MI, CSK regressed?

[DarkProfile]

6 hours ago, Rantzz said:

You’d need 8 wins in most cases to qualify. Sometimes 7 can get you there but Unlikely with 10 team IPL

 

so basically both teams have to go 8-3 here on to have a chance to qualify 

 

Thanks, I got it now. 14 total league matches per team. You say that 8 wins out of 14 matches is a safe probability of qualification. Both teams have lost 3 matches. 11 league matches pending. So, they can afford to lose 3 more matches, which means that they'll have to win 75-80 percent of their remaining matches.

 

Toss will also play a role here. So, giving 60-40 toss odds to their favour (loser's luck???), they have 7 wins and 4 losses out of 11 tosses.

 

Now, assuming that the toss-winning team has 70 percent odds of winning (9/13 teams have won chasing so far). So, out of the 7 matches where they win the toss, let's give them 5 wins. So, it is safe to assume that out of the 4 matches where they lose the toss, they'll have to win at least 3 matches, which comes to 75 percent winning odds after losing the toss. Impossible!

 

But if you give them 6 out of 7 wins in the toss-won matches, then they'll have to win 50 percent of their toss-lost matches (2 wins out of 4 matches). Hmm...

 

So, optimistically, they need to win 90 percent of the matches where they win the toss and 50 percent of the matches where they lose the toss? Hohoho, I'd rather bet on Thala and Hitman playing bingo.

Edited April 7, 2022 by DarkProfile

[Vijy]

yes, regressed big time.

[Texan]

Competing tooth and nail for the wooden spoon. If CSK can do it, MI can do it even bettter. 

[Real McCoy]

Its inevitable that CSK is going this route. I still don't know how they won last year with pension recepients. What's surprising is MI following CSK. Maybe some wire transfer is needed from mumbani to umps. @Mariyam what's going on here? seems rohit sharma is dieting and staying away from vada pavs

[Adamant]

So Rohit is appointed as Indian captain and just the next ipl season he loses 4 out of 4 match. 

 

 

[Pollack]

2 hours ago, Adamant said:

So Rohit is appointed as Indian captain and just the next ipl season he loses 4 out of 4 match. 

 

 

Wow that's terrible. He should learn from kohli. Kohli lost 9 IPL seasons after being made captain. 

[vvvslaxman]

7 hours ago, Real McCoy said:

Its inevitable that CSK is going this route. I still don't know how they won last year with pension recepients. What's surprising is MI following CSK. Maybe some wire transfer is needed from mumbani to umps. @Mariyam what's going on here? seems rohit sharma is dieting and staying away from vada pavs

 

Ruturaj, Faf

[asterix]

7 hours ago, Real McCoy said:

Its inevitable that CSK is going this route. I still don't know how they won last year with pension recepients. What's surprising is MI following CSK. Maybe some wire transfer is needed from mumbani to umps. @Mariyam what's going on here? seems rohit sharma is dieting and staying away from vada pavs

MI doesn’t has good record (maybe 50-50) in the current venues Mumbai & Pune. The pitches are fast and bouncy. MI bowlers struggle (or get carried away) on these pitches. No excuses, this could be one of the many reasons. MI always struggles to get a good combination after major auction, the TM does lots of experiments, Weak Batting lineup, long tail, absolutely pathetic spinner (Murugan Ashwin) this season and finally lack of motivation (just look at their body language). 
 

The TM needs to get proper nightlong Bamboo from Ambani’s after every loss. 

[Texan]

Here also, MI beating CSK to the wooden spoon. Anything CSK does, MI does better