Clarke Posted May 19, 2019 Posted May 19, 2019 33 minutes ago, Adi BB said: what did he say He's ex BJP, now TMC. It's funny to see these guys make u turns depending on their paymaster.
coffee_rules Posted May 19, 2019 Posted May 19, 2019 (edited) 1 hour ago, diga said: Let's wait till Thursday.... hopefully no klpds but these pollsters are in big business nobody wants to put their rept on risk. So fairly confident.. Edited May 19, 2019 by coffee_rules
Gollum Posted May 19, 2019 Posted May 19, 2019 Check the meltdown on reddit india, glorious day.Sent from my SM-G350E using Tapatalk coffee_rules and ravishingravi 2
someone Posted May 19, 2019 Posted May 19, 2019 Something from the past, short memories is actually our biggest problem https://www.opindia.com/2018/11/that-time-in-2007-when-bjp-nearly-got-banned/
LordPrabhzy Posted May 19, 2019 Posted May 19, 2019 Anything under 300 seats will be a disappointment for the NDA. Opposition in meltdown over these exit polls. Happy days. Roll on 23rd May
ravishingravi Posted May 20, 2019 Posted May 20, 2019 11 hours ago, cowboysfan said: why? what have national parties done for the south? Kerala is the most highly educated state in the country and congress was in power for a long time but didnt do anything for development.In karnataka all the BJP did was loot the state with the reddy bros and others while in power. One should not confuse literacy with education. Turning_track, velu, diga and 3 others 2 4
Lannister Posted May 20, 2019 Posted May 20, 2019 How reliable are exit polls? Data says not much! https://www.deccanherald.com/lok-sabha-election-2019/how-reliable-are-exit-polls-data-says-not-much-734739.html
cowboysfan Posted May 20, 2019 Posted May 20, 2019 33 minutes ago, Lannister said: How reliable are exit polls? Data says not much! https://www.deccanherald.com/lok-sabha-election-2019/how-reliable-are-exit-polls-data-says-not-much-734739.html We cant dismiss the trend of all the polls,i still think NDA will come close but miss a simple majority.
ravishingravi Posted May 20, 2019 Posted May 20, 2019 2 hours ago, Lannister said: How reliable are exit polls? Data says not much! https://www.deccanherald.com/lok-sabha-election-2019/how-reliable-are-exit-polls-data-says-not-much-734739.html Exit polls are pure numbers. Sampling statistic. The key thing to observe is where the number aligns with expectation or sentiment on ground. In this case, numbers only indicate what the mood was on ground. So I would attach some credibility. However there is is a margin of error which can swing either way. But it will require a huge swing for there to be another result. Turning_track 1
FischerTal Posted May 20, 2019 Author Posted May 20, 2019 2 hours ago, Lannister said: How reliable are exit polls? Data says not much! https://www.deccanherald.com/lok-sabha-election-2019/how-reliable-are-exit-polls-data-says-not-much-734739.html axis has been spot on for the past 2 years. can't say anything about the others
Lannister Posted May 20, 2019 Posted May 20, 2019 16 minutes ago, ravishingravi said: Exit polls are pure numbers. Sampling statistic. The key thing to observe is where the number aligns with expectation or sentiment on ground. In this case, numbers only indicate what the mood was on ground. So I would attach some credibility. However there is is a margin of error which can swing either way. But it will require a huge swing for there to be another result. So what's the mood among the people? It was obvious during the last elections but it's a 50-50 this time around.
Number Posted May 20, 2019 Posted May 20, 2019 (edited) Based on 2014 exit polls and assembly elections exit polls, statewise best pollsters Maharashtra - Nielsen and Cvoter. Cvoter got every 95% of seats right in MH 2014 in a 4-way contest. UP - Chankya and Axis both got very close but still underestimated BJP by 10%. CVoter was 50% off. Bihar - Axis hands down( only one to predict NDA rout in assembly correctly) West Bengal - Axis overestimated TMC while Chankya got exact numbers for TMC INC-Left alliance. Karnataka - NewsX and JanKiBaat. Cvoter too was close. Since both Axis and Chankya are giving UP 65 to BJP I feel we might just get complete MGB INC rout even 75+ in UP is possible. Maharashtra shall be 34-36 for NDA. Karnataka - 16-18. Overall it should adjust BJP to 270 and NDA around 310. Edited May 20, 2019 by Number diga 1
diga Posted May 20, 2019 Posted May 20, 2019 3 hours ago, ravishingravi said: One should not confuse literacy with education. People should distance from Isis in Kerala but opposition media itself says the situation is alarming Turning_track 1
upriser7 Posted May 20, 2019 Posted May 20, 2019 Not much surprises when it comes to LS elections this time...expected comfortable win for NDA. I am mainly curios about assembly elections in my state this time (AP)...it's gonna be super tight. Even some reliable exit polls agencies have made contrasting predictions for AP this time. Personally, I think Jagan is going to edge this one....CBN has been acting strangely in last few days with all these meetings with 3rd front leaders. One thing for sure, I don't see either of BJP, Congress winning a single LS seat in AP atleast in near future. Congress though have royally messed up the way they handled Andhra over last decade. It used to be such a major state for Congress, it went from winning 32 seats in 2009 to almost 0-1 in both Telugu States this time. It has totally disappeared in Andhra now, all their major leaders also shifted to TDP, YCP. KCR is trying to do the same thing in Telengana. BJP has almost zero presence in Andhra, I don't think it's gonna change in near future..but atleast in Telengana, I think BJP can slowly get better in future.
ravishingravi Posted May 20, 2019 Posted May 20, 2019 (edited) 2 hours ago, Lannister said: So what's the mood among the people? It was obvious during the last elections but it's a 50-50 this time around. Where is the other 50 ? To me this the issue. You have got one clear PM candidate and you have got a blurr on the other side. It’s a no alternative election. Maybe, some people are not enthusiastic this time, but when they look at the opposition, they have to go with clear choice. Edited May 20, 2019 by ravishingravi
Gollum Posted May 20, 2019 Posted May 20, 2019 Peacefuls losing it completely. DHONI_FANN, tweaker, Laaloo and 3 others 6
diga Posted May 20, 2019 Posted May 20, 2019 Lemurian Libtards too have lost their minds...one guy even pinned Jayalalithas death on Modi Gollum, dial_100 and sergio04 3
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