mishra Posted February 5, 2025 Posted February 5, 2025 1 hour ago, Austin 3:!6 said: I never trust any polls after last year general election +1 Austin 3:!6 1
coffee_rules Posted February 5, 2025 Posted February 5, 2025 Remember 2020 exit polls of Delhi - it claimed 50+ seats for BJP, it was a rout of BJP. Still scarred from that.
LordPrabhzy Posted February 5, 2025 Posted February 5, 2025 No point in debating on Exit polls- because esp in India these polls are meaningless and not done properly. Lets wait till 8th when the results are announced
jigjig Posted February 5, 2025 Posted February 5, 2025 5 minutes ago, LordPrabhzy said: No point in debating on Exit polls- because esp in India these polls are meaningless and not done properly. Lets wait till 8th when the results are announced 34 saal mein ek baar allowed hai
coffee_rules Posted February 5, 2025 Posted February 5, 2025 37 minutes ago, LordPrabhzy said: No point in debating on Exit polls- because esp in India these polls are meaningless and not done properly. Lets wait till 8th when the results are announced My memory failed me. It seems both 2015/2020 exit polls got the trends correctly. Just saying... https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/delhi-assembly-election-how-accurate-were-2015-2020-exit-polls-101738749478604.html 2020 Delhi Assembly election exit polls Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) pulled off yet another stellar performance. The party won 62 seats. The BJP improved its tally winning 8 seats. What did the exit polls predict? Most of the exit polls predicted a landslide victory for the AAP. Jan Ki Baat predicted 55 seats for AAP and 15 for BJP; India Today-Axis My India predicted 59-68 seats for AAP, and 2-11 for BJP. Times Now predicted 47 seats for AAP, 23 for BJP; NewsX-Neta predicted 55 seats for AAP and 14 for BJP; India News-Nation predicted 55 seats for AAP and 14 seats for the BJP; ABP News-CVoter predicted 51-65 seats for AAP and 3-17 seats for BJP. mishra and randomGuy 2
vayuu1 Posted February 6, 2025 Posted February 6, 2025 14 hours ago, coffee_rules said: Remember 2020 exit polls of Delhi - it claimed 50+ seats for BJP, it was a rout of BJP. Still scarred from that. Nope all the exit polls were predicting 50+ for AAP in 2020 not even one was giving edge to BJP coffee_rules 1
diga Posted February 6, 2025 Posted February 6, 2025 15 hours ago, coffee_rules said: Remember 2020 exit polls of Delhi - it claimed 50+ seats for BJP, it was a rout of BJP. Still scarred from that. Think it was Bihar.. coffee_rules 1
G_B_ Posted February 6, 2025 Author Posted February 6, 2025 Hmm turnout same as 2020...i think lots of these exit polls done at 3pm expecting lot more turnout.. Aap might clinch this... coffee_rules 1
randomGuy Posted February 6, 2025 Posted February 6, 2025 Will be interesting to see axis my India exit poll today. Polling percentage is a good 4% below expectations.
coffee_rules Posted February 6, 2025 Posted February 6, 2025 1 hour ago, G_B_ said: Hmm turnout same as 2020...i think lots of these exit polls done at 3pm expecting lot more turnout.. Aap might clinch this... Are you speculating or have some insider information? Exit poll of Pradeep Gupta. Is due today
G_B_ Posted February 6, 2025 Author Posted February 6, 2025 3 hours ago, coffee_rules said: Are you speculating or have some insider information? Exit poll of Pradeep Gupta. Is due today My speculation. Gupta ji has bjp 45 to 55 with vote share of 48% coffee_rules and randomGuy 2
G_B_ Posted February 6, 2025 Author Posted February 6, 2025 If pollsters get delhi wrong then their art is confirmed as pseudo science. Urban election, open environment. Most polls leaning in same direction... Guptaji especially should quit the game. Has made prediction knowing the final turnout figures. coffee_rules and randomGuy 1 1
coffee_rules Posted February 6, 2025 Posted February 6, 2025 (edited) Del Edited February 6, 2025 by coffee_rules
coffee_rules Posted February 6, 2025 Posted February 6, 2025 Yeh baat to tai hain, no matter what On Public Demand Kejriwal Bhadwa hai pic.twitter.com/AOi4afAh0a— Manjeet Ghoshi (@ghoshi_manjeet) January 21, 2025
randomGuy Posted February 6, 2025 Posted February 6, 2025 Pradip gupta as well as phalodi satta bazar saying kejri losing his seat. Satta bazar saying he is trailing both pravesh verma and dikshit.
coffee_rules Posted February 6, 2025 Posted February 6, 2025 (edited) 19 minutes ago, randomGuy said: Pradip gupta as well as phalodi satta bazar saying kejri losing his seat. Satta bazar saying he is trailing both pravesh verma and dikshit. After PG, I am a bit more confident of the ethe exit polls and all the SM hype about anti-incumbency against Kejriwal. Ummeed pe duniya qayyum Edited February 6, 2025 by coffee_rules randomGuy 1
mishra Posted February 6, 2025 Posted February 6, 2025 Kejri is still there. Waited 10+ years. Will wait 2 more days. We can’t count him out.
randomGuy Posted February 6, 2025 Posted February 6, 2025 4 minutes ago, coffee_rules said: After PH, I am a bit more confident of all the SM hype about anti-incumbency against Kejriwal. Ummeed pe duniya qayyum Phalodi for life :D But seriously, no progress on pollution, less work on infra, freebies by bjp, sheeshmahal, boredom from 1 party after 10 yrs - there are a lot of factors. coffee_rules 1
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