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Playoff race is heating up!


zen

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It appears as if most are not aware of "groups" (or their details) so let's quickly address that (for information only, not to discuss its pros/cons): 

 

Group A - MI, KKR, RR, DC, & LSG 

Group B - CSK, SRH, RCB, PK, & GT 

 

Teams play:

  • 2 games versus teams in the same group 
  • 1 game versus 4 teams in the other group 
  • 2 games versus the team in its parallel position in the other group so MI-CSK, KKR-SRH, and so on play 2 games against each other 

 

 

Back to the topic - playoff race is heating up where 4 teams at the top of the table irrespective of group advance. Most likely 2 teams from each group will head to the playoffs. 3 teams from one group can go in cases where teams competing for a spot in the other group eat into each others' points, and the 3rd team has similar wins (as those teams in the other group) with a better NRR. 

 

 

Group A

RR -> 6 wins with 6 games to go 

LSG -> 5 wins with 6 games to go 

DC -> 4 wins with 6 games to go 

 

Group B

GT -> 7 wins with 6 games to go 

SRH -> 5 wins with 6 games to go 

RCB -> 5 wins with 5 games to go 

PK -> 4 wins with 6 games to go 

 

 

Potential spoilsport teams: CSK, KKR, & MI (CSK & KKR may need to win all of their remaining games for a mathematical chance to qualify):

 

 

At this point (not accounting for extremely dramatic situations), 5 teams are competing for 2 spots, targeting 8 or more wins (not considering NRR at the moment): 

 

  • Win 3/6 games - LSG & SRH (if they lose 4 games, they could become vulnerable) 
  • Win 3/5 games - RCB
  • Win 4/6 games - DC & PK 

 

 

Games among these 5 teams:

  • LSG v PK 
  • DC v LSG
  • DC v SRH 
  • RCB v SRH 
  • PK v RCB
  • DC v PK 
  • PK v SRH 

 

 

In the above games:

  • LSG plays 2 of its 6 remaining games 
  • RCB plays 2 of its 5 remaining games 
  • DC, PK, & SRH play 3 of their remaining 6 games

 

 

If the qualification for the last spot is to hinge on the final group game (which tends to happen in IPL), then the final game is PK v SRH so either it could be that the winner would advance or one of the teams may need to win it to advance, while the other would be in a nothing to lose position or even qualified (and there could be a 3rd team waiting for the team that needs to win to lose so it could advance). 

 

 

Edited by zen
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5 hours ago, SeasonedIPLer said:

@zen

 

whts head to head in games between group A vs Group B teams 

 

i don’t know off the top of my head but for some reason it seems fairly close

 

I am not sure but I would assume that Group B would be ahead as GT has beaten all Group A teams - LSG, DC, RR, & KKR. RCB also beat KKR, RR, MI,  DC, & LSG (RCB also lost one to RR as they played each other twice). CSK beat MI too (CSK will play MI again). :hmmm:

 

Edited by zen
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1 hour ago, bowl_out said:

@zen use your acumen to predict if MI will get 1 win this season? or end up as the first team to have 14 losses in a season

 

It depends upon which players MI fields (how it is looking at the remaining games)  i.e. MI may try out its bench strength ... Below are its remaining games:

 

v RR

v GT

v KKR

v CSK

v SRH

v DC 

 

If it fields a good 11, MI may pull off a win versus a KKR or a CSK. RR & GT may be look to experiment against MI. SRH & DC would pushing for a place in the playoffs so could be under pressure :dontknow:

 

Edited by zen
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DC, LSG, PK, RCB, & SRH's games versus CSK, KKR, & MI 

 

SRH v CSK 

RCB v CSK 

LSG v KKR

DC v CSK

SRH v KKR

SRH v MI 

LSG v KKR

DC v MI

 

 

3 of remaining 6 games: SRH 

2 of remaining 6 games: DC & LSG 

1 of remaining 5 games: RCB

0 of remaining 6 games: PK

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28 minutes ago, zen said:

DC, LSG, PK, RCB, & SRH's games versus CSK, KKR, & MI 

 

SRH v CSK 

RCB v CSK 

LSG v KKR

DC v CSK

SRH v KKR

SRH v MI 

LSG v KKR

DC v MI

 

 

3 of remaining 6 games: SRH 

2 of remaining 6 games: DC & LSG 

1 of remaining 5 games: RCB

0 of remaining 6 games: PK

Bottom teams usually dangerous when they have nothing to play for

 

can Be spoilt sports and just go out and express themselves freely

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1 minute ago, SeasonedIPLer said:

Bottom teams usually dangerous when they have nothing to play for

 

can Be spoilt sports and just go out and express themselves freely


Yeah, a double edged sword 

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Points Table after M44 ... In terms of chances for teams, nothing changes significantly ... In Group B, PK (5 games remaining) & RCB (4 games remaining) - because they have a negative NRR at the moment, should focus on winning all its games (unless things change) ... In Group A, RR (which lost to MI) can be pushed by LSG, which can be pushed by DC if it plays well 

 

 

TEAM M W L PT NRR
GT 9 8 1 16 0.377
RR 9 6 3 12 0.450
LSG 9 6 3 12 0.408
SRH 8 5 3 10 0.600
RCB 10 5 5 10 -0.558
DC 8 4 4 8 0.695
PBKS 9 4 5 8 -0.470
KKR 9 3 6 6 -0.006
CSK 8 2 6 4 -0.538
MI 9 1 8 2 -0.836

 

 
Edited by zen
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2 hours ago, zen said:

Update after M49 -> RCB returns to #4

 

TEAM M W L PT NRR
GT 10 8 2 16 0.158
LSG 10 7 3 14 0.397
RR 10 6 4 12 0.340
RCB 11 6 5 12 -0.444
SRH 9 5 4 10 0.471
PBKS 10 5 5 10 -0.229
DC 9 4 5 8 0.587
KKR 10 4 6 8 0.060
CSK 10 3 7 6 -0.431
MI 9 1 8 2 -0.836

 

RCB pulled a win over the Geriatrics today

Edited by Vijy
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After 50 IPL games, let's see where teams are placed in their quest to get to 8 wins:

 

Team - Wins required in remaining games to get to 8 wins % 

 

GT - 0%

LSG - 25%

RR - 50%

RCB - 66%

DC, PK, & SRH - 75%

KKR - 100%

 

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12 minutes ago, zen said:

After 50 IPL games, let's see where teams are placed in their quest to get to 8 wins:

 

Team - Wins required in remaining games to get to 8 wins % 

 

GT - 0%

LSG - 25%

RR - 50%

RCB - 66%

DC, PK, & SRH - 75%

KKR - 100%

 

seems like first 2 are going through, and possibly RR as well. last slot seems up for grabs

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