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2023 could finally be the year when Pakistan breaks up into 3 pieces


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Posted

TTP, BLA are stronger than ever with USA gone. Pakistan's foreign reserves gone, currency collapsed and inflation trending towards hyperinflation. Political, ethnic divisions, corrupt, immoral politicians (sex videos circulating) and military . TTP recently announced parallel government in KPK with Pakistani media not showing the news deliberately thinking this would spread even more panic...i used to not pay attention to such news before but analysing the situation makes me feel this (breaking up of Pakistan) is inevitable and could happen sooner than we think ...

Posted
11 minutes ago, ravishingravi said:

But it's Pakistan. Like it's cricket team, whenever you believe it will get flushed down, it finds a way to live another day. The eventual destination is inevitable. 

Agreed..but maybe in cricket terms also , it's like 9 down and 100 to get ..

Posted
2 hours ago, Singh bling said:

Since the day I joined ICF in 2011 I am reading posts here that Pakistan is on its last legs.

yeah, there have been quite a few in the past decade.

Posted

Papa US will not make it happen.. Kaanspiarcy theories keep coming though.  Only way Pakistan is splitting up is a nuclear showdown with India.  

Pakjabi army has decent numbers & tech to deal with a insurgency.  

Posted
11 hours ago, SM2907 said:

Unlikely till they have support from China. We have to make China our friend and split Pakistan with their help:om:

china is not india's friend, and is unlikely to become one in near-future.

Posted
9 hours ago, Vijy said:

china is not india's friend, and is unlikely to become one in near-future.

That can change if Pakistan is on the verge of disruption. Both sides stand to benefit.

Posted
2 minutes ago, SM2907 said:

That can change if Pakistan is on the verge of disruption. Both sides stand to benefit.

no, china have been historical rivals for decades - since at least 1962 if not earlier. moreover, US will court Ind as an ally against china, and it's unlikely Ind will abandon that alliance. there are lots of complex geopolitical factors at play. someone like @Lone Wolf can tell you more about it if you are interested. it's not as simple as just flipping from X to Y because of some country disintegrating or otherwise

Posted

They'll play the existential crisis victim card to get some money incoming. The world can't take the risk of a nuclear weapons possessing nation going desperate. Imagine if they start selling atomic weapons to other countries as a last resort ?

Posted
16 hours ago, bharathh said:

Pakistan won't break up. They will miraculously continue to thrive like a weed.

 

It will survive. For few more years but become a conflict zone like Syria. Taliban doesn't recognize the border. They will start imposing themselves. The entire af pak region could be a messy piece of land. Before neighbours, Israel and US will secure nuclear weapons. 

Posted (edited)
18 hours ago, ravishingravi said:

Worse case scenario is if it doesn't break and simply merges with Afg. Then Taliban are our neighbors 

1. Pashtun who make up the Taliban hate Punjabis. Pashtun and Baloch are several thousand years' old identities which pre-date Islam and pre-date Pakistan obviously.

 

2. If islamic identity alone could form a country then there wouldn't be like a dozen or so Arab countries.

 

3. Even Pakistani sindhis don't like Pakistani Punjabis... just that Sindhi have been accomodating till now..if Balochistan and KPK break away, there's high chance that Sindh will too ..

 

4. There has been precedent as we know of Bangladesh breaking away ~50 years back, albeit India would have had greater role there due to geographical boundaries ..

Edited by randomGuy
Posted
18 hours ago, bharathh said:

Pakistan won't break up. They will miraculously continue to thrive like a weed.

I would prefer to refer to the pakistan govt as the turd that won't flush. 

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