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Posted

It is now clear that regime change in Iran is highly unlikely. The real beneficiaries may be Russia and China, while India risks diplomatic fallout after refraining from condemning US/Israeli strikes and appearing aligned with their positions.

 

Historically India has followed a non‑aligned or “strategic autonomy” approach in global politics but this time we appeared overtly pro‑Israel, even on jingoistic levels.

Posted (edited)
20 minutes ago, Vancouver said:

It is now clear that regime change in Iran is highly unlikely. The real beneficiaries may be Russia and China, while India risks diplomatic fallout after refraining from condemning US/Israeli strikes and appearing aligned with their positions.

 

Historically India has followed a non‑aligned or “strategic autonomy” approach in global politics but this time we appeared overtly pro‑Israel, even on jingoistic levels.

 

Too early to call. Plus even if there is no regime change, this will be puppet regime with its wings clipped. And we have no relation or trade with Iran. 

 

Pro Israel on jingoistic levels ? Why what did India do ?

Edited by ravishingravi
Posted (edited)

The longer this engagement continues, it’s detrimental to the narrative. 
The thing is that Iran - being such an embarrassing and an antiquated / Cold war era defense force - can always fire some random drones and cause a nuisance. It’s also expensive to guarantee safety / insure the strait. 

 

Most if not all of the navy / main targets / air force are already wiped out. Probably best to intensify the engagement 3x / 4x with precision and get this done with in the next 2-4 days. Anything longer is not going to accomplish anything. Markets need stability - even a psychological signal is more than enough. 

Edited by MK55
Posted (edited)
7 hours ago, ravishingravi said:

 

This is just meaningless KPI. In real terms it means nothing. 

 

GDP is still the most important metric even with all its deficiencies to measure a country's progress. We'll be paying more for imports if Rupee keeps falling.

Edited by Tillu
Posted
15 hours ago, Tillu said:

 

Outside all the Oil producing countries, it looks like only Pakistan may come out as a winner from this whole fiasco.

 

 

Pakistan...and winner?

 

There is severe oil crisis in Pakistan, people are shooting each other at the petrol pump. Lines worth several kms are seen on petrol stations. Recently petrol and diesel saw a hike of 80 PKR.

 

On top of it, soldiers are losing lives against Afghanistan conflict. Numbers vary from 80 to 500 soldiers as uts tough to say exactly due to media ban. Pak isnt able to mobilize its troops as India has also adopted an aggressive posture at the western border.

 

Making matter worse, India has increased desilting of dams, and the flow to the rivers (except Indus) is lowest, food shortage is at their face. 

 

Best of all, Saudi have pushed Pak to send their troops and defence equipments. Pak has shifted its radar detection from Jacobabad airbase to Saudi and is also planning to send troops. If that happens, Iran may shift its barrage of missiles to Karachi port and burn it down to Ashes. Not to mention civil unrest by Shias.

Posted
7 hours ago, Vancouver said:

It is now clear that regime change in Iran is highly unlikely. The real beneficiaries may be Russia and China, while India risks diplomatic fallout after refraining from condemning US/Israeli strikes and appearing aligned with their positions.

 

Historically India has followed a non‑aligned or “strategic autonomy” approach in global politics but this time we appeared overtly pro‑Israel, even on jingoistic levels.

:dontknow:..They bombed the entire regime to death. This, for all practical purposes, is a new regime in a way. They will make IRGC even weaker and allow the professional iran army to take over and make ayyatollah a figure head.

Posted
2 hours ago, singhvivek141 said:

Best of all, Saudi have pushed Pak to send their troops and defence equipments. Pak has shifted its radar detection from Jacobabad airbase to Saudi and is also planning to send troops. If that happens, Iran may shift its barrage of missiles to Karachi port and burn it down to Ashes. Not to mention civil unrest by Shias.

Pakistan has no credible missile defence system.

 

Couple of well guided missiles were enough to make them come grovelling. The Iranians have more than enough shahed drones and missiles to bomb Karachi port to being unusable 

 

As of now , Iran has refrained from major attacks on Saudi Arabia. Not because it fears Pakistan, but because it can't afford to have another battle front open up. But if Saudi forces Pakistan to engage , then Iran goes on full suicide mode 

Posted
12 minutes ago, ravishingravi said:

 

This will be a bad one from all account. 

 Alternative from Russia and Algeria will take 20 days . WOrse case 25 days.

Posted
1 hour ago, Sgattick10 said:

Guys will there be LPG shortage in coming days, and if so for how long? Will there be huge increase in price? Anyone with correct info? 

How are the piped gas customers affected ? Gail connections in Bengaluru

Posted
1 hour ago, rkt.india said:

Electricity is more expensive than gas.

Time for expansion of Nuclear Energy.

Non Renewable sources like Coal, Oil etc are anyway gonna exhaust. Nuclear can give us electricity for ages.

 

Solar, Wind etc have limited usage in urban centers. Maybe small towns and villages it can still survive.

Posted
4 hours ago, Sgattick10 said:

Guys will there be LPG shortage in coming days, and if so for how long? Will there be huge increase in price? Anyone with correct info? 

 

It's a crisis situation for restaurants and for roadside eateries but near normal situation for household consumers.

 

But still, as a responsible citizen, use as much induction as possible to save LPG for the country.

 

Posted
25 minutes ago, singhvivek141 said:

Time for expansion of Nuclear Energy.

Non Renewable sources like Coal, Oil etc are anyway gonna exhaust. Nuclear can give us electricity for ages.

 

Solar, Wind etc have limited usage in urban centers. Maybe small towns and villages it can still survive.

 

Thats where its heading. Nuclear in next 15 years.

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