2024 at 7:06 AM, Norman said: It's going to be an Australia vs South Africa final. We are gonna get obliterated in Australia. 4-0 or 5-0... we shud..if we are hell bent to play old legs..and misfiring Siraj..we should..and every match we should lose pathetically..so every body spits at BCCI and TM Edited October 31 by Need4Speed Link to comment
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