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randomGuy

2023 could finally be the year when Pakistan breaks up into 3 pieces

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TTP, BLA are stronger than ever with USA gone. Pakistan's foreign reserves gone, currency collapsed and inflation trending towards hyperinflation. Political, ethnic divisions, corrupt, immoral politicians (sex videos circulating) and military . TTP recently announced parallel government in KPK with Pakistani media not showing the news deliberately thinking this would spread even more panic...i used to not pay attention to such news before but analysing the situation makes me feel this (breaking up of Pakistan) is inevitable and could happen sooner than we think ...

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2 minutes ago, SM2907 said:

That can change if Pakistan is on the verge of disruption. Both sides stand to benefit.

no, china have been historical rivals for decades - since at least 1962 if not earlier. moreover, US will court Ind as an ally against china, and it's unlikely Ind will abandon that alliance. there are lots of complex geopolitical factors at play. someone like @Lone Wolf can tell you more about it if you are interested. it's not as simple as just flipping from X to Y because of some country disintegrating or otherwise

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16 hours ago, bharathh said:

Pakistan won't break up. They will miraculously continue to thrive like a weed.

 

It will survive. For few more years but become a conflict zone like Syria. Taliban doesn't recognize the border. They will start imposing themselves. The entire af pak region could be a messy piece of land. Before neighbours, Israel and US will secure nuclear weapons. 

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Posted (edited)
18 hours ago, ravishingravi said:

Worse case scenario is if it doesn't break and simply merges with Afg. Then Taliban are our neighbors 

1. Pashtun who make up the Taliban hate Punjabis. Pashtun and Baloch are several thousand years' old identities which pre-date Islam and pre-date Pakistan obviously.

 

2. If islamic identity alone could form a country then there wouldn't be like a dozen or so Arab countries.

 

3. Even Pakistani sindhis don't like Pakistani Punjabis... just that Sindhi have been accomodating till now..if Balochistan and KPK break away, there's high chance that Sindh will too ..

 

4. There has been precedent as we know of Bangladesh breaking away ~50 years back, albeit India would have had greater role there due to geographical boundaries ..

Edited by randomGuy
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